In a new op-ed for the @FT I argue that one of the toughest challenges for Warsh will be how to handle the Fed's unofficial mandate - protector of global economic stability:
https://t.co/yf0AaPEO5r
📣 Attn STIR traders and SERFF enjoyers!
Finer tick granularity is coming to SOFR-Fed Funds (SERFF) spreads.
Beginning next Monday, June 15, SR1-ZQ spreads will trade in 0.25 increments across all contract months.
SEASON 3 HAS STARTED at Angilak 🎬 We are building on last year's success: 5 new discoveries, incl. 8.16% U₃O₈ over 0.5m at RIB North. 2026 is the biggest program yet. 3 drill rigs. 20,000 metres. Watch for expansion across Lac 50, RIB North & KU-Nine Iron. $SASK $SASKF
The U.S. is now spending more on data center construction than on public transportation infrastructure, according to new Census Bureau figures out today (https://t.co/2SonuBrsvY)
And again, and again, and again, the market proves to be more flexible and adaptable than the engineers, extrapolating, with their calculators expect. When prices change, behaviour changes. Believe in substitution, in elasticity, in human ingenuity, that is, in the market, and you will get a closer approximation than all doom-mongers. For this of course, a market must exist (e.g., does not apply to the fertility collapse).
More millionaires will be made in mining and commodities over the next 5 years than in AI.
I know that sounds wild. Hear me out.
AI runs on copper, nickel, lithium, uranium. Every datacenter, every robot, every EV.
The catch: we haven't sanctioned a major copper mine in over a decade. Discovery curves are flat. Discovery to production takes 15+ years.
Exploding demand meeting structurally constrained supply. Textbook setup for a generational commodities bull run.
AI gets the headlines.
The shovels get the returns.
Full conversation: https://t.co/icf4kdliTS
NEW ODD LOTS:
@tracyalloway and I talk to @GitaGopinath about the second biggest story in the world right now.
Interest rates have been surging all over the world and how investors may be too sanguine about the public sector's ability to backstop risk https://t.co/ZoW984jkqd
Net repo borrowing by hedge funds has hit 1.8T, much of it associated with the basis trade.
This has drawn attention for financial stability reasons.
But has this expansion in hedge fund Treasury trades affected monetary policy implementation?
New note w/ Matt McCormick.