Tin Can Man

I like tin cans and dead economists.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

Canadians are like Dodo birds - they are going to eventually go extinct unless they evolve a defense mechanism against an invasive species and its culture.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@MichaelAArouet Unemployment rate increase in those younger age groups is a solid predictor for political instability.
One child families overinvested for education and now their kids are of no use to a manufacturing economy, as China is solidly stuck in the middle income trap.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

Fair point - at galactic scale, basic weapons should work.

[shindigs @shindags]

In the new StarCraft trailer, the gun jams with a software error/mechanical error.

Older cutscenes show them running out of ammo.

Are Terran guns more unreliable in the future? Did their military software get worse?

Is this enshittification in the Terran Dominion?

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@paulbonnet Not a small amount of token consumption is going to happen on edge hardware at user’s device (local inference)

[Paul Bonnet @PaulBonnet]

In 1852 aluminium cost twice as much as gold.
Then the price fell over 99.9%. Yet it built one of the largest materials markets on earth.
What it says about AI tokens: https://t.co/5Y04wrz8mj

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

The end of an era - was fun reading your research along the way, and hopefully in the future.

[Farside Insights @FarsideInsights]

https://t.co/m8fWvLUODN

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@johnarnold luckily no clouds in sight, amirite?

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

It seems that human-written code is being broken at industrial scale across proprietary and open source codebases alike.

It's as if we ran the whole internet on spit and duct tape, software-wise.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@BarbarianCap We went from “need to pause AI work for six months” to “the Chinese are weeks behind” very quickly.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@Zigmanfreud @Miss_Snuffy “Wars are won by schoolteachers” said Otto Von Bismarck, famously. It is only logical that wars are also lost by the same group!

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

We’re still in the “it’s mostly good for pr0n” stage of the AI revolution :)

[Arthur MacWaters @ArthurMacwaters]

It’s crazy how we found a way to purify literal rocks into 99.9999999% pure silicon, then have magicians pull it into crystals, then etch a trillion little runes on it, put some electricity into it, and now it has 130 IQ

and the most common thing to do with this miracle is email

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

Node JS implant huh? Sign of the times - crypto kids getting rekt, so time to pivot to new and exciting pastures as rug pulls stopped working.

Also how does a Node running on a windows machine hard to detect exactly?

[Microsoft Threat Intelligence @MsftSecIntel]

Microsoft Threat Intelligence has identified an active multi-stage intrusion campaign targeting hospitality organizations in Europe and Asia. The campaign uses photo-themed ZIP archives and fake image shortcut files to deliver a persistent Node.js implant and evade detection. https://t.co/VerutunRvb

Threat actors have continued to refine the campaign over time while maintaining the same core attack chain. Microsoft observed two distinct waves of activity, including changes to delivery mechanisms, infrastructure, and evasion techniques designed to help the operation persist and avoid detection.

For example, the second wave demonstrates the resilience of the campaign's dual-persistence model. In one observed case, malicious payloads were blocked, yet Node.js persistence remained active and later re-established command-and-control (C2) communications through new infrastructure.

Learn more about the campaign's evolution, phishing infrastructure, and persistence mechanisms, and review Microsoft Defender detections and recommendations to help organizations investigate and defend against this activity.

[Theo - t3.gg @theo]

New Moore’s law:

The cost to buy a chip doubles approximately every 2 years, while the number of people who can afford them drops by 50%

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

Amazing work yet again - you are a great researcher and a very sound thinker!

I also feel that’s just tip of the ice berg - I have seen similar playbook all around Africa as well, media hit pieces and all of it. They call the ruskies agents of chaos, but the Marxist revolution industrial complex has left them in the dust.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

A pure Moore's Law-type problem - within 3 years, a then-current MacBook would be able to run today's leading-edge models.

[0xSero @0xSero]

State of Local AI #1

———

In lieu of Fable ban.

Here’s the best LLMs of the week to run on your hardware.

—— 4-8gb vram/ram 500$

- Gemma-4-qat https://t.co/UFCmLXVKed I had someone mention it’s very good for subagent stuff

—— 8-16gb vram/ram < 1k usd

- Gemma-12B https://t.co/tc6IBTrbc3 without a doubt the smartest model of its size

—— 16-32gb Apple/Strix halo 1-2k usd

- Diffusion Gemma26B https://t.co/mSaWPFpgXQ

- on 1x 6000 it’s eating up to 600 tok/s
- smallest smart MoE we have
- lots of world knowledge
- easy to run

—— 32-96gb ram/vram (2-10k usd)

- nex-n2-mini https://t.co/EL1ePzwI58 builds on qwen3.6-35B and seems to do really well

- qwopus-27B https://t.co/P1gypZwufi this model topped a lot of our benchmarks at https://t.co/UfoYoOlSIk

—— 384gb vram (10-50K usd)

- https://t.co/AZb0Gtu5P3 23B means it’s close to qwen3.6-27B per token, while also have a lot of specialisation.

- fast inference
- top open weight model on AA

—— 768gb-1TB

- https://t.co/kWzJG2Hjen

Kimi has always been a top player here and their last model cuts speed and cost down by 30%
- great vision support
- first coder model by moonshot

———

Top models:

1. Qwen3.6-35B
2. Qwen3.6-27B
3. Step-3.7-Flash
4. Minimax-M3
5. Deepseek-v4-flash

———

Budget sweet spots:

#1 - 1K usd

Single 3090 / Mac mini / Intel arc b70 / AMD

- Qwen / Gemma

#2 - 5k usd

DGX Spark / Mac m5 max / 4x 3090

- qwen / Gemma step and deepseek flash

#3 - 12k usd

RTX Pro 6000 / Mac Ultra / 2x Spark / 8x 3090

Ds4-flash / step-3.7-Flash and above

#4 - 24k usd

2x 6000 / 2x Mac Ultra / 4x Spark / Mix

Same as above

#5 - 50k usd

4x 6000 / 4x Max Ultra / 12x Spark / 2 H100

Minimax-m3 / nex-n2-pro / step-3.7-flash

#6 - 100k usd

GB300 station / 8x 6000 / 4x H200 / Mix

GLM-5.2 / Kimi-K2.7

———

Let’s keep the Internet free thanks for reading

[greg @greg16676935420]

My whole timeline is full of millionaires complaining about a trillionaire

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@github I’m sure it’s nothing…

[Based Jessica @RealJessica]

Thank you Germany 🇩🇪and Britain 🇬🇧 for sacrificing your economies to save the planet.

China appreciates you exporting your manufacturing to provide jobs for their citizens.

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

@realrabbilinda @ajplus @abierkhatib Yes, that word is doing all the heavy lifting in the sentence

[Tin Can Man @tincan_man]

In 1993, the Clinton administration tries to squeeze the North Koreans into not developing a nuclear weapon. He sent Jimmy Carter to Pyongyang on a charm offensive, got the IAEA to do compliance inspections and flat out rejected taking military action.

By 2003, the DPRK tested a nuclear device and was cranking out nukes at a formidable rate.

Today Dem Influencers, a demoralized laptop class led by morally hollow pundits like the @nytimes and @TheEconomist, believe that if only they tried the same Clinton strategy, Iran will somehow stop developing its nukes.

Weak and impotent western leadership that spend their time in bureaucracy believe that doing the same thing would yield better results this time.

They are wrong.

Autocratic leaders which disregard the well being of their citizens have become experts at exploiting these demoralized weaklings and the IRGC are well aware of it.

Unless the US, GCC states and Israel do not fully commit to the eradication of the extremists with nukes, the results will be similar.