Стефан☭

Women, Whiskey & War

[Стефан☭ @tfan87]

@TommyLeeUganda @pallasomusic omumamyi?

Why do u think he was deported from US?
He used to steal old peoples' pampers

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

The U.S. and Iran are locked in the same conflict, but waging completely different wars.

America is destroying more targets, firing more advanced weapons, and delivering far greater firepower than Iran, but military analyst Andreas Krieg told Brandon Weichert it's still losing the war.

Tehran is preserving its missile stockpiles, stretching the conflict out, and forcing the U.S. to burn through extremely expensive interceptors and precision munitions.

It's a strategy of endurance, not dominance.

According to Andreas, that's exactly why Iran doesn't need to win battlefield after battlefield; it simply has to survive.

He points to Iranian strikes that have degraded U.S. surveillance and reconnaissance networks across the Gulf, forcing Washington to use more resources simply to maintain the same level of awareness.

At the same time, the IRGC continues operating through decentralised units that don't depend on the military infrastructure America has spent weeks destroying.

The U.S. can demolish radar sites, flatten bases and logistics hubs, but if the system keeps functioning, what's really changed?

Andreas believes the trap Washington is falling into is measuring success by the number of targets destroyed rather than whether those strikes are changing the political reality.

Meanwhile, America's own partners are paying the price.

As civilian infrastructure inside Iran comes under attack, Tehran has responded by targeting energy facilities and desalination plants across the Gulf.

Countries like Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar suddenly find themselves pulled into a war they never chose.

According to Andreas, Gulf leaders are now putting heavy pressure on Washington to dial back the escalation before their own economies and critical infrastructure suffer even greater damage.

And then there's the question Washington still hasn't convincingly answered: What does victory actually look like?

America is measuring success by how much damage it can inflict.

Iran is measuring success by whether it can still fight tomorrow.

Andreas believes only one of those strategies has a believable path to victory.

@WeTheBrandon @andreas_krieg

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump says Pickaxe Mountain gets hit "probably pretty soon," a target even a tactical nuke reportedly cannot kill...

The WSJ reports Israeli intelligence claims Iran moved THOUSANDS of centrifuges into tunnels under Pickaxe Mountain, and Trump answered from the podium: the mountain gets hit "probably pretty soon." The problem is not small.

The site sits so deep that even a tactical nuclear weapon reportedly could damage it without killing it.

Joe Kent resigned from this administration over this war, and he calls the uranium chase a moving goalpost.

Bomb this mountain and another site surfaces in another leak, forever, because enriched uranium can be buried but never bombed away.

Finishing that job takes boots on the ground, and ground operations, in his read, are more live now than at any point in the war.

The Israeli choreography sharpens the worry: a cabinet statement stepping back from the American campaign, a leak aiming every gun at one mountain, a prime minister freshly photographed at Dimona.

Deniability built in advance, he warns, for the day something far bigger than a bunker buster gets used and Washington gets to say it never knew.

Meanwhile, per the Telegraph and the Post, even the missile math gets hidden from the top.

The wild part?

The exit sits in plain sight: declare the 25 year setback, play the rally music, leave a hero.

He believes Trump knows it.

@joekent16jan19

[TCN @TCNetwork]

Have you ever felt like you were being watched, followed, manipulated or lied to?

@JohnKiriakou details all the CIA’s tricks and how to spot them in his new book “Ultimate Guide to CIA Skills, Tactics, and Techniques” available now on https://t.co/OOfNQDenyu.

[Alternative News @AlternatNews]

Iran is fighting a very mature strategic war.

What we're witnessing is not random retaliation (like bombing Tel Aviv), but a deliberate campaign aimed at systematically degrading the regional architecture that allows the US and its allies to project military power across the Middle East.

Several principles of warfare are being applied:

1. Suppression of enemy support infrastructure.
2. Degradation of intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities.
3. Attrition of air defense and interceptor inventories.
4. Disruption of logistics and sustainment.
5. Political pressure on host nations.
6. Shaping the operational environment before attempting anything larger.

Iran is not yet fighting with all its tools and weapons. It is not a cornered country and is still shaping the battlefield for the next level of attack.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is openly daring American troops to land on Kharg Island while the Pentagon hides how many U.S. soldiers are already bleeding

Iran's Foreign Ministry issued an open dare this week: many people on Kharg Island, its spokesman said, are "eagerly awaiting the arrival of the American forces." Bravado, except the ledger that surfaced the same week explains the confidence.

The New York Times reports the Pentagon withheld dozens of American wounded and stayed silent on three Iranian attacks on Jordan bases in the week before the deadly strike.

The running toll, per the reporting: 16 killed and more than 400 WOUNDED.

The Pentagon's own spokesman conceded over 100 casualties in the last two weeks.

Larry Johnson, thirty years across CIA and State, zeroed in on the vocabulary carrying the load.

An injury happens in a shower or on a running track; wounded is what combat does.

His comparison: Monty Python's Black Knight, limbless on the ground, insisting it is "just a flesh wound."

New satellite analysis reportedly shows Muwaffaq Salti hit by a large, accurate salvo, Reaper hangars flattened, damage far past anything announced.

A war this unpopular hides its arithmetic, in his read, and the language gives it away anyway.

A war going well never needs a softer word for bleeding. The vocabulary lesson nobody at the Pentagon wanted.

@NewSonof

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America isn't fighting Iran over the Strait of Hormuz; it's fighting to stop Tehran from proving that U.S. control of the Middle East can be broken.

