Carter Smith 🏁

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Football is back!

Preseason is the free season 🤩💰

Truely a great day to be a Pitt fan and see a clash of your titans today, Pickett and Slovis. I don’t get this line if it’s Beck and Slovis vs. Pickett (for only a series) and the rook Haynes King.

Arizona Cardinals +111 ML

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

@beatingthebook I’m Carter from Savannah! Thanks for the shoutout @FezzikSports and I appreciate you taking the under on my age

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Every time I see a fumble endzone touchback. How does such a dynamic, billion dollar league annually fail to change this rule. It breaks my heart to see this in my game

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

@PalmaPapi3 @benbbaldwin @inpredict lol

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

We have our first guillotine game!

Hold your nose, time to bet some ugly ones week 3. I know you quit on him week 1, but now his back is against the wall. Show some fight with his job on the line. You want the cool disc-jockey coach 1 more week. Don’t quit now Miami!

Fins +13

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Tell a Pitt fan they lost today, most of them don't know!!

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

The wait is over, welcome back football.

DAL +9.5 -115 & U 48.5 -105

Classic buy low, sell high. Birds fat and happy after SB, and this is too many points for a QB this good. Both Dak and Hurts didn’t play in pre-season so expect some rust. Love unders in prime time like this

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

^ Fanduel was the book

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Player prop best bet 🏈

K. Hunt O 78.5 rush+rec yds -115

Rogue number, it’s 83.5 most places. BUF w/ a middling D and LB + Dline injuries. KC now without a kicker will go for it more. Hunt was a focal point in the pass game last week and is averaging mid 80s, this should be 90+

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Player prob best bet 🏈

Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 int +105

A different angle on the “increased mahomes motivation” narrative. He will be pressing to make a big impact and he’s thrown at least one INT in every game this szn. Add in an injured WR corps and a mostly healthy LV d

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Player prob best bet 🏈

Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 int +105

A different angle on the “increased mahomes motivation” narrative. He will be pressing to make a big impact and he’s thrown at least one INT in every game this szn. Add in an injured WR corps and a mostly healthy LV d

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Player prop best bet 🤩

Geno Smith O 262.5 pass yds. SEA highest nuetral pass rate by far in the league. WRs are healthy while the bad ATL defense has cluster injuries at safety. SEA oline weakness can’t be exposed by ATL mediocre pass rush. OVER OVER OVER in the dome! ⬆️🏟️

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

@MikeyTSteelers You want to stick w/ Fields?

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

@Clevta Love how the NFL just stopped calling balls uncatchable. Is that still a rule?

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

After hearing opinions on both sides of #WASvsBAL my plan is to live bet the team that gets scored on first, especially if they also get the ball to start the second half. High total & bad defenses. BAL should be able to run and trust Daniels to keep the commies in it

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

One of my early “travel spot” bets that aged well

What would the line have been if the Browns had met expectations this year? 🤔

I still think we would have had some value 💲

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

NFL week 6 (Oct 13) CLE at PHI

Pick: PHI -3 -108 & -148 ml -> 2.5 units

Browns playing their third road game in a row, with a trip that starts in LV and ends on the opposite coast. Eagles are off their bye. Sirianni 2-0 off a bye in his short career.

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Numbers I’m going to be looking for live

JAC / CHI: over 41
ARI / GB: packers laying a field goal
WAS / BAL: coms getting 7.5+ / U 54
LAC / DEN: broncos getting 3.5+
DET / DAL: over 51
CIN / NYG: over 47 if Nabers plays

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Big line move to -2.5 today 👀

Some serious money coming on the Titans and we have the best number in pocket

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

IND at TEN

BEST BET

Pick: Titans +1.5 -118 -> 4 units 💰

Titans off a bye. Levis and Rudolph are equals. Colts back to back road and decimated with injuries, specifically the defense and O line. Taylor and Richardson (if he goes) are banged up.

Wrong team favored!

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

NFL week 6 early card

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

Another great Wong teaser week

Jaguars +2 —> +8
Bucs +2.5 —> +8.5
Eagles -8.5 —> -2.5
Broncos +2 —> +8
Jets +2.5 —-> +8.5

I paired the Jags w/ the Broncos and the Eagles with the Jets

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

NFL week 6 early bets ⤵️

[Carter Smith 🏁 @theRealCarter]

TB at NO

Pick: Bucs +130 -> 1 unit

Love betting on a team when their opponent has a game beforehand. We get to hedge on possible injuries for NO in the meantime and the likely outcome that they lose to KC. Not crazy about trends but division road dogs are ~60% ATS I believe