in the sky

-Jaccount Baru, hehehe

[in the sky @willydh_]

@Tekeee Meatball 🤤

[in the sky @willydh_]

@ihsanagaz Bentar lagi lebaran saatnya beli baso🤤

[in the sky @willydh_]

Holiday not found😇
#kareem #eid

[Stained Glass Radio @stainedglassFM]

The Strokes - When It Started

[in the sky @willydh_]

Honestly, Ramadhan skrg banyak trigger-nye sampe males liat market

[in the sky @willydh_]

All about commodities

[in the sky @willydh_]

@LambeSahamjja Mirip yaumul mizan. Ketika manusia dikumpulin di akhirat dan ditimbang amalan perbuatannya selama di dunia derrr😄

[in the sky @willydh_]

Planning of Money > Mathematics= Common Sense
Psychology of Money > Habit= Lust
#suhoor

[in the sky @willydh_]

@NatRothschild1 Ampun ngab

[in the sky @willydh_]

Skill is dead
Fundamental is dead
Anything is dead💀😂

[TSM 💰 @thesmallmoney]

Minyak naik yg dibeli $OILS
Batu bara naik yg dibeli $COAL

Fundamental is dead 🤣

[in the sky @willydh_]

For this time:
Diversifikasi aset dan jauhi leverage yang tidak bermanfaat. Dunia ini tidak kenal siapa kamu dan apa latar belakangmu.

[in the sky @willydh_]

WnS👀

[Not Jerome Powell @alifarhat79]

The stock market waiting to open on Monday

[naya ≅ @nayainfurs]

bad decisions by the strokes (2020)

[in the sky @willydh_]

@abcdefckyu__ Alm. Bokap ama nyokap juga

[in the sky @willydh_]

"Time flies, Thing changes"

I thought it only about the Kondratiev Wave (Macroeconomics), actually that's also how to understand and confess to someone😄
Dynamics > Improvisation= Result

[in the sky @willydh_]

I think, he was so right all this time

[Steve Burns @SJosephBurns]

“Smart men go broke three ways: liquor, ladies and leverage.”

— Charlie Munger

[Ray Dalio @RayDalio]

https://t.co/tjmbT5ytUN

[Math Files @Math_files]

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.

So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.

Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?

Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.

For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.

Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.

Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

[Quant Science @quantscience_]

"You can teach a physicist finance but you cannot teach a finance person physics."

- Jim Simons