Stefan Rust

Founder @truflation Real-time on-chain inflation - Calling out the narratives Governments tell us about prices.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

https://t.co/X10X21ytAz

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

truly crazy and to your point, it really seems there is no debate with the public at all around everything the EU is doing. It seems they lock themselves in a chamber and then voila here is new regulation, laws, barriers to entry all drafted by lobbyist of legacy industries and then set into law by bureaucrats who want no discussion or debate.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@Autonomous_Chad @UMAprotocol @Polymarket @Polymarket @shayne_coplan check out @TRUFNETWORK https://t.co/7wKlefQQng

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

This is why @truflation AI is being trained proprietary real time economic and financial data to optimize for economic forecasting

[Chamath Palihapitiya @chamath]

Yup.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@echotoall yeah the team have been heads down working on this. Super amazing job. thanks

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

oh... i forgot to share our test results

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

TRUF AI, our TruflationEFM series, just cleared a big milestone.

Our economic + inflation forecasting stack, trained on @truflation real‑time data, is now beating baseline references at 30d, 90d and beyond.

Generic TS models are built to be broad; our Thales‑class architecture is built to read the tape of 100s of millions of economic datapoints and how they propagate into inflation: category behavior, release dynamics, regime shifts, cross‑stream structure.

Inflation has its own physics. Fine‑tuning, RL, broader benchmarks and production‑grade forecasting are already underway.

If you’re building trading, risk, or AI agents on macro and inflation, TruflationEFM is the forecasting stack we’re wiring into the @TRUFNETWORK

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@RichardHanania A government poll, published in the economist seems a little biased tbh. I would take this survey at a 20% accuracy

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@GoingParabolic time to buy! Buy low sell high!

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@MilkRoad totally. Finally the bureaucrats, researchers, theorists and academics have capitulated to the builders, developers and creators now leaning in to the great decentralized vision for ETH and the pursuit of the worlds computer.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@MitchMartan98 100%!

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

Government capital allocation vs. Entrepreneurial Vision and drive. In 7 years double the number of satellites in space.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

Crypto is fully transparent! The EU is scared they won't be able to hide all the transactions that go on behind closed banking vaults and centralized databases! The US is all over this and understand the value of blockchain and the ability to surveil all transaction across the different chains. Zcash is in high demand, ZK is getting adoption, private chains are increasing among institutions. Privacy is going to bring mass adoption in crypto and decentralization will come back!

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@levelsio This is really the sad state of affairs in the EU. A lot of virtue signaling, talk and very little trickle down. The Cantillion effect dominates Europe.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@truflation @orust99 @dlacalle_IA @RealEJAntoni @MikeLeeStrategy @biancoresearch get the report here https://t.co/6Esvo58heg and claim your free credits. the report is 1600 credits! so you will need to "top up" or subscribe so Truflation can bring you better and more forecasts

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

Today is PCE day. Have you signed up to @truflation Spaces https://t.co/fu9GrwGz8y You would have received the Truflation prediction report yesterday here https://t.co/5h4Sia1ECm. As a subscriber to https://t.co/q51EipycFm TRUF AI is forecasting PCE forecast at 3.7801% plus minus 0.18pp

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@EricLevitz the big issue is 30% inflation so far this year. The last decade with 50% inflation was the 1970's. and we're only halfway through this decade.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

@EricLevitz @truflation is actually 2.19%

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

and this is exactly why @enhanced_games is providing disruption. The IOC has no interest in rewarding the athletes instead just managing and spending the $7.7B which is 60% of the IOC proceeds from TV rights. with the remaining %B coming from marketing rights and royalties including host taxpayers who pay for the right to host the Olympics.

Sports Association and Committees are Monopolies and should face Antitrust like any other business.

Athletes sacrifice decades of their lives suffering pain agony and defeat, countless hours of dedication and commitment while very few reap the benefits of glory.
The IOC pays one Olympic winner $20K. Enhanced paid 250K for the winner, 1M for the world records for either enhanced and un-enhanced athletes. The 4 place finish still earns 50K.

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

I'd say @truflation and @TRUFNETWORK is NeoFinance!

[Stefan Rust @therealsrust]

this is exactly why we built @TRUFNETWORK
Prediction markets have a truth problem.

Not a UX problem. Not a liquidity problem. Not a “we need better memes” problem.

If billions of dollars in markets are ultimately settled by anonymous token holders in a governance vote, especially when some of those voters may have exposure to the very markets they are judging, then we should stop pretending the system is trustless.

That is not cryptographic settlement. That is a committee with wallets. Human-governed oracles were good enough when prediction markets were experiments. They will not be good enough for the next trillion in volume.

At scale, the question cannot be:
“Who gets to decide the truth?”

The only acceptable question is:
“Can anyone independently verify the same truth, instantly, without trusting a judge, a DAO, or a Discord thread?”

That is what we are building at https://t.co/Vi2i02gzmY.

Markets should settle on deterministic data logic, not human interpretation. With https://t.co/Vi2i02gzmY:
Outcomes are defined by SQL queries
Validators execute and sign the result
The output becomes a certified attestation
Smart contracts can verify the result across chains
No voting bloc gets to rewrite reality after the fact

https://t.co/F36lMvXFX1 is one of the first places this becomes real for traders. Inflation, macro, and real-world data markets should be settled by verifiable data, not by whoever wins the dispute game.

Polymarket proved people want to trade the future.

The next generation of prediction markets will be won by whoever owns the most credible truth layer underneath it.

That is the shift: From human votes to cryptographic truth. From mysterious judges to verifiable settlement.
From “trust me” to Proof of TRUF.