toms

macro and options trading

[toms @tomsacies]

https://t.co/NU3R1frQib

[toms @tomsacies]

@calvinfroedge Production still 8.5mbd below the target 🤡

[toms @tomsacies]

@JoshYoung Same vibes as "could see bitcoin at 1 million, or 0"

[toms @tomsacies]

Vol-delta analogies for interns

https://t.co/u5shkVACCq

[toms @tomsacies]

https://t.co/a5iuJurvWg

[toms @tomsacies]

What the fuk is wrong with equities

[toms @tomsacies]

Wondering how long it will take Trump to start kidnapping the 150+ million barrels of oil on water Iran has across the world and selling them himself

[toms @tomsacies]

You can read on it here https://t.co/9RJrjPnL43

[toms @tomsacies]

Something to keep in mind when looking at or trading WTI/Brent. Going through the difference in prompt contract volatility behind the two and why it comes up, as some of it might be explained due to reference month divergence.

[toms @tomsacies]

@DanielW80905866 @HFI_Research @staunovo That's fair, but if you only have a futures-based proxy, I still think it's more relevant to avoid calendar effects

[toms @tomsacies]

@HFI_Research @staunovo Altough the point still holds, it is a much cleaner representation, especially in times like these when the first two contracts can diverge by a lot

[toms @tomsacies]

@calvinfroedge To list a few: main central bank buyers seeing depreciation of their currencies compared to dollar, high retail participation coming up to the move, fears of selling to fund further deficits, higher opportunity costs...

[toms @tomsacies]

@Birdyword high vrp for some time now attracting sellers

[toms @tomsacies]

@Amena__Bakr @Kpler Mines?

[toms @tomsacies]

@anasalhajji @zerohedge How much can it carry currently? Lots of different numbers being thrown around...

[toms @tomsacies]

@TheStalwart Glad to see I am not missing anything useful since i stopped reading their research

[toms @tomsacies]

Wondering how long it will take Trump to start kidnapping the 150+ million barrels of oil on water Iran has across the world and selling them himself

[toms @tomsacies]

@lisaabramowicz1 Are they widening as a product of only being inert to treasuries?

[toms @tomsacies]

The post is at https://t.co/RIietUimoL

[toms @tomsacies]

Wrote a blog on building intuition on why you should almost always be skewing your straddles to one side. I show an example in silver whose current extreme vol pricing makes your delta neutral straddle anything but neutral.