Whales Prediction

Trade predictions with your pre-market edge at @whalesmarket

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

https://t.co/faqy1q2utr

[Whales Premarket @whalespremarket]

https://t.co/CBFhGwhLKn

[Whales Premarket @whalespremarket]

90% of perp DEX farmers will be net negative by TGE.

Save this thread. It’s the framework I use to farm 6 perp DEXes and stay profitable 🧵 👇

[Whales Premarket @whalespremarket]

Volume farming is dead.

In 2026, projects don't reward your transaction count.

They reward your "wallet narrative."

Most farmers have no idea what that means. Here's how to actually build one 🧵

[Whales Premarket @whalespremarket]

🍵 $TEA TGE confirmed. The Tea Party begins June 4.

One of the most underrated pre-market plays of Q2 2026. Deep dive on @teaprotocol and why Whales Market is the earliest entry 👇

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Will $BASE TGE in Q2 2026?

After @Backpack TGE got heavily criticized by the community, airdrop farmers are clearly looking for one big name to make it back... and right now, @base feels like the biggest hope.

Proof is, the community reacted very positively when $BASE got listed on @WhalesMarket
Check here: https://t.co/ikbvi7FWSp

On Polymarket, Base’s day 1 FDV scenario is leaning heavily toward $2B at 67%, and even $4B is sitting at 42%.

If $BASE launches during this bear market, what valuation do you think makes the most sense?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Did you know?

@BasedOneX has raised total $15.20M, backed by top VCs including @PanteraCapital, @cbventures, @SpartanGroup, @Delphi_Digital, @wintermute_t,...

On @Polymarket — "Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?" The market is fairly confident $BASED will hit $50M+ FDV, but the $100M+ mark remains a big question.

With $15.20M raised from some of the sharpest names in crypto, is the market underpricing $BASED?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Latest update on “insider” KKStone

• Profit/Loss: -$170M
• Positions Value: $0
• Biggest Win: +$81.9K (the only one came from the >$200M position)

Before resolution, he got heavily criticized by the community over suspected manipulation after allegedly buying 4M $BP to push FDV >$200M right at the cutoff.

As of now, there is still no official statement from @Polymarket about any investigation or wallet ban on KKStone, even though they updated their anti-insider trading rules on March 23.

Do you think this was just a terrible strategy, or are “they” hiding something?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Found a potential @Backpack insider?

This account has bet over $300k on
“Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?”

Main positions: YES > $200M – $300M

The account was created on March 16, just 7 days before TGE

Do you think this is a Backpack insider?👀

Check here: https://t.co/NM5974gVnD

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Top @Polymarket projects by weekly trading volume

1. @betmoardotfun - $53M
2. @PolyCopy_bot - $15M
3. @Polygun_ - $6.4M
4. @polymtrade - $5.3M
5. @insight_predict - $5.1M
6. @kreoapp - $4.6M
7. @StandDOTtrade - $3.1M
8. @Chance_ - $2.8M

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 @Backpack Estimated Airdrop Rewards 🎒

4 days left until TGE. Here's what your points are actually worth

Total ~423M points were distributed over 40 weeks

Pre-market price on @WhalesMarket is around $0.3 → FDV sitting at ~$300M

What you're geting at $0.3:
> 10k points = ~5,700 tokens = ~$1,710
> 1 Mad Lads = 1,000 tokens = ~$300

Clock is ticking. You selling day one or holding?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Found a potential @Backpack insider?

This account has bet over $300k on
“Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?”

Main positions: YES > $200M – $300M

The account was created on March 16, just 7 days before TGE

Do you think this is a Backpack insider?👀

Check here: https://t.co/NM5974gVnD

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 @Opensea delays $SEA TGE. Here's what you need to know

No new launch date confirmed yet

Key updates:
> Users can request a refund on platform fees from rounds 3–6 (but treasures from those rounds will be removed)
> Treasures you're currently holding? Still count toward TGE whenever it happens
> 0% transaction fees for 60 days, starting March 31

The delay isn't great news, but the fee waiver + treasure protection suggests they're trying to hold user trust while they figure things out.

Odds of a Q2 launch dropped 60% right after the announcement.

How long will holders actually wait before losing patience?

[dfinzer.eth | opensea @dfinzer]

an update on $SEA.

the team has been building at full speed, and the foundation had planned to kick off the first steps as part of our march 30th event. but @openseafdn is pushing back the timeline.

a delay is a delay. i’m not going to dress it up, and i know how it lands.

the reality is that market conditions are challenging across crypto right now, and $SEA only launches once. @openseafdn could force the original date, or we could ensure every piece is in place and make this moment what this community deserves.

we gave a tremendous amount of thought to how to do right here. I’m thankful to @HollanderAdam for bringing the community’s voice into every conversation. we’ll be doing the following:

no more waves: the current rewards wave will be our last.

optional fee refund: recognizing that we originally committed to a Q1 date, we’re offering refunds of the platform fees we retained while participating in the rewards waves (3 - 6) that followed our timing announcement. if you like, you can receive a refund of those fees, which when combined with treasure chest prizes, essentially means all of your trading during that period was on us. if you opt for a refund, the Treasures you were awarded during these waves will be removed from your account. details on this process will follow.

honoring existing Treasures: for Treasures you continue to hold, our prior commitment stands: they will be meaningfully considered by the Foundation at TGE. this is independent from allocations for historical activity.

