Crypto Trader & Investor, On chain/ Off chain data research. @Bushido_Bulls
I share my thoughts and insight about the markets daily on my Newsletter.
NFA
GM fam,
I’ve stopped the newsletter.
It was supposed to help me build an edge while sharing content, not make content come at the expense of my edge.
One thing this bear market has made very clear to me is that my number one priority is developing real edges. If something doesn’t serve that goal, or takes too much out of me, I cut it off.
One of my mistakes during the bull market was spending too much time on things around the market instead of the market itself. That won’t happen again.
That’s part of the beauty of this journey: the lessons we learn about ourselves along the way.
Have a good Tuesday everyone.
Key Events This Week:
1. April Existing Home Sales data - Monday
2. April CPI Inflation data - Tuesday
3. April PPI Inflation data - Wednesday
4. OPEC Monthly Report - Wednesday
5. April Retail Sales data - Thursday
6. April Industrial Production data - Friday
More crucial inflation data is ahead of us.
@trader1sz@BRICSinfo Its exactly the orher way around, he just got publicly involved on all of this international conflict to cover all his shit, nothing else… if you deep just a bit, you’ll find it…
Weekly Bias — BTC
Bias: cautiously bullish
-First breakout attempt failed, so this second one matters more
-Structure still looks constructive, but it is not full confirmation yet
-The more bullish case would be for price to hold current levels around 70.5k
-Even so, a revisit of the 69k green zone would still be valid and normal
-If 69k holds, bullish structure remains intact
-If 69k fails, price likely rotates back toward the lows
The war remains the main wildcard. So far, crypto is absorbing the headlines surprisingly well, and that relative strength is part of why I still keep a bull bias.
For now: stay with trend while structure holds.
-Lose 69k, and the downside case becomes much stronger.
Have a Nice weekend!
Weekly Bias — BTC
Bias: cautiously bullish
-First breakout attempt failed, so this second one matters more
-Structure still looks constructive, but it is not full confirmation yet
-The more bullish case would be for price to hold current levels around 70.5k
-Even so, a revisit of the 69k green zone would still be valid and normal
-If 69k holds, bullish structure remains intact
-If 69k fails, price likely rotates back toward the lows
The war remains the main wildcard. So far, crypto is absorbing the headlines surprisingly well, and that relative strength is part of why I still keep a bull bias.
For now: stay with trend while structure holds.
-Lose 69k, and the downside case becomes much stronger.
Have a Nice weekend!
Today’s key market headlines:
-Oil surged as the Middle East conflict and Hormuz bottleneck fears intensified.
-Asian markets and futures sold off on renewed inflation and supply-shock risk.
-China CPI came in hotter than expected, adding another inflation layer to the macro picture.
-Gold traded lower, which makes today’s move even more unusual for a classic risk-off session.
-Crypto pushed higher, diverging from parts of TradFi and raising questions about what this market is really pricing.
-Markets now shift toward U.S. inflation expectations and Treasury auction demand later today.
GM Fam!
Market reflection:
It’s interesting to see such a sharp reversal in price while Asian and futures markets are bleeding today on the back of the Middle East conflict and the oil bottleneck. Yet crypto is up, and even gold is red. That makes this move even more interesting.
I still do not fully see the edge between crypto and TradFi here. I can understand the Bitcoin as digital gold argument, but price action has not really supported that view in the past either.
So the question is: are we entering a new paradigm, or what exactly are market participants betting on in crypto?