Most people still think this war is about ships, oil, or transit fees, but military and political analyst Elijah Magnier says it stopped being about that a long time ago.

According to him, Washington believed it could strip Iran of its greatest source of leverage by moving Gulf shipping away from the Iranian-controlled channel and through Oman instead.

He says they fundamentally misunderstood how Iran thinks.

Tehran could negotiate over uranium enrichment, frozen assets, and it could even tolerate parts of the Memorandum of Understanding being chipped away, but Hormuz was never negotiable.

For twenty years, Iran lived under sanctions while the rest of the world largely carried on as normal.

Now, for the first time, Tehran has a way to make everyone else feel the consequences too.

Its message is simple: If we cannot export our oil normally, then nobody else in the Gulf will either.

That is why Elijah believes this war has become much bigger than a dispute over a shipping lane; the U.S is now fighting for its reputation.

Because if Iran proves that it can defy Washington, absorb U.S military power and still dictate the terms of navigation through one of the world's most important chokepoints, every American ally and adversary will draw the same conclusion.

U.S dominance is over.

@ejmalrai

[Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson]

Nihilistic western leaders have been pushing for decades to have a major war with Russia. Former Royal Navy commander Steve Jermy says they’re about to get that war, and lose badly.

0:00 What Is Happening Between Russia and Ukraine?
9:21 Why Would the US and NATO Want a War With Russia?
15:32 The EU's Promotion of Foolish Leaders
20:17 Where the US Stands With Russia and Where We're Headed
33:39 How Much Incentive Is There for Europe to Use a Nuclear Weapon?
36:43 Is Anyone Opposing This?
43:39 Where Does the West Stand on Energy?
50:56 How Did the Price of Oil Drop So Low?
55:34 How Long Will These Two Conflicts Last?
59:24 How Much Pressure Is Putin Under to Respond With Force?

[Going Underground @GUnderground_TV]

🚨NEW EPISODE OF GOING UNDERGROUND⚡️

Donald Trump KNOWS Iran Has WON the War and is Risking a GLOBAL DEPRESSION —Doug Bandow

• Has reality set in for Donald Trump that the US has lost the war?

• Does Trump understand that he stands on the brink of a global depression as oil inventories are near empty?

• Can Republicans in Congress and the MAGA base stop Trump's disastrous war before it's too late?

We discuss all this and more with @Doug_Bandow, Former Special Assistant to President Ronald Reagan and Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

Anyone who thinks a ground invasion of Iran is a serious possibility needs to watch this...

Matt Bracken is a former Navy SEAL and spec ops veteran, and he just delivered one of the most sobering comparisons I've heard yet:

Kharg Island is the size of Iwo Jima, where the U.S. pounded the island with battleships for WEEKS before landing 70,000 Marines... and still lost 7,000 lives and had 19,000 wounded in a single month.

Qeshm Island is bigger than Okinawa, which took 3 months and cost 12,000 American lives.

Iran has had decades to tunnel these islands, study U.S. tactics, and prepare for precisely this scenario, and unlike Japan in WWII, they have precision missiles that can reach every inch of the Persian Gulf.

"If we went into Iran, I think we will lose everybody we send in, the more we send in, the more we lose, and the Iranians have been very open about saying, come on in, we welcome you."

Matt ended by saying rationality is out the window, and that this started with a February 28th sneak attack, so nothing should be considered off the table.

Great talking to you, @Matt_Bracken48

[Fareed Zakaria @FareedZakaria]

China has gained more from the Iran war than from any crisis in three decades.

Beijing has paid costs for this war. But measured against the damage to America’s goals, alliances and credibility, China has come out ahead.

My take:

[Glenn Diesen @Glenn_Diesen]

Jeffrey Sachs: U.S. Eurasian Strategy - Destroy Russia, Iran & China
https://t.co/eGlDawAkxS

[Richard @ricwe123]

Just listen closely to the words of this man.

Back in 2008, US Senator Bill Bradley called NATO's expansion a colossal screw-up.
He said NATO had broken the promises made to Gorbachev.
Bradley warned that it would backfire, locking the West into a cycle of hostility with Russia.

And look where we are now.
He was right, but nobody listened.

[Стефан☭ @tfan87]

@BBCWorld BBC hasn't been paid this month's NaziNATO propaganda allowance

[Notes To Men @notes2men]

Dear Men,

Once you start making money, spend it on these 13 things before you spend it trying to impress anyone:

[TCN @TCNetwork]

Tucker Carlson on the Ukraine war: Putin did not start this war.

[Chay Bowes @BowesChay]

Now strangely forgotten by the very Western media that hyped it up

The Ukrainain 2023 "Counteroffensive" has been erased from the collective memory

100,000 Ukrainians died for a deluded PR stunt to secure money for a corrupt Dictatorship

Never forget

[DBwambale @TheMutaD]

The number itself (1 USD = 3,650 UGX vs. 1 USD = 16,773 IDR, for Indonesia, a Trillion dollar economy 19x larger than Uganda) is almost meaningless for comparing economic strength. Don't despair(for lack of a better word) because you don't know/understand this.

[Chay Bowes @BowesChay]

NATO says that its Russia thats going to invade?

How does it look to you?

[Denis Duke Woniala🇺🇬 @DenisDukeUG]

Investing UGX 100M ($28k) in Rental Units VS UGX 100M in Airbnb Comparison. (Ugandan Context, 1 dollar = UGX3500)

In this Tweet, I’ll try to compare UGX 100M in long-term rental units vs Airbnb / short stays using a real ugandan perspective.