A decade in poker taught me something I didn’t expect: The real value of the game isn’t the money. It’s the skill. Decision-making under pressure with equanimity. Strategic thinking with incomplete information. Agility in ever changing conditions. Asymmetric risks with huge upside.
Tournament poker is basically founder training. Maybe only 10% cash. And within that 10%, only a small fraction hit significant wins. But we chase the top spot anyway. For the love of the game.
As @demishassabis recently said, games like poker are microcosms of life. The advantage is that in poker, you get to run the simulation thousands of times. That’s iterative compounding.
Look at @BenbaLamb, who hit 10-figures of volume on his crypto casino, @yeet. @PrimordialAA went from online poker to founding LayerZero, now a multi-billion dollar protocol. Or @catehall, who founded Alvea during peak COVID and brought a vaccine candidate to clinical trials faster than any startup in history.
Poker is zero-sum.
But we can and should play positive-sum infinite games with those same skills. (Nod to @komorama + the resonant computing manifesto)
Your time in poker isn’t a sunk cost. It’s an investment in who you become. And (hopefully) what you build.
The 2026 tax change makes professional gambling impractical (sorry @Erik_Seidel). Combine that with what AI makes possible, the only real fence left is the one you build around yourself.
Take the biggest asymmetric risk you can make.
Bet on yourself.
And bet big.
Very concerned about the tax change next year. It’ll put me in semi-retirement. Open to any opportunities, especially if it involves traveling to new spots. DM here or on IG
This anime was created by a Cartoon Hero member.
It placed 3rd out of 300 handpicked contestants in the FAL x Sequoia 72-hour video hackathon.
One of the best AI animations I’ve seen in terms of pacing, camera angles, and overall "anime feel"
Highly recommend watching it!
you must believe you are special and then go so hard, for so long, with such violent refusal to accept any other ending, that reality itself starts running out of ways to tell you no. you must wage a war daily against the ordinary outcome, until the belief you invented out of nothing in a room by yourself has been hammered into the world so many times that it stops being a claim and becomes reality.
You usually won't find smart, perceptive people bragging about being smart. Instead, they play little "recognition games" with each other. They smuggle clever Easter eggs into conversations and watch who "gets it." This provides an unfakeable signal of who is at least their peer.
It’s a Bird, It’s a Plane… No, It’s Phil Hellmuth!
@phil_hellmuth has arrived at the WSOP Main Event in the only way he can.
The 17-time bracelet winner and former Main Event champion is back in the building.
Can the Poker Brat win poker’s biggest tournament one more time?
it’s fascinating how many ppl today are playing what i call the pre ai capitalism game which includes stuff like getting the bag (aka accumulating capital), mining for status, keeping options open, & then possibly exiting the arena once one or more of these hit.
this is very rational in a scarcity world but it’s much less obviously rational in a world where labor, media, software, knowledge work, & maybe even company formation get aggressively abundant (aka the agi world). ask yourself how much value with your capital/options have in this world?
in an agi world there is a real possibility that the real value may actually lies the opposite stuff like durable trust, taste, ability to get distribution, community, institutional memory, reputation (huge), & the ability to play in the game with high quality ppl for a long time.