VikingCompounder

Hook Em

[Geiger Capital @Geiger_Capital]

Bro really sold to SemiAnalysis at the top.

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Some pods definitely blew up today?

30 yr and 20 yr are now flat on the day while semis and smid caps are still crashing

[Nobody Special @JG_Nuke]

@hkuppy Would $NVDA buy them out to avoid the headline risk? If they did, would the market still believe they haven't just been buying their own chips all along?

[Avian Capital @aviancapital]

1) The bear market began long ago for those paying attention. Most stocks are down 20-80%. We are tracking the 2008 cycle almost to a tee in terms of all the different sectors topping in order and timing

2) As I highlighted in "Did the Bubble Just Pop" after the sharp unwind in June/July, there were 3 massive deleveraging events. First, in October of last year with crypto and shitcos like $IONQ $OKLO, then in metals with $GLD and $SLV in the beginning of the year, then with AI trade in June/July.

3) Bear markets always begin with shitcos leading the way down and leaders being the last to go

4) Junk spreads are blowing out. This is possibly the single biggest warning signal you could ask for.

5) Today, there was a lot of signal in the bond market. After hot inflation data, yields started to rise, but then they tanked. That should tell you something.

6) The economy is hanging on by a thread and most people are not aware. This could be a whole article on it's own, but the economy is not in good shape right now. The data is very misleading and very questionable. Consumer seems like it's near it's breaking point and I am very confident we are going to see more stress in the credit markets appear.

I try to help people as much as I can. I have been pointing out all the risks for a while so I hope I could have saved a couple people out there. This will serve as my final warning. I don't like to see people lose money.

Bear markets are tricky to navigate. Things go down quickly, before you can even think and make a decision. Then they squeeze higher to give you hope. Then they go down lower. After enough times you turn around and realize you were in a bear market the whole time.

Stay safe out there.

- AC 🕊️

[Convexititties, CFA @convexititties]

*taps sign*

Btw CRWV, NBIS, and IREN face a combined $72B funding gap in 2027 (CapEx - Op CF). If capital markets are closed to them, ~$41B of NVDA purchases could be at risk, or ~11% of NVDA’s consensus DC revenue.

We’re about to find out if NVDA is really capacity constrained, or if demand was reliant on a mix of cheap financing and customers padding their orders to secure the best possible allocations, like asset managers do.

My guess is the latter and that we’re past peak CapEx. Therefore growth and inflation expectations will moderate, bringing down Treasury yields and AI capex stocks.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: South Korea’s KOSPI falls another -7% as tech stocks drop sharply.

The KOSPI is now down -40% from its record high seen on June 19th.

[Irlandarra @irlandarra2019]

Hey @grok, Was Osama bin Laden a CIA agent?

[Negligible Capital @negligible_cap]

*KOREA'S KOSPI FALLS 5.7% AS CHIP ROUT DEEPENS

[Dan Druckenmiller @xEBITDA]

I think the wheels are coming off soon.

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@EddyElfenbein Burn the AI names

[Eddy Elfenbein @EddyElfenbein]

October 19 is a Monday this year, just like 1987.

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@danielnewmanUV 0% chance this thing isn't crashing

Party is over

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@quantian1 They ain't getting public

[Paulo Macro @PauloMacro]

*COREWEAVE CEO BLAMES SHARE DROP ON MARKET ACTING 'IRRATIONALLY'

no crying in the casino bro

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@WatcherGuru Fuck Larry Fink

[JustDario @DarioCpx]

Anthropic is NEVER going to IPO until it discloses its real numbers in a public S1 form - The company can share all the MARKETING it wants with media, but that won’t change the listing rules that require disclosure of AUDITED ACCOUNTS

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@pequityresearch Fake margins lol

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@MelvinInvests CDS tells you it's a zero mate

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@MirageWL8 Mate there will be such excess capacity when Oai and Anthropic go tits up

[VikingCompounder @VikingCompound]

@LeopoldTracker_ Nah mate
It'll be easy bc anthropic is not getting out