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Charts, catalysts & asymmetric opportunities.
Finding what moves markets before it becomes obvious.
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@AshCrypto Worth making the distinction between routine T-bill purchases and actual QE. Not every dollar the Fed puts into the system ends up chasing Bitcoin. The liquidity trend matters, but so does where that money actually flows.
@KobeissiLetter Funny how quickly the Black Monday narrative disappeared 😂. Futures looking strong, but let's see if Wall Street keeps that same energy when the opening bell rings.
@Barchart The real risk isn't just the selloff. A downgrade to Standalone status could force passive EM funds to sell Indonesian equities, creating another wave of outflows. The index decision itself could become a bigger catalyst than the initial panic.
@KobeissiLetter A 6% pullback isn’t the real concern. It’s whether selling stays concentrated in high-valuation tech or starts spreading across the broader market. Market breadth will tell us more than the Nasdaq headline.
@BullTheoryio The real risk isn’t just an AI cyberattack. It’s what happens to market confidence if payment systems or banking infrastructure go offline. In a highly interconnected financial system, trust can disappear faster than liquidity.
@KobeissiLetter The interesting part isn’t the CPI surprise anymore. It’s how quickly the market shifted from inflation fears to growth concerns. When yields fall this fast and stocks still struggle, that’s not exactly a sign of confidence.
@KobeissiLetter@UncleDividends Exactly. But rising asset prices don't always mean rising wealth. The real question is whether your assets are outperforming inflation. Nominal gains look great. Real returns are what actually matter.
@ekwufinance How have the earnings growth been in the last few quarters for AI companies? I hear the word “AI bubble” too much which basically means we are probably not in a bubble “yet”.
@leadlagreport Wouldn't surprise me if a major equity selloff ends up being what finally brings bond yields down. The irony is that the Fed might need something to break before it gets room to ease.
@Hedgeye Quite a move in yields, especially after those inflation numbers. Wonder how much of this is genuine demand for bonds and how much is investors looking for safety.
Either way, 5%+ on the 10Y is still pretty restrictive.
@KobeissiLetter The tricky part is that inflation doesn't hit every asset the same way. Some companies can pass on higher costs, others see their margins squeezed. And with yields rising, even good businesses can get punished.