@Nebraskangooner Yeah, the daily setup is ugly. Bearish engulfing plus the 4H sell signal heading into the weekend isn’t exactly what you want to see. $75.5K is the level that needs to hold.
@TedPillows Yeah, this is not what you want to see. If yields are pushing back above that level despite the Treasury’s buyback plans, the market is clearly demanding more compensation for holding U.S. debt.
@MaxCrypto 60% chance of a September hike.
Yeah… that’s not what you want to see when you’re holding $BTC. Warsh really changed the entire setup today.
@coinbureau This is exactly why $BTC is getting smoked. Treasury yields are ripping higher and September hike odds just jumped, meaning financial conditions are tightening fast. Not the environment you want for risk assets right now.
@CryptoMichNL $78K is the level to watch.
If BTC reclaims it, the correction could be done. If it gets rejected again, I think we sweep lower before the next real move up.
@BitcoinMagazine@cryptoquant_com That’s a pretty big divergence from the price action. On-chain demand and ETF flows can turn bullish before the chart does, but BTC still has to reclaim the major resistance levels for this to actually confirm.
@Kalshi 53% now. That’s a huge shift from the ~30% odds before Warsh spoke. The market is clearly taking his hawkish message seriously, and that’s another major headwind for $BTC in the short term.
$BTC just got rejected exactly where it needed to break out.
The 50W MA around $81K held as resistance, BTC failed to reclaim $80K, and Warsh just gave the market another reason to price in tighter conditions.
September hike odds jumped from 35% to around 60%.
The bear market thesis is still intact.
Now I’m watching $77K, then $73K. Lose those and the downside opens up fast.
@CastilloTrading Could definitely be the setup. Everyone scrolling through their feed seeing nothing but bearish charts is usually when a relief bounce catches people off guard. If ETH/BTC starts catching a bid, BTC could easily follow.
@MaxCrypto Warsh really shook the markets today. $340B wiped from U.S. stocks in 20 minutes shows just how sensitive risk assets are to tighter Fed policy expectations. $BTC is feeling the same pressure as liquidity gets repriced.
@USronaldcarter@fomo That’s brutal. Leverage can wipe people out way faster than they expect. Hope they’re okay and take some time away from the market—chasing the loss usually makes things worse.
@BitcoinNews That’s about as hawkish as it gets. Warsh is making it clear the Fed isn’t willing to tolerate inflation staying above 2%, and the market is already pricing in a higher chance of a September hike. That’s a major headwind for $BTC in the short term.
@BullTheoryio That’s an absolutely brutal reaction. Warsh’s hawkish tone sent yields higher and put immediate pressure on precious metals. When markets start pricing tighter policy this aggressively, even gold and silver aren’t safe from a liquidity-driven flush.
@cryptogoos $40M short with an $85.8K liquidation price? 👀 If BTC starts reclaiming $80K, that position could get squeezed hard. After today’s volatility, another short squeeze would be crazy.
@AltstreetBet Yeah, this move is playing out pretty cleanly. If BTC gets that $71K–$73K pullback, that could be the next major opportunity before another push toward $85K–$100K.
@bitcoinlfgo That’s a massive call from CZ. $1M sounds crazy at today’s levels, but if Bitcoin continues taking market share from gold and adoption accelerates, the long-term upside is hard to ignore.
@misterrcrypto Warsh definitely shook the market today. The hawkish inflation message pushed rate-hike expectations higher, and you can see the reaction across risk assets. $BTC below $79K while stocks and gold whipsawing shows just how sensitive markets are to Fed policy right now.
@ArdiNSC Yeah, that breakdown was clean. The rejection above $80K and subsequent flush have definitely shifted the short-term structure bearish. Now the question is whether $77K–$78K holds or we start hunting lower liquidity.
@BullTheoryio That’s insane volatility. Warsh basically sent the market on a $1.5T roller coaster in a few hours. One thing is clear: markets are extremely sensitive to any shift in Fed policy expectations right now.