Sort of explains why in the past 10 years I've been dumbfounded for how some ultra-confident shouters have managed to dupe so many people, especially in political matters.
From "When less confident forecasts signal more expertise".
Yale Philosophy offers a course on “Formal Philosophical Methods” — a broad introduction to probability, logic, formal semantics, etc.
Instructor Calum McNamara has now made all materials for the course (78 pages) freely available
https://t.co/3ayerQBpHz
Chancellor repeats the 1.5 million new homes in 5 years target with additional affordable housing funding but note that would require house building to more than double in less than 5 years to 370,000 per year & also...
#budget#budget24#budget2024#autumnbudget#ukhousing
@africaoye you’ve got to get control of this. Can barely get out my drive. Can’t get past with my kids. If you bring a festival of this size you have to take responsibility for infrastructure.
UK construction materials prices in May 2023 were 1.5% higher than a year ago according to the ONS, which is lower than the 4.7% annual price inflation in April & 8.7% materials price inflation in March as... (1/n)
#ukconstruction#construction#materials#inflation
On the whole ChatGPT4 does seem better to me than 3, but it still struggles a bit with logic. I find that now if you phrase the problem in symbols it gets it but if you ask it a more prose version of the same problem it has trouble. See e.g.