Born in Vietnam. Grew up in poverty. Adolescence in refugee camp. ESL in high school. BA in Finance. Portfolio Manager. Knowledge is power. Be curious & humble
🚨 Bitcoin just dropped from $74,000 to $67,500 in 48 hours. On no real news.
One thesis that fits the data:
The exit liquidity rotation has begun.
In the next months, four companies are raising over $350 billion in fresh equity:
– SpaceX IPO: ~$75B
– OpenAI raise: ~$100B
– Anthropic raise: ~$100B+
– Google net equity issuance: ~$80B
That money has to come from somewhere. Existing portfolios. Risk-on capital. Cash.
Bitcoin is the most liquid risk-on asset on earth. Selling it is the fastest way to free up dollars without triggering tax events on long-held equity positions.
If the most religious Bitcoin holders – the corporate treasuries, the funds, the whales – are even partially rotating to participate in the largest IPO cycle in history, you don't need a news catalyst to explain the drop.
You just need the supply curve to flip.
This isn't bearish on Bitcoin long-term. It's a sign that the entire risk-on crowd is preparing to absorb the largest equity issuance year since 2000.
When the marginal Bitcoin holder needs to be on a SpaceX cap table, Bitcoin goes down for reasons that have nothing to do with Bitcoin.
The exit liquidity avalanche doesn't just hit overvalued stocks.
It hits anything liquid.
BREAKING: The S&P 500 surges to its highest level on record on reports that the US and Iran have reached a deal which is pending President Trump's approval.
Cosas que los hombres aprenden lentamente a medida que envejecen:
- Ninguna mujer te ama por lo que eres, solo te ama por lo que puedes hacer por ella.
-Nadie vendrá a salvarte
-La disciplina supera a la motivación
-El dinero resuelve muchos problemas
-El silencio es mejor que discutir.
-A nadie le importa hasta que seas rico o estés muerto.
-El respeto se gana, no se ruega.
- Ninguna mujer es tuya jamás
- Puedes hacerlo todo bien y aún así perder.
-Tus compañeros no son tus amigos
-Tu padre es el único hombre que quiere que seas mejor que él.
La vida se vuelve más fácil cuando aceptas estas verdades.
BREAKING: S&P 500 futures extend gains to over +1% on the day and hit the highest level on record as President Trump asks Iran to join the Abraham Accords.
That's +$11.3 TRILLION in market cao since the March 30th bottom.
4. The people who gossip TO you will gossip ABOUT you.
If someone is comfortable trash-talking others in front of you, you're next.
It's not "venting." It's character.
Trust people by what they do when others aren't around, not what they say when they are.
🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL
SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are preparing to go public.
All at once.
To absorb these giants, the market will need to find $200 BILLION in fresh liquidity.
This is a brutal stress test for global investors.
To buy into these IPOs, big funds need a lot of cash.
They will ruthlessly cut overextended tech.
First in line: NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Google.
But these companies hold up the entire S&P 500.
If they start to fall, the index will follow.
We saw this before during the COVID bubble.
Dozens of tech companies (Rivian, Coinbase, Robinhood) hit the market at crazy high prices.
When the Fed hiked rates and liquidity dried up, these stocks crashed 80%.
The AI and tech sectors are already running on fumes.
Add a $200B drain, and you get a systemic flush.
Get positioned before this massive rotation begins.
As a reminder, I’ve called every major market turn for the last 10 years, including the $111K BTC peak in October.
Turn on notifications. I will guide you through this liquidity squeeze, and when the real bottom finally forms, I’ll call it here publicly.
Most married men are sexually starved and they are suffering.
Yesterday I had a coversation with a sex therapist and he gave me the reasons why so many marriages slowly become completely sexless.
( Married men bookmark this)
He said.....
After a breakup, the loyal ones take time to heal, reflect, and process the pain. The narcissist usually rushes to find someone new to fill the void and feed their ego.
The loneliest part of growing isn't losing friends. It's realizing you can't explain what you're going through to the people closest to you. Not because they don't care. Because the gap between your experience and theirs got too wide to bridge over dinner. You're not outgrowing people. You're outgrowing the shared context.