Independent investor focused on finding bargains using Fundamental Analysis, a la Graham/Buffet value analysis and GARP. Buy/Sell made using Technical Analysis.
@TailThatWagsDog@Signal_Sigma I loved the old guy. You know, the one who posted content that was actually useful. Not posts that are just a tease with not enough information to replicate - then a reply to your own post with an advertisement.
Waste of electrons.
@RitOnchain The selection criteria for the 4 state model are barely better than the 3 state model. I would rather select a parsimonious 3 state model that is easier to understand and explain.
@Quant_Kurtis If I worked at RenTech I would. They trust their models implicitly.
As a rational human being, no I would not.
However, I might investigate the logic flaws. For example, is free cash flow yield the best measure for banks? Or might it be NII.
@phosphenq Everything I have heard or read says that the shorter the duration the more likely that it follows a random walk. They tested weekly and monthly but not daily or below.
@RohOnChain I agree that this underperforms the benchmark, AND it is much more volatile.
However, I do like seeing papers like this.
“We did some research, it did not meet our goals, it still has potential, here is the paper.”