Clay Wren

Researching AI, labor markets, and economic agency.

Love jiu-jitsu, MMA, house music, movies, and oysters.

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

New article from me on labor policy and the labs.

Dario is right that AI could create hypergrowth and hyperinequality. But the deeper issue is whether the labs are actually building models that preserve human agency in the production function.

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@AaronBergman18 Curious if you’ve read Robert Epstein’s The Case Against Adolescence?

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@corduroyjoy I don’t like going from Astoria —> anywhere in Brooklyn :(

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

My rent is being raised by a catastrophic amount so I will be finding a new neighborhood in the city.

Chelsea? East village? LES? Thoughts? Opinions?

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@RFishBlueFish Yeah

[Teddy Schleifer @teddyschleifer]

Micah Lasher privately told people that he believed the spending for Leading the Future — which was meant to help him — actually backfired.

https://t.co/1ETdqC4mgE

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@cabanadrives6 Oooooh

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

Yeah depending when you’re here.

1) all tech is human workshop July 13
2) I haven’t been but I’ve heard good things about the Collider coworking space https://t.co/7QR8nRcQ55
3) July 4th is not my favorite time to be in the city haha I will be in Seattle. It’s like NYE but worse.

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@tyler_m_john @JoalStein @divyasiddarth Super cool! Can’t wait to dig in

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@AndrewCurran_ Is it possible for any lab with enough compute to build a Fable-level model within the next 1-2 months? I assumed the breakthrough was post-training as OpenAI currently mogs Anthropic on total compute

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@CRSegerie Hi — great post!

[Khoa Vu @KhoaVuUmn]

GLP-1 increases marriage, which will boost fertility and cancel out the effect of iPhone. This in turn will raise population, so minimum wage will have negative effect on employment again.

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

He really is everywhere in NYC

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@LRudL_ @VaclavSmil I, too, have tweeted something only to be disproven by my own discovery minutes later

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

Insanely cursed letterboxd spread

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

I’m not against the idea of a prediction market in theory (which is why I enjoy Manifold) but both P*lymarket and K*lshi engage in insidious amounts of news laundering and astroturfing. They are despicable platforms.

[Madhav Chanchani @madhavchanchani]

Polymarket created a clone website so creators could fake winning trades, according to WSJ.

It also used an agency to promote videos showing how easily insider trading could be carried out on the platform.

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@lookatmyopinion Why is it in the apex 💔💔

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@Miles_Brundage Pronounced like jhaun gaul

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@juli_li_ 100%

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@leonardtang_ Insane day to be in Manhattan

[Clay Wren @wrenclay]

@jackclarkSF @sckimbriel @AspenInstitute Wait is it open to the public?