@AllanLichtman No, your guess was wrong. Just say it. You make a single binary guess every four years and more often than not we could all make a pretty good guess. Quit making bogus "predictions" and attacking actual data journalists and shut the fuck up.
@AllanLichtman -If he had stated that he thought the model was wrong about it being close and it was anyway.
He follows the data. You don't. The person who says a coin flip will be 50/50 is more correct than the person who correctly guesses the outcome.
2/2
@AllanLichtman Here are some ways his model could've been wrong:
-If it turned out to be a huge victory for either candidate when his model forecasted a razor thin margin
-If his model was an outlier in what turned out to be the wrong direction
1/2
@DanaAGriffin@photomatt@sereedmedia I couldn't give two flying fucks who he is in private. His public persona is the one actively destroying my livelihood. If you're friends with him in private that's your business, but @photomatt can eat a bag of dicks and if you're defending him then so can you.
@TechCrunch I literally can't think of one single solitary person on this Earth that I'm less interested in hearing from. Matt Mullenweg's meltdown is affecting people, businesses, and the entire open source ecosystem. It's not cute Matt, sit the fuck down.
@WordPress@FTC@wpengine I'm so sick of feeling gross for being a WordPress user. I used to be proud of the websites I designed in WordPress and the skills I learned over the past decade using the platform, and now it just feels shameful. Matt needs to go away and never come back.
@GergelyOrosz Yes, all of this has to happen, but to me there's one other thing that's an absolute requirement at this point. Matt has to step down from the WordPress Foundation and it needs to be split off from Automattic. Clearly the two are acting as one and we need a separation.
@wp_acf This is sickening. Every choice Matt has made in this whole attack has been wrong and has hurt the entire WordPress community and the Open Source community as a whole. Mullenweg can eat a dick.
@CatchBadCrow @jackbern23 Well sure, but that is, you know, not at all how odds works. I could also look at a clock and say "7:28!? What a crazy coincidence. There was only a .07% chance it would be 7:28“ but it wouldve been a .07% chance no matter what time it was.
@arcinternet please create an "update later" option. sometimes I'm in the middle of a big project and just don't want to update and I keep worrying I'm gonna accidentally click it.
@Tadimsky@ArcMembership Same. I already switched back to vivaldi on my home computer and I haven't been able to at work just because I need the separate profiles on separate spaces, but I'm getting really close to switching anyway.
@jackbern23 Some of that can be attributed to team tasks where he no longer abides by the “scores add up to 5” principal, but I would expect disqualifications and winner-takes-all tasks to balance that out. Do two-part tasks count as a single task in this calculation?
@jackbern23 Tbh I’m kinda surprised it’s that high. In theory (if Alex had his way) every task should be at most 15 points. That means Greg has *technically* over-scored in at least 7 of the 15 series.