Santos

"If we understood a squirrel, we'd almost be all the way there." - R. Sutton

[Santos @0xJPS]

@KobeissiLetter You guys really live on small time frames

[Santos @0xJPS]

@pedrofvrito @teslaeurope Obrigado pela partilha, fantástico!

[Santos @0xJPS]

New SiriAI Don'ts

[FC Porto @FCPorto]

Claro que houve banho ao Mister 🫣🤣

#ConseguimosJuntos

[Santos @0xJPS]

@nunomartins2014 "Temos equipa" 2⃣💙

[Santos @0xJPS]

@TheRealJuliaG_ @sporttvportugal Da mesma forma, os senhores e senhoras da @sporttvportugal deviam calar a matraca enquanto os intervenientes do jogo falam nas conferências pós-jogo. Podem traduzir no final das intervenções. É irritante e nem se co segue ouvir o interveniente nem o jornalista que tenta traduzir.

[Santos @0xJPS]

Germany drought caught live on camera #BayernMunich

[Santos @0xJPS]

💯 Same for tasteful coding.

[Forrest Knight @ForrestPKnight]

Honestly, Ben Affleck actually knowing AI and the landscape caught me off guard, but as a writer, makes sense.

Great takes across the board.

[DHH @dhh]

Shopify LMP2 is back in action for the Daytona Rolex 24! New team, new codrivers, still @tobi and I at the wheel. Now riding with Rails and Omarchy too 🤘

[Trung Phan @TrungTPhan]

The Economist has a great piece on strategy sportsbetting apps use to throttle smart bettors:

▫️Skilled players are “sharps” and given “stake restrictions” if they play too well (bets are capped).

▫️Rest of players called “Square”.

▫️In 2025, 4.3% of active UK accounts had a “stake factor” below the maximum bet allowance of 100%.

▫️Sportsbook will take bets with a profit margin as low as 4.5%.

▫️If they are able to do good “player-profiling” and keep the “sharps” from playing, the profit margin can reach 10-20%.

▫️As important as keeping out “sharps” is hooking “whales”, the deep-pocketed players that are willing to keep playing (and losing) large sums.

▫️Some “whales” are actually “sharps” in disguise, though. They’ll lose a bunch of bets to lull the sportsbook then put down a massive bet when they have an edge.

▫️While there is a risk of a “whale” being a “sharp”, the value of a real “whale” is so high that sportsbook will take the risk

▫️“In March 2024 PointsBet, raised its share of online sports-gambling revenue in New Jersey from 11% to 24% after wooing a single cash-spouting customer away from DraftKings.” (I can confirm that this wasn’t me).

▫️How sportsbook profile players:

> Playing on Mobile is a good sign (where majority of people play)
> Playing on PCs is a bad sign (it’s easier to compare odds and run models)
> E-wallets are a red flag (sportsbooks prefer debit direct deposit that can attach a player to a single account; e-wallet is more anonymized and players can move cash between sportsbook more quickly to shop for the best odds)
> Women bettors are a red flag (most bettors are men and “sharps” often use women to place bets)

▫️First wagers are a major tells (typical bettors go after top leagues — NFL, NBA, EPL — and do so near the start of the game).

▫️Popular bets for “squares”: who will win, scoring margins and how star player will perform (also, they love multi-leg parlays).

▫️“Sharps” go after less popular leagues and place bets as soon as odds are published, when they are most mispriced. They also go after less popular bets such as “pts in Q3” or stats from a random player (“Sharps” rarely do parlays and don’t withdrawal winnings often).

▫️One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.”

▫️”Sportsbooks look at a player’s ‘closing-line value’ — a measure that compares the odds at which he bets with those available right before a match begins. If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.”

▫️Sportsbook mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable).

▫️E-wallet users, women and bets over $100 are flagged. These suspicious bettors are given 30% of maximum bet (and proven sharps only allowed 1%).

▫️High-skilled players will often get a “beard” to bet on their behalf. Most sportsbooks ban this practice but it is widespread.

▫️Safest “beards” are close friends and relatives because you can mostly rely on them to pay out any winnings. The “beards” try to look like degens (playing at 3am, bet non-stop and doing ridiculous parlays) before placing a winning bet.

▫️The most effective strategy for “sharps” is “whale-flipping”. Find a losing gambler, then ask to put a (likely) large winning bet amongst their pool of guaranteed losers.

▫️Once “sharps” max out the people they can use as “beards”, they tap professional networks called “movers”. These “movers” employ a bunch of “mules” who can put down bets on the behalf of the network. Low-end movers charge 10-20% while high-end movers charge 50% of winnings.

