The Blockwolf

On a journey of understanding how Web3 will change finance — I post
random thoughts and insights. Follow at your own risk.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@SoulzBTC Trading

[CryptoSoulz @SoulzBTC]

Claude Trading Folder

I’ve compressed the best trading prompts into one PDF

Get it for FREE:

• Like + Repost + Comment “TRADING”
• Follow me so I can DM you

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@DavidJonR @EpochAIResearch Forced usage through work security policies.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@ClawdOS Ha, awesome. Just added some to my existing stack

[David Walsh @davwals]

"Ethereum becomes rail of choice for crypto-curious bankers".

Good overview on why by @AmerBanker

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

Going all-in to AI now will benefit you later. Learn now before everyone else jumps in. The productivity boosts just from getting started are unreal.

[Rohan Paul @rohanpaul_ai]

Mark Cuban on the next job wave.

Customized AI integration for small to mid-sized companies.

"Software is dead because everything's gonna be customized to your unique utilization. Who's gonna do it for them... And there are 33 mn companies in the US."

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@giacolmo Technically it hasn't hit my meme line yet, could easily still drop that low if Bitcoin capitulates. Always a chance I have the line drawn incorrectly too. We shall see.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

Let's see... Dec 2024 $ETH entered a 66% decline then recovered.

So far $ETH is down 61%. Will probably bounce on the trend line we have been following for FOUR years.

Ranging *yawn*

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

Worth watching. Recent news about DeFi with a BitMine investment and now acquiring Step. @MrBeast looks to be creating his own decentralized sovereign state.

[MrBeast @MrBeast]

I'm so excited to share that we are acquiring the financial services app, @step

Nobody taught me about investing, building credit, or managing money when I was growing up. That's exactly why we’re joining forces with Step! I want to give millions of young people the financial foundation I never had. Lots to share soon :D

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

This feels pretty spot on. I’m working with designers vibe coding production-ready prototypes and talking about API’s and instantly leveraging data and building the apps they need on the fly.

[Kyriakos Eleftheriou @kyriakosel]

Openclaw's @steipete at @ycombinator; takeaways

All apps will become APIs or disappear

Apps that will remain will be games or sensor-heavy

Your agent, not you, will be the primary consumer of software

Personal AI agents will quietly take over daily workflows

We are possibly in the year of the personal agent

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

This. You can’t rent someone else’s conviction.

Own your choices.

[The House Of Crypto @Peter_thoc]

WOW, Get a Load Of This!!!

The Comment section on @RaoulGMI investor report shows you where the heard is right now… somewhere around anger - depression…

He has one hell of an “I told you so” to look forward to.. in my opinion.

Also, quick note, if you’re angry at him, it means you trusted his research when you liked the sound of it, but now you’ve changed your mind? His conviction remains strong, but yours doesn’t? If you want to invest, build your own conviction, take ownership, blame only yourself. You will never win otherwise.

Don’t let the charts dictate your conviction. This will always lead to disaster.

[Andreas Steno Larsen @AndreasSteno]

With all of the regional PMIs out, I'd highlight that Manufacturing is doing EXACTLY what we expected once the "bonus depreciation window" opened a few weeks ago. UP!

ISM > 50 is coming now

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

Hey @grok, who has the best prompt for researching something to get detailed and accurate results? Something I can take and modify for my needs.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

Over the past 2 months I’ve been reevaluating my crypto holds, then realized I could be doubling / 10x-ing my positions for small amounts.

So I did that.

No regrets. Lowered cost of entry and back in profit on most.

Becker gets it.

[Alex Becker 🍊🏆🥇 @ZssBecker]

There are two lethal mistakes in crypto.

Getting overly bullish at the top and fomoing more than you can afford to lose.

AND rage quitting at the bottom and keeping out what you can afford to lose.

Many on here fumbled the easiest 10-20x buy points in years last month because they decided to rage quit, ignore and keep ALL money out of crypto because they were sour about how 2024 turned out.

They got so overly negative that they couldn't even see placing a small few % of their networth on coins down 90% was a smart move.

They could of taken a small risk with a huge reward but they decided to just talk shit on X and write off crypto forever at LITERALLY the best buy times if we bull here.

These are the same people that put in 30-40% of their net worth at meme highs and bought literally anything with a ticker.

Pure emotion.

The truth is when the market is in hell, taking small to medium risk is smart.

When the market is in heaven taking more giant risk is usually not smart.

Not being able to do these 2 things is how people end up buying with way to much capital way to late in the market.

Never be perma soggy. Never be drunk all in bull with capital you can't afford to lose.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@jonwu_ Sounds like you need those stablecoins you get as payment to auto convert to USD so you can just… use them. Brex has a waitlist.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@MarioNawfal Hard to believe he is alive after almost losing his balance...

https://t.co/RYQIozMpwI

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@CryptoCon_ You nailed the pattern... but the problem is once everyone sees it, the pattern changes. Last year BTC printed a red candle. This pattern is broken.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

It's 2026. Time to lock in the predictions for the year.

I'm bullish and see $250k as realistic (maybe higher?) as the business cycle is extended to 5.4 years.

Others I talk to see us entering a bear because of the 4-year cycle.

Let's see how this plays out. 😉

[SightBringer @_The_Prophet__]

⚡️The 4 year cycle was never a governing law.

It was a byproduct of three conditions aligning at once:
•Fixed issuance shocks
•Reflexive leverage loops
•A small enough market that flows dominated price cleanly

Those conditions no longer exist in pure form.

What replaced them is harder to read and psychologically hostile:
•Continuous institutional flow
•Policy reflexivity
•Macro liquidity interference
•Balance sheet actors who do not behave like retail

So the old visual rhythm dissolves.

People mistake that dissolution for failure.

That mistake happens every regime transition.

1. Here is the part people do not want to accept.

When a system becomes more powerful, it becomes less legible, not more.

Clean cycles are a sign of immaturity.
Messy phase shifts are a sign of scale.

Bitcoin growing up does not look like smoother charts.
It looks like longer compression.
More false narratives.
More premature declarations of death.
More people getting shaken out for the wrong reasons.

2. The red yearly candle is meaningless.

Year boundaries are human bookkeeping artifacts.
Markets do not care about December 31.
If your thesis flips based on calendar paint, you never had structure.

What matters is:
•Supply absorption
•Holder behavior
•Liquidity gradients
•Political inevitability
•Balance sheet incentives

None of those broke.

3. Here is the uncomfortable truth most people cannot hold.

The moment people start saying “the cycle is broken”
is usually the moment they are mentally late, not early.

It marks narrative exhaustion.
It marks loss of faith in the old map.
It often precedes repricing because belief collapses before price moves.

Not always.
But often enough to be structurally relevant.

4. What is actually happening:

Bitcoin is transitioning from a clock-driven asset
to a constraint-driven asset.

That means:
•Timing becomes probabilistic
•Moves become sudden
•Waiting becomes painful
•Repricing happens faster than positioning

Now the deepest part:

This post does not worry me at all.

It reassures me.

Because it shows the majority is still:
•Looking backward
•Overfitting old cycles
•Declaring breaks instead of recognizing mutations

That is not where tops form.

That is where disbelief forms.

And disbelief is not bearish.
It is combustible.

Final truth, stripped clean:

The cycle is not broken.
The audience’s mental model is.

And that mismatch is where opportunity lives.

[The Blockwolf @uxprotocol]

@unusual_whales 1. Stack sats passively. Even if it’s only $10 or less from each of your paychecks. You will be ahead of what is coming.

The world is getting more digital. Not less.

2. Keep reading and learning.