Selling a put with 30 days to expiration and holding it for 30 days is leaving money on the table.
The premium decays fastest in the first 7 days after you sell it.
Set the 50% profit alert before you close the app.
That alert fires in 3 to 7 days on a clean entry.
Close it. Recycle the cash. Sell another one.
Three cycles in one month beats one cycle held to expiration every single time.
Read the letter closely.
In the final weeks of June, $IBM's own clients stopped buying $IBM and started hoarding servers, storage, and memory instead.
Here are 4 reasons I think this letter matters a lot:
1. This came from the victim, not the salesman.
$MU and $SKHY have been telling us for months that memory is tight. But of course they'd say that, it's their product. So I take it with a grain of salt.
This is different. IBM just lost deals because their customers ditched them to go buy memory instead. That's the buyer telling us the shortage is real. That's the confirmation I've been waiting for.
2. People are paying up before prices even rise.
The clients rushed to lock in supply "ahead of expected price increases."
Sit with that for a second. Nobody pays extra today unless they're scared it'll cost more, or won't exist, tomorrow. When buyers act like that, memory makers win twice: they sell more and they charge more. To me, that's the whole story.
3. Even $IBM got caught off guard.
$IBM sits inside these companies. They see the spending before anyone else does. And even they said they didn't expect money to rotate this fast.
If the people with the best seat in the house were surprised, then I don't trust the current estimates. I think the numbers are still too low.
4. This isn't extra spending, it's stolen spending.
Here's the part I keep coming back to. AI isn't just adding a new bill on top of everyone's budget. It's eating the old budget alive, pulling money out of software, mainframes, and consulting to feed itself.
So this isn't just "more demand."
It's a fight over who gets the dollar. And right now, memory and infrastructure are the ones winning it.
Do you agree? This is the honest truth.
Everyone is chasing the humanoid logos. I did what I did with AI Infra -- looked underneath the hood.
The money is not in the robot. It is in the ~40 parts that repeat inside every body, the ones almost nobody can build.
Here's the full list according to Goldman Sachs:
1. The brain // the intelligence:
$NVDA Nvidia -- Jetson + GR00T. The obvious one, lowest humanoid alpha.
$QCOM Qualcomm -- RB6, lower-power industrial.
Also: Tesla, $GOOGL, $META, iFlytek (https://t.co/KU8j5ePbkQ), Huawei (private)
2. Sensors & perception // how it sees and feels:
$OUST Ouster -- solid-state lidar pure-play.
$CGNX Cognex -- machine-vision incumbent.
$ALGM Allegro -- magnetic position sensors. The quiet winner, every joint needs them.
$VPG Vishay Precision -- strain gauges, force sensing.
$NOVT Novanta -- six-axis force-torque (ATI).
Also: Orbbec (https://t.co/EmUgsWEgkb), RoboSense (https://t.co/LhyDNpQfLV), $HSAI Hesai, Sunny Optical (https://t.co/bGc3smstll)
3. Edge AI inference // decisions on-device:
$AMBA Ambarella -- edge vision processors.
$LSCC Lattice -- low-power FPGAs for sensor fusion.
$CEVA Ceva -- DSP and inference IP. Pure licensing, pure obscurity.
4. Motors & motion // the muscles:
$NJDCY Nidec -- world's largest motor maker.
$AME Ametek -- precision instruments and motion.
$RRX Regal Rexnord -- motors and drives at scale.
$RBC RBC Bearings -- precision components.
Also: Moons' Electric (https://t.co/SU7teQIXWZ), Zhaowei (https://t.co/SfgqzHgLXa), Leadshine (https://t.co/QVkDM2gVw8), Veichi (https://t.co/gmK0xmcWww)
5. Joints & precision motion // human-like movement --
THE POTENTIAL BOTTLENECK:
6324.T Harmonic Drive -- strain wave gears. Every Optimus joint uses one.
6481.T THK -- planetary roller screws and linear bearings. Tokyo-listed, off the radar.
$ALNT Allient -- US-listed, integrated motion.
https://t.co/PItDtJ8PBJ Schaeffler -- roller screws.
Also: LeaderDrive (https://t.co/VL92TVG0Iw), Shuanghuan (https://t.co/8px4AQdQsO), Zhongda Leader (https://t.co/Znu2SoTgkf)
6. Dexterous hands // a humanoid in your palm:
$INVN... none US-listed. China leads here.
Zhaowei (https://t.co/SfgqzHgLXa) -- hand drive modules.