***

Lots other great details here: https://t.co/RH1KMF7k90

[Santos @0xJPS]

Por favor @sporttvportugal, digam ao jornalista em estúdio para se calar enquanto se fala em Inglês, pode fazer o resumo do que foi dito no final.

[FC Porto @FCPorto]

Futebol Clube do Porto.

Fáceis de analisar, difíceis de bater 🫤

#SeguimosJuntos

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@karpathy @pduan We could have cherry-picked drives and and done this years ago, but far better for unaffiliated Tesla owners to do this themselves

[david friedberg @friedberg]

why not just raise income tax rates?

because your real intent is not to just “provide healthcare”.

you’re masking that you are proposing the creation of, for the first time in the 250 years of this American republic, an organized government seizure of private property from citizens.

you’re calling it a “wealth tax” or a “billionaires tax” or “millionaires tax” or whatever nom du jour polls well. but at the end of the day, it’s the seizure of private property from citizens by the government. citizens that earned money, paid their fair taxes on those earnings (53% if they live in California) and are now being told they need to hand over after-tax assets because the government has failed to provide promised services with the revenue it’s collected, and are now re-casting their own failure to be a socio-economic inequity that must be justly resolved... a slippery slope that has never gone anywhere good (see economic effects in USSR, Cuba, Venezuela, France and Norway wealth tax etc.)

the American founders fled tyranny in Europe and this amazing nation was populated by immigrants (myself and your parents) from around the world not just looking for a “better life” but for a place where they could have freedom from tyrannical governments that can take what they want from private citizens. a great nation borne of property rights, the rule of law, and endowed freedoms to believe, speak, or act. these principles led to the greatest run of innovations, successes, and widespread increase in prosperity, for all citizens, ever seen.

the citizens, the individuals, not the institutions, delivered this progress. those who invented, who toiled, who bled, who sacrificed, who took risk and persevered, who led, and who changed the world, are not charlatans, kleptocrats, or oligarchs. they’re what made us all better off. prosperity is a measure of america’s success, not its failure.

it is your principle that is so offensive, as evidenced by the broad disdain for your flippant flirtation with the darkest of human fantasy - socialism. you and other neo-socialists have led so many of us to reflect on America’s history and what it is becoming. that now leads so many to consider, so unnecessarily, leaving their homes for a place where everyone stands up to shout down the principle you suggest. because if your ideas are now considered moderate, it’s clear this titanic is sinking.

that a “simple tax” of taking assets that have been earned, through toil and tribulation, rightly taxed, and preserved, should now be unjustly seized, is your solution to a problem of obvious government mismanagement and outright fraud, tells us that your true motivation lies not in giving people healthcare but in cutting down success and deleting the system of prosperity and opportunity for all.

i don’t care, and neither should anyone else, what the sum total market value of a private citizens private assets might be. it is none of my business and should be none of yours. because, again, once you open that pandora’s box, we might as well study Lord of the Flies … there is literally nothing stopping 51% of citizens demanding that their government go out and seize 100% of the private property of the 49%.

want to give healthcare to people in need? do your job and fix healthcare. make it affordable. want to be lazy about it? then do your job lazily and raise income taxes.

want to take private property from private citizens who have paid their fair share of taxes and legally earned their property, then honestly declare that it is envy, not inequity, that you strive to resolve…

[Nick shirley @nickshirleyy]

🚨 Here is the full 42 minutes of my crew and I exposing Minnesota fraud, this might be my most important work yet. We uncovered over $110,000,000 in ONE day. Like it and share it around like wildfire! Its time to hold these corrupt politicians and fraudsters accountable

We ALL work way too hard and pay too much in taxes for this to be happening, the fraud must be stopped.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@TeslaBoomerMama Thank you for your unwavering support

[AleXandra Merz 🇺🇲 @TeslaBoomerMama]

⚖️
DE Supreme Court - Tornetta 🥳🎉🎉🎉

Affirms Elon's control and unfairness finding but reverses rescission; reinstates 2018 plan, gives plaintiff $1 nominal damages, and counsel fees based on value provided (quantum meruit).

This lets Elon keep the compensation while resolving the lawsuit.

Tears in my eyes, we did this !!!!!!!!!!!!

[Autism Capital 🧩 @AutismCapital]

When your girlfriend asks why you're broke 💀

[Ladybird @ladybirdbrowser]

We’re pumped to share that @37signals is sponsoring Ladybird for another year with a generous donation of $10,000! 🙌

Huge thanks to @dhh and team for backing our mission! ❤️👋

[DHH @dhh]

Happy to keep supporting Ladybird! Love the audacious mission. We need more of this for the web.