0% fees for 60 days: starting on march 31st, opensea will reduce our own token trading fees to 0%. we want to make it a no-brainer for everyone to experience our new platform: cross-chain token trading, mobile app, perps and more. after this 60 day period, we will put a new system in place that makes fees significantly more competitive for anyone trading consistently on opensea.

product updates: while we’re postponing our march 30th event, we’ll host a separate one in the coming months focused on product updates. it’s been incredible to see the early responses to our mobile app, and we can’t wait to get it into more people’s hands.

so if not now, wen?

when we announced last year, it was too early. that created unnecessary uncertainty and reactivity. so when the Foundation sets a new timeline, it will be deliberate and specific.

here’s why i’m confident that’s the right move:

i’ve been building opensea for almost a decade. when this started, we were two people and the only thing you could trade on OS was cryptokitties. i’ve watched this space go from a niche curiosity to billions in volume to where we are today.

the thing that’s carried us through every cycle was a willingness to make hard calls when it mattered. when our market crashed, we rebuilt from zero: an entirely new stack, a new product, and a new team culture. that hurt in the short term. but today OS2 is undeniably the strongest marketplace offering, and it’s the foundation everything sits on.

we have huge ambitions as a company, and we’re here for the long game. making all of non-custodial crypto delightful on mobile is just the beginning. that means we have to set a very high bar for everything we do, and it’s why i’m so protective of delivering a launch that’s worthy of this community and everything we’re putting into this.

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 @katana FDV Prediction: How high could $KAT go after day 1?

$KAT TGE is March 18. Polymarket's "Katana FDV above ___ one day after launch?" is already live with clear signal.

Look at the odds:

• >$50M: 99% → floor is basically confirmed
• >$100M: 85% → largely priced in, low edge
• >$200M: 26% → where it gets interesting
• >$300M: 7% → low prob, high reward

But here's what makes this launch different:

• No VC allocation. Zero early investors sitting on cheap bags waiting to dump.
• Float is structurally compressed: 35% guaranteed yield in 60 days if you lock vKAT → strong incentive to NOT sell day 1.
• Premarket pricing ~$0.0136 → implied FDV ~$136M → market already leaning base case.

➥ Polymarket is comfy pricing $100M–$200M.

The real question is whether Binance FOMO + no-VC narrative pushes it above $200M.

Best strategies:

• YES >$50M: near-certain, but no real edge at 99%
• YES >$100M: edge mostly gone at 85%
• YES >$200M as the primary position — risk/reward still makes sense at 26%
• YES >$300M with small size if you believe the "community-first DeFi" narrative gets real traction

If FOMO hits hard and vKAT lock rate stays high, both $200M and $300M positions could pay off simultaneously.Katana FDV Prediction: How high could $KAT go after day 1?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳Top @Polymarket projects by weekly trading volume

1. @betmoardotfun $17,293K
2. @PolyCopy_bot $2,861K
3. @polymtrade $1,942K
4. @insight_predict $1,531K
5. @Polygun_ $1,418K
6. @kreoapp $813K
7. @Chance_ $700K
8. @StandDOTtrade $478K

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

@kelvinoyibo2 gWhales

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳Something doesn’t add up with $BP

Pre-market pricing $BP at $0.33–$0.4
→ FDV ~$300M–$400M

Polymarket odds for $300M FDV
→ only 64%

One of them is wrong. Maybe both.

Who’s trading with better information here? 👀

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 @Polymarket Update:

Top 40 active events by total volume

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Simple $MEGA play right now: Sell on Whales Market + buy Polymarket YES

Sell allocation on @whalespremarket now
→ lock profit while hype still prices $MEGA around ~$1.3B FDV.

Check here: https://t.co/d8g06QeJEM

Pre-markets almost always adjust down near TGE
as public sale buyers and whales start selling.

Taking profit early removes that risk.

Then rotate a portion into:

• YES > $800M FDV (60¢)
• YES > $600M FDV (70¢)

This is essentially betting that $MEGA won’t crash hard on day 1.

Which is reasonable because:

• Public sale implied valuation ~ $999M
• Sale was 27x oversubscribed
• Market expectations still cluster around $900M–$1.2B

So Polymarket pricing may actually be too bearish.

=> Result: You already locked profit from pre-market selling.

While the YES positions keep upside if FDV stays above $600M–$800M.

In most scenarios, the pre-market profit covers the Polymarket bet.

Meaning the structure is simple:

> Exit hype early
> Keep upside exposure
> Practically no scenario where the trade goes net negative.

Anyone else playing $MEGA like this?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Could buying the @megaeth ICO actually be a losing trade?

@Polymarket just added > $600M for the market:
“MegaETH (FDV) one day after launch.”

Odds moved fast and already touched ~70%.

Are YES buyers just throwing money out the window?

Or should ICO buyers maybe slow down and be a bit more careful?

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

@DivinoLima10 @Backpack @Polymarket Just an estimate

[Whales Prediction @whalespredict]

🐳 Will Backpack TGE in March?

At 10pm JST (≈ 13:00 UTC), @Backpack is hosting a pre-TGE talk to discuss “plans for TGE and everything in between” and “moving to our next stage.”

Right after the announcement, the odds for a March 31 TGE on @Polymarket jumped 2x, from 30% to 66%.

What do you think? Yes or No?