@Sagasta15@ToffCap I’m a subscriber but that’s because they gave me $45 to subscribe for $20. The subscription and service is pretty useless I can really find a good deal on eDreams
"Since late 2024, I am busy like never seen before. Japan now in spiral where hostile TOBs embolden activists, which in turn embolden hostile TOBs. This trend will only accelerate in 2025"
ーYo Ohta, Japan's star activist defense lawyer at Nishimura & Asahi
Our friend @ValueSituations shared this interesting SOTP case 👇
$DCC is a UK-listed conglomerate break-up event situation. I estimate the stock offers 95% upside from here vs. -12% downside, implying a highly asymmetric risk/return profile.
Long-regarded as a high-quality, serial-acquirer/compounder name, DCC’s share price has stalled in recent years as investors lost interest in the stock amid concerns around the prospects for its Energy division and headwinds impacting its smaller Healthcare and Technology businesses.
However, recently management surprised the market with the news that it intends to break-up DCC’s long-standing conglomerate structure to focus on its highest-growth, highest return division, DCC Energy.
The break-up has the potential to unlock significant value for shareholders.
I estimate the divestments of the Healthcare and Technology divisions could raise ~£2.2bn / 41% of DCC’s entire market cap.
This implies that the remaining DCC Energy business (which accounts for c.75% of DCC’s operating profits) is valued at just 6.8x EBITDA (a near trough multiple for the stock and compares to DCC’s historic average multiple of 11.8x).
This just seems too low for a c. 19% ROIC, c. 10% earnings growth business with strong FCF generation (~7.5% FCFE yield).
Management have stated that surplus cash from the break-up will be returned to shareholders, with the RemainCo well positioned for a market re-rating as a simplified energy-growth story, supported by energy security and energy transition tailwinds.
$DCC was highlighted recently in our Toffcap Monday Monitor, our overview of interesting event-driven trades and special sits. Find it @ToffCap (no paywall)
@CommBank Unfortunately Twitter does not let me start PM with you because I am an unverified account !
I wish the person on instant chat would take feedback as willingly !
@bookingcom the customer service is pretty crap 💩these days. Can’t fix messaging issue on the app and tells customer to just try fix it yourself. Like wtf