. @AlexWinston89 reports on Prince Reza Pahlavi’s address at the Cyrus the Great II gathering in Toronto and its central message: the Islamic Republic is decaying from within as civilian and military figures quietly break with the regime and decentralized resistance networks expand across Iran.
Following the January massacre, the movement has regrouped, adapted its tactics and entered a new phase. Its objective remains unchanged: the overthrow of the Islamic Republic and the establishment of a free and prosperous Iran.
The work is not yet finished. But the regime is increasingly hollow, while the Iranian people are more determined, cohesive and organized than ever.
The dawn of freedom is near.
Turkey raided gay bars and LGBTQ groups this week and jailed activists. (BBC, Reuters, & AP.) Same-sex relations aren’t even a crime there.
HRC, GLAAD, and Stonewall have not written a word. HRC spent the week posting Senate endorsements.
A week of mass arrests. Silence.
Wonderful to join Coalition colleagues and our Leader @AngusTaylorMP to speak with Reza Pahlavi, a leading voice of the Iranian opposition.
The Islamic Republic is an enemy of its own people, an exporter of terrorism and a threat to Australia and the wider world.
It tortures and executes its own citizens, funds terrorism and continues to pursue nuclear weapons.
But Iran’s future does not have to be its past.
Mr Pahlavi spoke of a free and democratic Iran, a future that can be secured by the Iranian people themselves, through a broad and united movement for change.
The Iranian people deserve freedom. We are proud to stand with them.
@tedobrienmp
Some still claim it is impossible for this terrorist regime to slaughter over 50,000 people in just two nights.
Watch this video. Listen to the relentless hail of gunfire. Watch massive crowds standing under live ammunition, and look directly at the uncountable corpses stacked in the aftermath.
Now understand this: this nightmare wasn't happening in a vacuum. It was executed simultaneously across every city, in a nation of 90 million people, beneath the dark cover of a total blackout.
Unless you actively profit from the tyranny of this occupying cartel, the math is written in blood. Look at the bodies. Hear the guns.
The truth is right in front of you
stop looking away.
#IranMassacre
This is how they slaughtered tens of thousands of Iranians in just 48 hours.
By comparison, around 50,000 Palestinian civilians were killed over two years in a defensive war in which Hamas deliberately used them as human shields.
Yet pro-Pales cannot stop screaming about a fabricated genocide while completely ignoring the slaughter of Iranians.
𝗠𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗠𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗡𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝗪𝗮𝗿. 𝗜 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝗧𝗼𝘆𝗼𝘁𝗮 𝗦𝗵𝗶𝗽𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗠𝗮𝗻𝗶𝗳𝗲𝘀𝘁𝘀.
𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗧𝗲𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗡𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘀 "𝗕𝗲𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗲" 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝘁.
The @Toyota Hilux is the AK-47 of modern warfare.
That is not a metaphor. It is 40 years of battlefield fact, and it makes bulk Toyota shipping data one of the MOST reliable early warning signals available to an OSINT analyst, military strategists and observers.
The vehicle is EVERYWHERE a war is.
In 1987, a conflict between Chad and Libya was literally named the Toyota War, after Chadian forces used Land Cruisers to destroy Libyan armor across the desert.
The Soviet special forces in Afghanistan preferred captured Toyotas to their own trucks. Two thirds of the vehicles in ISIS's Raqqa parades were Toyotas.
US special operations command fields the Land Cruiser and Hilux as its official non-standard tactical vehicle. Every side, every conflict, every proxy force runs on them.
Which is exactly WHY the supply chain and shipping data matters, and this is not theory.
In 2020, a watchdog, @Global_Witness, obtained an actual spreadsheet the Sudanese RSF militia used to track its own vehicle buys. It showed the RSF had purchased over a thousand Toyota Hiluxes and Land Cruisers, more than 900 in a single six month stretch, from dealers in the Gulf, to convert into technicals.
@Global_Witness confirmed it by cross checking ship manifests, satellite imagery and social media photos.
That militia is now at the center of the Sudan war, a conflict people now call Toyota War 2.0. The vehicles were trackable in the data before the worst of the killing began.
The Iraq case is the clearest of all.