Inovance (https://t.co/kN8VYE6iDX) -- servo and motion control.
Also: PaXini (private, tactile)
7. Actuator assembly // putting it together:
Sanhua (https://t.co/4zM5co71yk) -- assembly at auto-supply-chain cost.
Tuopu (https://t.co/78h2i40K2N) -- built for cost and volume.
8. Power electronics // energy into controlled motion:
$NVTS Navitas -- GaN, the asymmetric small-cap.
$TXN Texas Instruments -- motor-control MCUs at scale.
$STM STMicro -- broad motor-control portfolio.
$ON onsemi -- power management and sensing.
$MPWR Monolithic Power -- high-efficiency DC-DC.
$IFNNY Infineon -- automotive-grade power.
$RNECY Renesas -- automotive and industrial motor control.
$WOLF Wolfspeed -- SiC pure-play, the distressed wildcard.
9. Energy & rare earth // the raw fuel:
$MP MP Materials -- the REE pure-play everyone knows.
$USAR USA Rare Earth -- magnet manufacturing, the new entrant.
$LYSCF Lynas -- largest non-China producer.
$UUUU Energy Fuels -- diversified REE and uranium.
$ENS EnerSys -- industrial batteries.
Also: CATL (https://t.co/havEzEZrGN). The magnet, not the cell, is the scarce part.
The one maker I'd own:
$CCXI Churchill Capital XI -- merging with Agility Robotics, trades as $AGLT on close. Only US-listed pure-play humanoid. Pre-deal SPAC, size it small.
The one maker I own: $CCXI / $AGLT
$CCXI Churchill Capital XI -- merging with Agility Robotics, trades as $AGLT on close. Only US-listed pure-play humanoid. Digit is real: 65k+ work hours, 300M+ in orders, backed by NVIDIA, Amazon, Foxconn.
The winners may not be the robot makers. They may be the companies inside the robot.
I made a deeper dive for free on my substack, go check it out:
https://t.co/euNn12SDVp
Now you know which floor to look at. ⚡
For robotics companies, I have a favorable view on Unitree and Agility Robotics, two humanoid players.
And I have largest concentration in Agility Robotics, since I personally prefer US humanoid players.
For upstream component exposure, I currently own:
- Harmonic Drive (6324) given high content BOM on things like harmonic reduction gear.
- Vishay Precision for sensors and a possible candidate for Telsa Optimus.
LeaderDrive (688017) and Schaeffler I have favorable views on but don't own personally.
Many of the other AI DC players, I have indirect exposure to robotics like memory.
Don't recommend anyone to copy, just sharing personal positions/thoughts.
Humanoid sector is large, and as seen with Goldman Sachs report that "Korean companies will command a 30% direct and indirect share of global humanoid robot production".
Lot of players out there globally. This was an older report but just linking it again since you see all of them pop up in GS institutional reports + what they cover.
Agility Robotics is my personal favorite as of now.
@Guv999 With rate hike expectation in the next half of 2026, do you mind to share your insight on what would be the main factor driving up the price to the top this year?
Only ~5% of SpaceX stock is floating right now
~95% $SPCX is still locked
Most don’t realize bearish pressure often comes later, when insiders finally get liquidity
Unlock schedule below ⬇️
SAM ALTMAN HAS A NEW PROBLEM. 🤯
Google just shrunk 31GB of AI memory down to 4GB.
The tool is called TurboVec.
It uses up to 16x less memory, searches faster than FAISS, runs fully offline, and works on a regular Mac.
No expensive GPU cluster.
No cloud dependency.
No compromise on speed.
→ 16x lower memory usage
→ Faster vector search
→ Works with LangChain & LlamaIndex
→ 100% open source
The race to build bigger AI models is loud.
The race to make them dramatically cheaper just got a lot more interesting.
Repo: https://t.co/08TFGtHL6K
The 2023 article on $SPCX using $BB QNX was about its past role in Falcon rockets. While SpaceX now runs mostly custom Linux, QNX remains trusted for real time systems.Stronger proof: In early 2026, NASA added official support for QNX SDP 8.0 to its core Flight System (cFS), used on 40+ missions. BlackBerry helped make it happen showing QNX is still a top choice for safety critical space tech.
Honestly speaking, im just going to keep adding to my Blackberry position as I think Physical AI itself and the core mechanisms is going to shift at a rapid space and anything under $15 on $bb is a add for me.
See you monday for market openings :)