@CorneliaLake What do you mean by spacex has the balance sheet to fund it? As in they will issue 20-40bn of equity/debt every 6 months? And also what is spacex going to do with the compute that oracle is contractually building for OpenAI? How do they “get it all”?
@MrMojoRisinX@bewaterltd After the 4-5yr construction period ends on some of these data centers, there’s a need to refi the constr loan to new ABS buyers, who buy against the Oracle lease payments. The risk is that in 4 years you have to sell an abs that is then Orcl risk so maybe u hedge that now?
@DonutShorts Agree. Too far too fast, EVs will be in a bear market for 2024. But over time the tech stack will prove and they will become stupid cheap as lithium/battery costs plummet. Adoption will only increase over time. Bad for OEMs in general as margins will suck on them
@TPaintjob@IntrinsicInv A lot of is the lack of profitability in EV sales for most major OEMs. R&D costs very high too. Adoption rates for EVs are okay but margins are slim or negative. Western OEMs also have abysmal market share in China EVs which has been a profit engine country for many.
@Citrini7 Context seems important. Spreads are so tight already. Doesn’t feel like anything bad is rly priced in, the bond market feels very firm. In a vacuum. they could tighten to 2021 tights if fed cuts, but predicting next 12 months performance is futile imo. No one can accurately
@HayekAndKeynes $LIT as the EV bubble deflates slowly and then suddenly. Low profit margins await the OEMs while the whole industry re-rates off crazy multiples