I’ve spent most of my adult life building companies, investing in them, and trying to understand why some work and others die.
These days I spend most of my time thinking about a bigger question:
What does entrepreneurship look like when intelligence becomes almost free?
AI is changing the cost of building, the size of teams, the value of labour, the infrastructure underneath companies and eventually, I think, the economic system around all of it.
We’re testing a lot of these ideas in real time across Bifrost.
I’ll share what we learn here.
Including the things we get completely wrong.
The ability to build software is becoming less scarce very quickly.
The ability to identify a problem worth building a company around isn't.
This creates an interesting inversion.
For a long time, entrepreneurs could have a great insight and still fail because actually building the product required capital, engineers and months of work.
Increasingly, the product may be the cheap part.
Understanding a market deeply enough to see what everyone else missed, knowing exactly who has the problem, reaching those people and earning enough trust for them to buy becomes a larger share of the work.
AI gives more people the ability to build.
It doesn't give them something worth building.
I think founders underestimate how useful constraints are.
Unlimited time lets you keep debating.
Unlimited capital lets you keep hiring.
Unlimited product scope lets you keep building.
Constraints force the uncomfortable question: what actually matters?
Some of the best company-building decisions happen when there isn't enough of something.
One of the weirdest things about AI is how quickly yesterday’s competitive advantage can become today’s API call.
That should change how founders think about moats.
If your advantage is simply that your team can do something difficult, assume the difficulty has an expiration date.
The better question is what gets stronger as the underlying technology gets cheaper and more accessible.
Customer relationships. Distribution. Proprietary knowledge. Brand. Workflow. Domain expertise.
Build around things that improve when the technology underneath you improves.
AI is making it easier to build a product. I suspect that makes distribution more valuable, not less.
When 100 teams can build something that previously required 10, the scarce thing becomes getting someone to care.
The cost of creation is collapsing.
Attention isn't.