@Uber
Charged $144 for a $140 trip when requested 15% off. ZERO tunnel tolls. In-app AI support is useless and blocking me. Need a human manager to resolve this overcharge immediately.
Completely disappointed and unacceptable
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Iโve observed a few hi stakes negotiations over the years and one tactic Iโve seen work well over and over is when you find the leverage to bring your opponent to the edge of the cliff, hold them over the cliff so they see the abyss and threaten to push them off.
Turns out when you then donโt push them, but back off, they often develop Stockholm syndrome and give you more than you would have otherwise because they are thankful for the reprieve.
I donโt know that this is the plan here but the conditions for that are the same.
75 countries are on a 90 day shot clock to get a grand bargain done. Based on what Iโve heard from some of them, they are thankful for a chance to egress off the tariff highway and find a new normal - even if thatโs much worse for them than what it was previously.
Short Dive: The Trump Administration's Fiscal Strategy
Last week, I was at the White House and met with President Trump, Elon, as well as Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, and other members of the administration.
It was a whirlwind few days, I left D.C. feeling hopeful about where America is going and that America is in good hands.
The team and I put together this 'Short Dive', as an exercise to document and organize everything I learned during the trip, to spend time with the claims step-by-step, and to review the data associated with these claims.
AI OVERPRODUCTION
China seeks to commoditize their complements. So, over the following months, I expect a complete blitz of Chinese open-source AI models for everything from computer vision to robotics to image generation.
Why? Iโm just inferring this from public statements, but their apparent goal is to take the profit out of AI software since they make money on AI-enabled hardware. Basically, they want to do to US tech (the last stronghold) what they already did to US manufacturing. Namely: copy it, optimize it, scale it, then wreck the Western original with low prices.
I donโt know if theyโll succeed.
But hereโs the logic:
(1) First, China noticed that DeepSeekโs release temporarily knocked ~$1T off US tech market caps.
(2) Second, Chinaโs core competency is exporting physical widgets, more than it is software.
(3) Third, Chinaโs other core competency is exporting things at such massive scale that all foreign producers are bankrupted and they win the market. See what theyโre doing to German and Japanese cars, for example.
(4) Fourth, China is well aware that it lacks global prestige as itโs historically been a copycat. With DeepSeek, becoming #1 in AI is now something they actually consider possibly achievable, and a matter of national pride.
(5) Fifth, DeepSeek has gone viral in China and its open source nature means that everyone can rapidly integrate it, down to the level of local officials and obscure companies. And they are doing so, and posting the results for praise on WeChat.
(6) Finally, while DeepSeek was obscure before recent events, itโs now a household name, and the founder (Liang Wengfeng) has met both with Xi but also the #2 in China, Li Qiang. They likely have unlimited resources now.
So, if you put all that together, China thinks it has an opportunity to hit US tech companies, boost its prestige, help its internal economy, and take the margins out of AI software globally (at least at the model level).
They will instead make their money by selling inexpensive AI-enabled hardware of increasing quality, from smart homes and self-driving cars to consumer drones and robot dogs.
Basically, China is trying to do to AI what they always do: study, copy, optimize, and then bankrupt everyone with low prices and enormous scale.
I donโt know if theyโll succeed at the app layer. But it could be hard for closed-source AI model developers to recoup the high fixed costs associated with training state-of-the-art models when great open source models are available.
Last, I agree itโs surprising that the country of the Great Firewall is suddenly the country of open source AI. But it is consistent in a different way, which is that China is just focused on doing whatever it takes to win โ even to the point of copying partially-abandoned Western values like open source, which seemed like the hardest thing to adopt.
On that point: they did build censorship into the released DeepSeek AI models, but in a manner thatโs easily circumvented outside China. So, you might conclude they donโt really care what non-Chinese people are saying outside China in other languages, so long as this doesnโt โinterfere with Chinaโs internal affairs.โ
Anyway โthis is an area Iโve been watching, and my reluctant conclusion is that China is getting better at software faster than the West is getting better at hardware.
@Jake__Wujastyk China is like a catch up play in the sense for what happen to US stocks in the last years where big tech companies pumping up the cap-ex and the market shows great interest in those big techs.