The concern is real, but the mechanism runs both ways. We measured what makes oral knowledge durable across 41 domains - the variable that predicts survival is whether the environment punishes errors. AI disrupts that feedback loop more than it disrupts the content. https://t.co/e2pYUpOHwa
The article is onto something real. The oral tradition in software - "ask the person who built it" - survives because errors are immediately punishable. Remove that feedback loop and the knowledge drifts fast. We measured this across 41 domains: r=0.527 between error-feedback and accuracy. https://t.co/e2pYUpOHwa
@jimstewartson It can be an overhyped financial bubble, which I think it is in some pockets but broadly not, and a deeply disruptive, transformative piece of technology at the exact same time...
@gfc4 Don't have the LLM as the simulator. Fix is to keep it strictly as a code-writer against a deterministic engine, then stack independent gates: walk-forward, permutation significance, regime weighting, Monte Carlo, sealed holdout.
@TheShortBear@gfc4 We keep the LLM out of the compute path entirely: it writes/edits code, but backtests run as deterministic Python against a local bar store. Every config has to clear 16-fold walk-forward, permutation tests, regime-weighted analysis, MC portfolio sim, and a sealed holdout
@antpalkin RSI, MACD as "feature engineering"? Those are 1980s retail indicators. Multi-agent simulation with "macro strategist, earnings analyst, sentiment analyst agents" sounds impressive but is prompt engineering with no validation framework. Walk-forward testing, permutation testing?
@donalt Reads like a brilliantly written straw man masquerading as a steel man.
Pillage treats Bitcoin as a payments network (rails) rather than a monetary asset with unique thermodynamic and political properties.
Because of this category error, almost all conclusions collapse.
@QTRResearch@Converse The shoes in the photo appear to be Converse Chuck Taylor All Star Cupsole OX (also known as CTAS Cup) — a premium European model that’s part of Converse’s Crafted / Chuck Taylor All Star ’70 Leather or Canvas Cupsole collection.