New article from me on labor policy and the labs.
Dario is right that AI could create hypergrowth and hyperinequality. But the deeper issue is whether the labs are actually building models that preserve human agency in the production function.
Micah Lasher privately told people that he believed the spending for Leading the Future — which was meant to help him — actually backfired.
https://t.co/1ETdqC4mgE
Yeah depending when you’re here.
1) all tech is human workshop July 13
2) I haven’t been but I’ve heard good things about the Collider coworking space https://t.co/7QR8nRcQ55
3) July 4th is not my favorite time to be in the city haha I will be in Seattle. It’s like NYE but worse.
@AndrewCurran_ Is it possible for any lab with enough compute to build a Fable-level model within the next 1-2 months? I assumed the breakthrough was post-training as OpenAI currently mogs Anthropic on total compute
GLP-1 increases marriage, which will boost fertility and cancel out the effect of iPhone. This in turn will raise population, so minimum wage will have negative effect on employment again.
I’m not against the idea of a prediction market in theory (which is why I enjoy Manifold) but both P*lymarket and K*lshi engage in insidious amounts of news laundering and astroturfing. They are despicable platforms.
Polymarket created a clone website so creators could fake winning trades, according to WSJ.
It also used an agency to promote videos showing how easily insider trading could be carried out on the platform.