valuemonk

private account - personal opinion only

[Ho Nam @honam]

Claude is so good that I think it’ll extend my investing career at least a decade. Everything that was effortlessly remembered when I was younger is no longer in working memory as I get older. Now Claude helps me connect the dots better than ever and go down rabbit holes quickly, whenever I want. What’s an extra decade of compounding worth?

[David Orr @orrdavid]

Now that's a contrarian call!

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

Oh please, can the market gods stop being so cruel! Now they’re naming Swiss villages SaaS.

[Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks) @MikeFritzell]

👀

[Turning over rocks @RocksOver]

My Japan allocation is nearing 30%. Mostly deep value stuff/net-nets. But I’ve been adding some software and cheap growth names. Here are some interesting ones that came up in a TIKR screen - all net cash with double digit revenue growth and relatively high returns on capital.

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@saylor @JeffBezos To a man with a hammer...

[Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks) @MikeFritzell]

"In Asia, you're going to have about double the standard deviation than the US. So in a bad earnings year in Asia, the earnings really fall off. That could be explained by cyclicality, leverage, etc"

https://t.co/KWzLeJr2gm

[modest proposal @modestproposal1]

There has been essentially zero job growth in cyclical industries in six months

[MacroValue @pradeeepk]

RAM in GPUs keeps going higher
This trend will continue in the era of test time compute scaling

$MU

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@ArminWolf Hmmm, hier sagt es anderes. "Fast jede zweite Frau in den USA (46 Prozent), die zur Wahl ging, gab Trump ihre Stimme."

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@ReturnsJourney Stupid me, could have thought about that. Thanks, that solved it 👍🏻

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@Vienna13Capital @NickDavisNZ @jonrice80 @Kiyan_1130 @GHRAnalyst Cool to see someone with that handle comment on PAR. @Vienna13Capital would be great to connect personally if you like. Please DM.

[The Transcript @TheTranscript_]

$MSFT

[Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks) @MikeFritzell]

@InvestInJapan He's the newsletter OG

[David Orr @orrdavid]

I've (almost?) never seen Broadcom $AVGO discussed, a stock that is up 10,000% in 15 years. They have so many different lines of business it seems hard to really comprehend, and it seems like largely boring prodocuts, which is probably why the opportunity existed for so long?

Share count jumped 50% in 2017, so growth isn't quite as good as it seems here. But also, it seems that depreciation might way overstate the real expense? Capex is way below D+A but they did grow via acquisition which is always tricky.

This was trading for just ~13x free cash flow (backing out stock comp) in October 2022. What was the bear thesis, or was it just overlooked - probably not overlooked since it was $200 billion market cap.

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@MarcusWadsak Dunning Kruger Effekt

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@solar_chase That's why they go to Austria For vacation. We still need the money. Because we have to pay a lot of taxes to support "the machine".

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@lhamtil Emphasis on "could"

[valuemonk @valuemonk]

@Molson_Hart Ban the TV set to another room. In the living room it's a constant call for action. It's like the phone on the table. Do away with it.