@binarybits@worriedoptimist For the scenarios it is not relevant if some specialist AIs exist that is even better than generic AI. If generic AIs beat most experts (as already today domain-depending), it is sufficient due to "spin up 10000 experts that work 24/7 at 100x human speed" nature
@MSMInsider@SoWhy@NateSilver538 It is exactly the VAR who decides in this case if it is a serious incident or not. Better start learning about the game. Or just dont comment.
@benspringwater They could do so much better. No feature for a playlist from my music of <genre> with <mood>. Handling of classical music is atrocious, many features are not designed with it in mind. Podcasts dont hold a candle to dedicated apps. They are just not passionate about their product
@zeynep Seems you have not been using LLMs to build personal tools to improve productivity in certain tasks 2-10x (this holds for any knowledge worker). Now you can argue that improving productivity does not lead to replacing humans, but that would be actually worth discussing.
@TheZvi@ai_ops_lead But the experiment would very likely prove you wrong? It is clear by now Fable is significantly more capable than Opus/GPT5.5 . So if "Fix this code" works to identify vulnerabilities (and it seems yes) than obviously Fable will find more of them? Seems crazy but logic is sound
@emollick These "Thinking steps" have nothing to do with the actual reasoning, they are generated separately to show "something". Thats why they always sound generic and repetitive.
@joelgombiner@Conrguy@zeynep Yes the experts should tell you the risks, the likely trajectory, spelling out the uncertainties. All in a way that can be understood without a biology PhD. But no the experts shouldnt tell you what emotional reaction to have. Facts only
@DougJBalloon In no way would I defend RFK jr, but put simply, fluoride in the toothpaste is 100x more effective than fluoride in the water. So essentially fluoridized water is somewhat useful for preventing cavities in people that dont brush. For those that do, it has no effect.
@MrnllMtt If a technology were invented that will make everyone (or a subgroup) 20% more productive, but right now doesnt yet, what would you expect to see a few months after the invention? In terms of Capex, and in terms of ROI? And no chatbots isnt the invention, its coding agents