Nepal crisis : same that frequently accuse India of interfering & being a regional bully are now criticising India for not intervening… can’t have it both ways!
This is a domestic political crisis, made in Nepal. India naturally concerned, not least because of the open border, economic and security interests.
But not useiro to judge Delhi by speed/alacrity of statements. One good image of India’s typical regional crisis response: silent/still duck, but paddling furiously under the surface, shaping future currents.
My guess given past crises and current Nepal context: Delhi usually not a fan of a street-driven revolutions and “interim govts” a la Dhaka.
On the other hand: golden opportunity to see Oli go, push for elections and a democratic reset to facilitate the emergence of next-gen leadership in both old/new parties.
PBM nails it: Indian corporates have long chased arbitrage, not innovation. They endow Western chairs but starve Indian research, keep R&D at rock-bottom, and avoid building capacity.
The time for excuses is over. India Inc must invest, innovate, and finally build.
India now spends ₹2 trillion/year (0.6% of GDP) on cash transfers to 130M+ women—yet we know little about their effects. In a new paper (https://t.co/vbLgba0Wm0), we present findings from the first large-scale RCT of maternal cash transfers in India. Key results in🧵(1/10)
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Sharing a retired PLA recon soldier's memoir on his intense service along the Line of Actual Control (2020-2021). Words have been translated from Mandarin via Perplexity, with polished grammar for clarity. The 🧵will be distributed into multiple chapters. My purpose of sharing this is to show what the next gen of Chinese will read in their history books, the psychology and physiology toll, medical issues, continuous psy ops played by both sides at the peak of the military standoff along the toughest border area in the world.
New publication: "Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025" up now at the Stimson Center @StimsonCenter . Executive summary here, but link to all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes in the next post.
“In the eyes of the Indian government, the use of cross-border force against terrorist-linked targets in Pakistan proper has now moved from exception to expectation” https://t.co/byGA8tvD2S
"India’s escalate-to-deescalate approach aims to pressure the ... United States into persuading Pakistan that continued retaliation is futile. If the international community fears nuclear escalation, New Delhi will use the strategic risk to its advantage." https://t.co/0mO9FbLtWZ
#ExpressOpinion | “The changes unfolding in the world, even as we reflect on the Pahalgam terror attack and India’s response to it, will have a great bearing on India’s long-term prospects for peace and prosperity”
@MohanCRaja on the churn in the world beyond Pakistan that demands India’s attention
https://t.co/U5XJbvPj9X
"....an examination of satellite imagery indicates that while the attacks were widespread, the damage was far more contained than claimed — and mostly inflicted by India on Pakistani facilities.
https://t.co/VhExM7lg5N
STRATEGIC SOVEREIGNTY VS STRATEGIC DEPENDENCY
Let's wrap up Sindoor and Bunayan Al Marsoos for now.
India is thanking its forces, its system, its economy, its people, and its leaders for engendering a new deterrence and elevating the challenge too costly for Pakistan to dare another adventure.
Pakistan, on the other hand, is thanking ever country and organization except India for "defusing the tension" and ending the blackout in Pakistan.
One is thankful for strategic sovereignty, and the other is indebted to strategic dependency.
News is still filtering in, but it’s already clear that India’s missile strikes today on alleged terrorist infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-controlled Kashmir are more serious than India’s 2019 strike on an alleged terrorist camp in Pakistan. Here’s how they’re different:
1. Targets: The Balakot airstrike was unprecedented because India crossed the international border to strike a target in Pakistan proper, not just Pakistan-controlled Kashmir. But it’s one thing to strike Balakot in (the peripheral) Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa province, quite another to strike Bahawalpur in Punjab, the heart of social and political power in Pakistan. Moreover, this time India says it hit nine targets, so the scope of the attack is obviously wider.
2. Casualties: At three dead and twelve injured at this point according to Reuters. (This figure will rise.) In Balakot the Indian media and the ruling BJP peddled unverified claims about killing scores of terrorists and (later) of shooting down a Pakistani F-16. But these claims were not corroborated by any credible, neutral observer. This time it’s different. The casualty figures are coming from Pakistan.
3. Restraint: In both 2019 and 2025 India explicitly signaled restraint. The message to Pakistan and the world: We had to do something, but we don’t want this to get out of hand. The difference: In 2019 Pakistan played along. It launched a token counterstrike, showed magnanimity by returning a downed Indian MiG-21 pilot, and did not escalate further. Both governments declared victory to their respective publics.
The situation this time is more fluid. It’s possible that it will play out similarly to 2019–the world will lean on Pakistan to take it on the chin and not up the ante—but this time war may well suit embattled Pakistani army chief Gen. Asim Munir. If Pakistan escalates all bets are off. We could see a full scale war between nuclear powers.
It is not bcoz
- she is slain naval officer’s wife
- her late husband was killed by terrorists in Pahalgam Kashmir
- her thinking does / doesn’t align with yours
It is bcoz she is an Indian & a lady - where we have a cultural tradition of respecting the women
I respect her dignity and condemn such distasteful remarks
Jai Hind 🇮🇳
The reaction from many keyboard warriors to this young woman has been ugly. It also plays into the hands of India's adversaries, reinforcing their narratives.
Has anyone in government/military said anything vs the ppl hounding her?
The Constitution allows Kunal Kamra to be an asshole if he wishes. Not the State.
But the REAL comedy today is Maha Vikas Aghadi & its cheerleaders crying “oppression”, brainlessly proving once again that outrage in India is never about principle — just narrative.
My take: