volcel

philosophical arbitrage. dreaming new equilibriums.

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@philly76fan215 @blondesnmoney fake volume/liquidity

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@izebel_eth @notthreadguy when I was 12 I wanted a travelers tundra mammoth so I learned market making with arctic furs

[volcel @volatilitycel]

one thing crypto teaches well is that market cap is mostly a function of liquidity

"fair value" is a memetic schelling point, even when it's a claim on cash flows

[volcel @volatilitycel]

also the asymmetry of exposing ones' energy to infinite gain for finite loss versus infinite loss for finite gain. the convexity is obvious on the surface, but not always how it impacts the psyche.

[volcel @volatilitycel]

one thing I've noticed about positioning short is that it can create a form of spiritual sickness

the power of the observer effect, where attention shapes the reality you inhabit, coupled with a vested interest in destruction cultivates a scrutinizing and pessimistic worldview, which can ripple into other areas

rooting for the failure of a system, e.g. shorting indices, feels starkly different than rooting for the success of another, e.g. longing oil, even though they are strongly correlated

imbalanced Gevurah overriding Chesed, when the ideal is integrating them into Tiferet

stay disciplined with strong judgment, while remaining loving and kind, channeling the divine to the material through deliberate focus

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@kitten_beloved it's more than that cuz u get 2.65% from 102.49

[volcel @volatilitycel]

started trimming the bottom I shoulda just FSH'd

[volcel @volatilitycel]

took off 20% and gonna keep trimming cuz no need to hero ego one trade and make it an identity just cuz I'm tweeting about it. already up nicely and need to be nimble for an eventual countertrend or short a lower high. don't wanna get emotionally attached larping the big short. W

[volcel @volatilitycel]

round tripped the remainder of the shorts I left on lmao ouch. giving them one week before I cut them (oil futures delivery + monthly opex)

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@Wild_Randomness feels distributive I would've expected more momentum if it was constructive

[volcel @volatilitycel]

this ceasefire/concessions don't make any sense as a final resolution. they read like damage control and buying time more than anything concrete. framing it as a win is comical and Israel is not happy at all. interested to see how it progresses.

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@d_gilz @thiccyth0t with a rigged carnival rim

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@Wild_Randomness newish follower but uve been nailing it impressive good work many similar perspectives

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@d_gilz same here after a month of euphoric psychosis

[volcel @volatilitycel]

gonna stop posting here. I had high conviction so I shared. then I used it as a tool to vent to not get shaken out and share the thesis. entering is the easy part and closing it is the hard part. gonna focus on a clean exit without being married to it and trade around it more. gg

[volcel @volatilitycel]

downside convexity into spring is too cheap

[volcel @volatilitycel]

took off 20% and gonna keep trimming cuz no need to hero ego one trade and make it an identity just cuz I'm tweeting about it. already up nicely and need to be nimble for an eventual countertrend or short a lower high. don't wanna get emotionally attached larping the big short. W

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@Wild_Randomness reflexivity at its finest. exit less liquid everyday.

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@TheGuard_x1 ah I see yes it's uncomfortable for any serious allocator with the crackhead egg man

[volcel @volatilitycel]

seeing a lot of "they have two years in dividends"

the preferred share price will discount the risk well before any payments are missed

their ability to service dividends relies on their ability to raise capital, which is reflexive

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

You weren’t meant to live an uncomfortable life. $STRC

[volcel @volatilitycel]

@TheGuard_x1 sure but the point I'm making is that if that came into fruition there's a high probability it'd be trading at a discount before then