Hui Z

-- The road to hell is paved with good intentions. business | programming | ML | analytics husband, father, Jesus follower, unwoke, Freedom, Virtue, Faith,

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

-- The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
Woke is the cousin of Communism. [1]

Knowing history and with my personal experience growing up as an atheist and communist, I am confident to say that the spirit behind woke movement is the same one in Communism.

This spirit has captured China for 80 years and also many other parts of the world. it now returns to Western. Its fruit seems good and tasty yet it’s as deceitful as serpent on the tree. As part of the woke movement, we might already be worshipping that spirit.

Check out this video at 1:15. What James Lindsay describes in his hoax woke academic paper was actually carried out from 50s to 70s at the peak of Communism movement in China. millions people were humiliated and died in Culture Revolution.
https://t.co/ZfRJySml9L

if you are interested in knowing what it is like living as a true woke person now or as a real communist in China from 40s to 70s [2]. Here is a good talk. https://t.co/nPt3ZAEauR

footnotes:
[1] Many people think the historical implementation of Communism was bad, but the ideology itself is good and noble. If you think so, you have not read enough history or study deep about human nature.

[2] the irony of this whole thing is that it's exactly those people who have love and compassion and genuinely wanted to bring equity and liberty ended up establishing the most destructive and evil force in human history.

[ZondaR_K @ZondaR_K]

为什么我认为，今天的欧洲，本质上就是一个穿着高定西装、端着红酒杯的福利版大清。

如果把19世纪的晚清和如今的欧洲放在一起对比刨析，你会发现这两者的病灶、心态和衰弱的剧本都一模一样。

何出此言，论据如下：

其一，欧洲把道德与合规当成天朝礼法，把中美科技看作奇技淫巧

当年乾隆和晚清士大夫面对英国的蒸汽机、火车和洋枪洋炮，第一反应不是恐慌，而是居高临下的道德鄙视，认为那是毫无教化的奇技淫巧，只有大清的孔孟礼治才是人类文明的最高形态。

