@btharris93 I see where your arguments rationale, but it may be its biggest flaw. There is no rationale in people that support Russia, they do it, because their critical sense was completely destroyed by a small screen, and lack of reality check. However, Dugin is clearly delusional.
@pedroprola Bastaria uma curta pesquisa para saber que em Portugal uma pessoa pode receber gratuitamente óculos para o eclipse. Outra coisa, num país de 50 milhões de habitantes, 2 milhões de óculos não é lá grande coisa, pois não?
@mpoejotorres O que significa rendição "incondicional"? Mudança de regime ou a mera condição de que não vai perseguir armas nucleares? Sendo um destes dois, parece estarmos mais distante desde que o ataque começou. Concordando com a tua análise, a armadilha da esclada está montada.
@chana5415@shanaka86 For sure it can. But why doing that? If everyone knows where it is located. If you want to make a covert surveillance mission, you ise disguised cargo ship, not huge surveillance vessels.
@shanaka86 Diplomatic calendars matter, yes. But this reads like narrative architecture, not evidence.
Coincidence isn’t choreography, and symbolism isn’t strategy.
High-stakes military decisions don’t follow holiday scripts.
⚠️ ATTENTION: Do not underestimate Storm #Marta!
The Portuguese people are not being sufficiently warned about what’s coming. Recent model guidance has been adjusting to newer data and I expect Marta to continue intensifying up until landfall tomorrow.
NOTE: I don’t expect this storm to be as severe as Kristin, but a storm doesn’t need to be historic to be dangerous. As most of you know, Portugal and Spain remain in a very critical situation with severe flooding unfolding. Marta will not only bring widespread *heavy* rain but the continued intensification suggests a risk of very strong winds.
It’s still unclear exactly what areas will be affected by the worst winds, but it’s reasonable to expect the strongest gusts across central and southern Portugal and also in parts of the north, especially wherever the center of the storm makes landfall. There is a possibility of particularly strong winds in excess of 120-130 km/h near the core of the storm.
Trees and power lines will be more prone to fall with soils continuing to be deeply saturated.
In summary:
Please prepare for widespread disruptive winds and further heavy rainfall exacerbating the ongoing flood crisis.
Thank you for reading and be sure to share this information! The more people that know what’s coming, the better.
@johnstanly Useful pushback against liberal binaries, but it overcorrects.
Sanctions and external pressure matter, yes. But Iran’s crisis can’t be reduced to Western engineering alone.
Internal agency, social fracture, and regime choices still count.
@McFaul Historically, external military strikes during internal protests tend to hurt, not help. They rally elites, legitimize repression, and undermine the autonomy of democratic movements.
@clement_molin Could also mean that Ukraine is preparing terrain for a scenario that includes the acknowledgement of russian occupation. In other words, we can even have a temporary cease-fire, but this war is to be fought for the next decades.
@ConflictDISP Ukraine has just won the war at sea. Strategically speaking, Russian naval assets are not sailing out of Novorossiysk. The base is closed.
@BowesChay Here's your problem: you think NATO is a block. Let me tell you, it is not. It is an alliance built on consensus, a quite fragile one. When Hungary didn't want to play by the soviet rules, it was invaded in the 60's. Today, you won't see "Brussels" troops in Budapest.
@shanaka86 You mix facts and speculation. Neither the US nor the EU plan to seize $200B; interest profits are on the table. Belgium fears legal liability for Euroclear. This isn’t Yalta, it’s a dispute over who funds and shapes Ukraine’s rebuild. Serious issue, but without the apocalypse.
@astraiaintel You are dangerously oversimplying this... In the worst case scenario, you might imply that there are simple solutions. Well, there is no simple solutions for this mess.