CccZ

DeCrypto

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

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[CccZ @vv_cccz]

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[CccZ @vv_cccz]

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[CccZ @vv_cccz]

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[imToken @imTokenOfficial]

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Powered by @Galxe

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

Verifying my Twitter account for my #GalxeID gid:TTf5zpAcyXBFwLFdferRWh @Galxe

https://t.co/21sbNj9aDH

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

@ashu_mest 几时真正地「做生意」

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

Getting some Goerli BASE at @quicknode's faucet for my 4B5558e0 wallet!
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[CccZ @vv_cccz]

I just subscribed to The Daily Bolt by Revelo Intel https://t.co/84akRrwN3T

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

@lumosnear @0xstk @furrzuki @NFTTrack @Simon__Liu @Yuan0xHaku 你私教费都是靠这个赚的？

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

@lumosnear @mirandacohenfit look again? can no can look a little bit?

[Permaswap @Permaswap]

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[CccZ @vv_cccz]

@lumosnear @ashu_mest ��一些你该圈的人，一起搏傻

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

Verifying my @0xPLUR profile 💬

sig: 0x963cbf711c9406f0add00029ea342e9e455c496a9f05804b9a187265247f47889df796c3007a325b078c58be4f2508584d7b2f4dfd87700638a08819dd018c6790

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[CccZ @vv_cccz]

资本主义铁拳也是铁拳

[Brian Armstrong @brian_armstrong]

@LefterisJP @LidoFinance @coinbase @krakenfx @stakedus @BitcoinSuisseAG It's a hypothetical we hopefully won't actually face. But if we did we'd go with B i think. Got to focus on the bigger picture. There may be some better option (C) or a legal challenge as well that could help reach a better outcome.

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

贝叶斯概率其实是一种很主观的概率估计。
整个的过程可以理解为：
1. 一开始看到一个地址时，根据以往的经验，它有 70% 是一个好地址（先验概率）。
2. 但是当看到它有使用过 TC 后，它是一个好地址的概率瞬间就降到了 1% （后验概率）

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

如果某个地址使用了 tornado cash，那么它是「坏地址」的概率有多大？
先不着急计算，可以先凭感觉默默记一个数。

1/n

[CccZ @vv_cccz]

回到最开始的问题：如果某个地址使用了 tornado cash，那么它是「坏地址」的概率有多大？
问题实际就是求条件概率 P(A`|B) 的值。
使用贝叶斯公式， P(A`|B) = P(A`B)/P(B) = (P(A`)*P(B|A`))/P(B) = 0.3*0.0066/0.002 = 0.99 (99%)