今天的欧洲老爷看中美，心态一模一样。

他们打心底里瞧不起硅谷的野蛮生长的科技新贵，更瞧不起中国没日没夜卷出来的超级供应链。

在欧洲老爷们眼里，中美这是没有灵魂的野蛮内卷，只有欧洲高举的环保主义、数据隐私、多元平权和每周35小时工作制，才是人类文明的天朝礼法。

他们沉溺在道德审美上的优越感里，用文明裁判的姿态掩盖自己在生产力上的全面阳痿。

其二，欧洲的奢侈品和燃油车，就是当代的茶叶、丝绸与瓷器

大清曾经靠着农业文明攒下的极致老底，茶叶、丝绸、瓷器，赚走了全球大量的白银，甚至狂妄地认为外国人不喝大清的茶叶就会便秘而死。

欧洲过去几十年吃的老本，本质上就是工业2.0时代攒下的茶叶和瓷器，包括法国的LV与爱马仕、德国的BBA燃油车与精密阀门、瑞士的手表与医药。

欧洲人同样产生了一种致命的幻觉：

认为无论科技怎么改变，中美的新贵们永远得排队买欧洲的皮包和机械，欧洲永远可以靠着祖传的品牌溢价和专利护城河，躺着收割全世界的财富。

直到中国出现的新能源车直接打穿德国汽车工业的底裤、AI 的兴起开始重构工业软件与研发范式，欧洲才惊觉自己的丝绸瓷器不再是不可替代的硬通货了。

其三，布鲁塞尔的罚单经济，就是当年的广州十三行

大清闭关锁国，但又馋洋人的白银，怎么办？

搞出了一套广州十三行体制：

自己不搞工业、不搞航海，就在通商口岸设卡，制定最繁琐的规矩，向外国商人征收高昂的规礼银和买路钱。

今天欧盟总部的布鲁塞尔，正是数字时代的广州十三行。

自己孵化不出OpenAI、英伟达、字节跳动，就写全世界最厚的《AI法案》和《数字市场法案》。

你美国科技巨头想进欧洲4.5亿人的市场？

可以，先按我的规矩交几十亿欧元的反垄断罚单。

用行政设卡和司法敲诈来代替产业竞争，结果把真正的创新者全挡在门外，把自己彻底锁死在旧时代。

其四，从入关八旗退化成提笼架鸟的铁杆庄稼

满清八旗刚入关时（对应欧洲的大航海和早期工业革命），那也是敢拼命、敢流血的凶悍战力。

但承平日久，八旗子弟拿上了国家包养的铁杆庄稼（世袭俸禄），迅速退化成只会提笼架鸟、抽大烟、听戏的寄生阶层。

到了晚清财政破产，朝廷哪怕敢克扣一点点旗饷，八旗兵不打洋人，先在京城闹事。

今天欧洲的高福利选民，就是当代的八旗子弟。

二战后几代人吃尽了工业霸权的红利，把高福利、长休假、终身不解雇当成了天经地义的铁杆庄稼。

现在老本吃光了，法国国债飙到GDP的120%，政府刚想砍610亿欧元预算自救，这群平时连班都不愿多加的当代旗人立刻冲上街头，把143年历史的市政厅烧成灰烬。

其五，既得利益死保风水，把每一次洋务运动扼杀在摇篮里

晚清不是没有明白人，李鸿章、曾国藩也想搞洋务运动，也想修铁路、架电线。

但为什么搞不成？

因为朝堂上的清流派御史、地方上的乡绅和漕运利益集团百般阻挠：

说修铁路会惊动祖宗龙脉、破坏风水，买机器会夺了纤夫的饭碗，最后连修好的淞沪铁路都能被清廷买回来亲手拆掉扔进海里。

当一个帝国把祖宗留下的存量当成永恒，把既得利益的枷锁当成道德皇冠，它的结局在两百年前的紫禁城就已经写好了。

[OneBC @One_BCHQ]

MUST WATCH - OneBC leader @Dallas_Brodie was on CBC this morning to discuss our platform. The CBC tried every trick in the book to try and skew the narrative, but it backfires spectacularly!

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

第二个视频不是Green的Pete， 是最高票当选的市议员COPE党的Sean Orr，8万多票。其他议员大约都5万多票。 Sean才是未来四年最需要注意的。Green党不是真正的操盘手，COPE才是。Sean Orr是一个有完整共产主义意识形态的人，他也自称是共产主义者。

On thing I would like to make clear:
The force behind this election is not Green but COPE.

COPE is not normal party, it’s embedded with Ideology: Woke, Marxism, and even Communism. (same root).

So we could predict what is coming.

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@xiaominz_film On thing I would like to make clear:
The force behind this election is not Green but COPE.

COPE is not normal party, it’s embedded with Ideology: Woke, Marxism, and even Communism. (same root).

So we could predict what is coming.

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@xiaominz_film 温哥华变成下一个纽约，只需要4年，不到

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@justjargons https://t.co/4xiMN2qTFC

[Brivael Le Pogam @brivael]

"You reduce crime by eliminating poverty."

This is one of the greatest intellectual confusions of our century. It sounds compassionate. It feels obvious. And the moment you actually test it, it falls apart.

Let's look at the data.

First, the correlation is real. Nobody serious denies that poorer areas have more crime. In Sweden, kids from the poorest 20% of families are about 7 times more likely to be convicted of a violent crime than kids from the richest 20%.

But correlation is not causation. So Swedish researchers did something brilliant: they compared siblings. Same parents, same home, same upbringing, but different family income at different points in their childhood, because parents' income moves over time.

Result, on more than 500,000 children (Sariaslan et al., British Journal of Psychiatry, 2014): once you account for what's shared inside the family, the effect of income on violent crime goes from 7x to nothing. The hazard ratio drops to 0.95. No effect.

Finland ran the same test on 650,000 people. Same result: the income-crime link disappears when you compare siblings.

What predicts crime isn't the bank balance. It's what travels inside families.

Second test: what happens when poverty spikes for everyone at once? 2008. US unemployment doubled from 5% to nearly 10%. 15% of Americans officially poor. If poverty creates crime, crime should have exploded. Instead it fell. Year after year. Robbery, the most "economic" crime of all, dropped 10% in 2010 alone. Criminologists literally said they were stumped. Same story in the Great Depression: 25% unemployment, and crime went down in many cities.

Third test: take families out of poverty and see. The US government ran a randomized lottery called Moving to Opportunity. Thousands of families in public housing got vouchers to move to low-poverty neighborhoods. For boys, violent arrests dropped at first, property crime arrests went up, and over time the effects faded. New zip code. Same behavior.