@Toyota's own sales figures show Hilux and Land Cruiser sales tripled in Iraq in 2013.
The following year, ISIS convoys became the defining image of the region's collapse.
The @USTreasury's terror financing unit was alarmed enough to formally ask Toyota to explain the supply chain. The vehicles preceded the war by MORE than a year. The shipping data was sitting there. Almost no one was reading it.
Here is how the signal works.
The baseline is normal commercial demand, governments, NGOs, oil firms, telecoms.
The anomaly is bulk orders of specific configurations, no back seats, reinforced beds, particular colors, routing through grey market hubs in the Middle East, Jordan and Turkey toward destinations with no commercial reason to absorb THAT volume.
Those grey zone re-export hubs are where the signal lives, because that is where the proxy networks buy, outside Toyota's direct sales controls.
The patterns worth following now ALL run the same way.
Bulk Toyota movements into Libyan free ports are the leading indicator of the next Sahel proxy escalation that I am seeing now, as Russia's Africa Corps equips forces across the region.
The same white Hilux double cab flow through Turkish and Jordanian transit that preceded every ISIS resurgence is the clearest warning of non state reconstitution in northern Iraq and Syria.
Satellites show you where a war already is. Missile data shows you how it is being fought.
Toyota manifests show you where the next one starts, often more than a year before the first convoy appears on your timeline.
The data is public. Almost no one is reading the right part of it. That is the gap between analysis and intelligence.
If this gave you signal worth keeping, please bookmark, retweet and like. Consider following if you find my work worthy.
𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!
Omidreza Heidari, a 19-year-old student in Isfahan, is at risk of execution on fabricated charges. Desperate to avenge its international humiliation, the bloodthirsty Islamic Republic regime is once again targeting the life of an innocent young man.
On February 10, during Iran’s national Sun and Lion uprising, regime plainclothes forces stormed Omidreza’s family home and arrested him. He was then held for a period in undisclosed detention centers. Now, the Islamic Republic’s machinery of repression is coming for his life.
Do not look away from this atrocity. Break the silence. Be Omidreza Heidari’s voice, and do not let another young life be sent to the gallows.
#LastBreath
Eight woman sentenced to death in Iran
For protesting the brutal regime
Death. Execution.
It's barbaric
Where are the human rights organisations?
@amnesty? Silent
Where are @UN_Women? Silent
Why does no one appear to give a damn?
SHAME ON YOU
FREE IRAN 🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷!!!
This is not normal. He’s the head of MI5, warning us about an even greater threat of Islamic terror than we imagined - whilst working under a govt that panders at every opportunity to radical Islam.
The pressure being placed on our security services to keep track of 10s, more likely 100s of thousands of radical Islamists is terrifying. They cannot possibly do it - at least not reliably and for the long term.
Will the govt pay any attention to this warning?
Or will we continue to see tens of thousands of young men imported from areas implacably hostile to the west, many of them radical Islamists? Will the govt reconsider its proposed new measures that will prohibit critique of the ideology that gave rise to 9/11?
We know the answer
“During those two days a minimum of 50,000 unarmed people were shot dead by the IRGC and their proxies. I have spoken to doctors in Tehran who say 20,000 death notices were issued from hospitals alone.”
In a powerful new piece, Labour peer Lord Maurice Glasman confronts the scale of the January massacre and the West’s indifference.
His message is clear: Israel is an ally; the Islamic Republic, not Iran or the Iranian people, is the enemy. He calls on the British government to expel the regime’s embassy and recognise Prince Reza Pahlavi as the choice of the Iranian people to lead the transition.
Read “Know your enemy, it’s not Israel, it’s Iran.”
https://t.co/C4aUwm590p
“'We know that she married her brother to try to bring him into the United States,' Department of Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin said of the Minnesota Democrat. 'We know he lives now in London.'”
Of course he’s here 😞
https://t.co/s8LLOCzwiv
“During those two days a minimum of 50,000 unarmed people were shot dead by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and their proxies. I have spoken to doctors in Tehran who say 20,000 death notices were issued from hospitals alone for those two days” - powerful article by Lord Glasman
https://t.co/nBDVCCZ0y5