@Lillibrid1Lance@cb_catt I agree there have been many great questions and I have been working diligently to get through each of them. If I have missed anyone’s questions I apologize. It can be challenging to find them all sometimes as they get lost in comments and replies. LH
Good afternoon and welcome to #StatChat. Let me start out by clarifying that @usda_nass used normal procedures for all forecasts included in today’s Crop Production report. I’m happy to answer your questions about today’s numbers. LH
@crewsin1234 Like all of the reports we publish, the purpose is to provide unbiased measures of commodities for use by all parties involved in US agriculture. LH
@MonteCarleaux I can’t speak to anyone else’s survey process nor speculate on how they might compare to ours. We considered both survey results and geospatial model results when preparing today’s corn & soybean yields — just as we have for years. LH
@MonteCarleaux Again, to expand on transparency in this area we took a different approach to try to better reflect all of the different data sources that feed the estimates. #StatChat LH
@NicoAIQ I won’t speculate on why farmers chose to plant specific crops this season, but at this point the estimates are driven by farmer certifications with FSA along with geospatial modeling for validation. The major crop total this season is just 0.4% above last year. LH
Mark your calendar for August 12, 1:30 pm ET! Join
@usda_nass on X to discuss the Crop Production report with NASS Agricultural Statistics Board Chair, Lance Honig. Post questions ahead of time using #StatChat.
In an effort to enhance transparency regarding our procedures at @usda_nass a tweet was posted earlier highlighting the various data sources used in August. This was not intended to suggest we were doing anything different from recent years for today’s report. LH #StatChat
@twodollarcorn Field samples were only collected and used for winter wheat this month. The defined collection period was July 25 - Aug 1, but anytime a field is gonna be harvested the sample is collected then so samples were gathered throughout July. LH
@NebGradDubDub@kannbwx We use all available sources, including FSA to identify active farm operators. This list is then used draw samples for the various surveys. LH
@Austinhuggins27 Today’s estimates were based on acreage certified as planted by farmers to FSA. Principal crop acres are only up 0.4% from last year and right in line with recent years. LH