Fourth: the claim that police don't matter. This one is just false. Chalfin et al. (American Economic Review: Insights, 2022): each additional police officer prevents about 0.1 homicides. And per capita, the lives saved are twice as many among Black victims as among white victims. The people who suffer most from "police don't matter" are the poorest neighborhoods.

So what does predict crime? The Dunedin study followed 1,000 children from birth to age 32. Self-control measured between ages 3 and 11 predicted adult criminal convictions, even after controlling for social class and IQ (Moffitt et al., PNAS, 2011). Cognitive ability matters too: across 700,000 Swedish men, lower cognitive scores at 18 track with violent convictions, and the link barely moves when you control for childhood socioeconomic status (Frisell et al., 2012).

And here's the part nobody quotes: in Dunedin, kids whose self-control improved over time did better than predicted. Behavior can change. Which means responsibility is real.

Why does this matter? Because "poverty creates crime" isn't just wrong. It's toxic.

It turns criminals into victims. The man who robbed you becomes a symptom of "the system," and you, the real victim, become a footnote in someone else's narrative.

It merges two completely different things. "You're poor, we'll help you" is one policy. "You're poor and you committed a crime, so we'll excuse you" is another. Fusing them insults the millions of poor people who work, raise their kids, and never hurt anyone. The vast majority of poor people are not criminals. That alone kills the theory.

It removes responsibility. Build a political system on "your circumstances made you do it" and you destroy the one thing that actually changes behavior: the certainty that you own your choices. Every excuse the state manufactures is an incentive.

And it feeds the state forever. If every crime is a social failure, every crime justifies a new program, a new budget, a new agency. Crime becomes the business model of bureaucracy.

The alternative is simple and old.

A lighter state that protects instead of explains. The same rules for everyone, from the projects or from a gated community. Certain, swift punishment for anyone who commits a crime. And never, ever telling someone their crime was written in their social condition.

Treating someone as responsible is respecting them. Excusing someone because they're poor is the most condescending thing you can do to them.

[Paul Ratchford @P_Ratchford]

COPE Vancouver City Councillor Chloe Leslie’s claim that “every single billionaire in this city is a result of policy failure” is recycled American class-war rhetoric.

No originality. No serious policy. Just envy dressed up as economics.

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@RetxabTweets @OhBoyItsKale @mashakleiner On thing I would like to make clear:
The force behind this election is not Green but COPE.

COPE is not normal party, it’s embedded with Ideology: Woke, Marxism, and even Communism. (same root).

So we could predict what is coming.

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@RetxabTweets @OhBoyItsKale @mashakleiner You have no idea about China. Never mind. Good luck. I do wish we have all the prosperity, and wish you all the best

[Paul Ratchford @P_Ratchford]

Newly elected Vancouver school trustee Derrick Okeefe pledges to “fight for international solidarity” as part of an “international movement.” COPE also wants non-citizens voting in Vancouver elections.

Vancouver’s schools need local priorities, not global agendas.

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@BoVanston @brockscrocs @mashakleiner I am from China, don’t you think I don’t read all the history that communists want me to know how bad Capitalism is?

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@BoVanston @brockscrocs @mashakleiner Wow, amazing. Yes, I read about it. How many people died btw?

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@PremPlusTweets @OhBoyItsKale @mashakleiner I agree. It’s all capitalists fault. People have spoken, loud and clear. Oh, remember to read some history such as China 1950s-1970s. Your generation is much smarter specially after smoking so much weed, you will get it right this time. No doubt

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@xiaominz_film 你看看选上的Councilor清一色什么理念的。市议员当选第一名Sean Orr是实实在在说自己是共产主义者的。

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@Patrick97956431 @Noissim12 No, it will not just slide back to previous, it will double down

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@Noissim12 And look at the slate of councillor. They are unstoppable

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@jielun2919 @billtheinvestor 阿根廷用70年等来一个米莱。加拿大加油！

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@Abu_IbnHal @brivael same law in Canada

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@brockscrocs @mashakleiner This young person had not read real history. Maybe you should talk to some Chinese who lived in 1950-1970s. You think your generation is smarter and better , and could do it differently , don’t you?

[Hui Z @zenlucent]

@D3Vancouvers @mashakleiner Amazing, enjoy your city and country for the next 4 years. Oh, remember to read some books about China 1950-1970s. It helps