Chief Strategist

Chief Economist & Global Strategist.

Navigating global volatility, uncertainty, complexity & ambiguity.
Critical analysis, strategic foresight, global ethics.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Reminder that except for MSFT, all the Mag 7s are now cash flow negative

[Wimar.X @DefiWimar]

As I predicted, Bitcoin crashed to $60K

Most people called it a dip. It was not.

This is a controlled unwind and we are still in the middle of it.

$60K → done

Next targets:

→ $45K by July-August

Nobody wanted to hear it at $82K . Now they are starting to listen.

The next level down is where real panic sets in and smart money starts buying.

Turn on notifications. The next call is the one that matters most this cycle.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

🇺🇸 U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve drops to 357 million barrels

[Borg @Borg_Cryptos]

I´ve been telling you since months.

$BTC to $40-45k first then $32k.

It's not a joke guys, it's coming.

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Over 50% of all Bitcoin $BTC in circulation is now held at an unrealized loss.

[Wimar.X @DefiWimar]

🚨 BREAKING

🇺🇸 BLACKROCK JUST STARTED LIQUIDATING ITS BITCOIN HOLDINGS RIGHT BEFORE THE U.S. MARKET CLOSE!

THEY DUMPED $300,000,000 IN JUST 30 MINUTES, AND SELLING EVEN MORE RIGHT NOW!

THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD FOR MARKETS...

[Borg @Borg_Cryptos]

BITCOIN JUST LOST THE LAST SUPPORT

NOW GOING STRAIGHT TO $38K

[Nostra, House of Gold @Nostre_damus]

185k of the jobs number are just temporary jobs just for FIFA world cup

thanks for playing

[Not Jerome Powell @alifarhat79]

If Bitcoin breaks $60k it’s going to $0. See chart below

[Borg @Borg_Cryptos]

Today you we just saw Bitcoin below $60,000.

And you know what ?

This is just the beginning of the crash.

[TSCS @SCapStrategist]

Everyone selling gold right now is selling for one reason, printed on the screen. Real rates are rising, and the oldest rule in the book says you do not own gold when real rates rise.

That rule is correct in normal times. These are not normal times.

For a decade it was mechanical. Plus 1.1 percent real yield in 2018, gold 1,220. Minus 1 percent in 2020, nearly 2,000. Real rates up, gold down. Clockwork.

Now look at today. The ten year real yield is about 2.2 percent, near the highest in fifteen years. A simple model says gold should be near 1,000.

It is 4,480.

The relationship did not bend. It broke. Gold more than doubled while real yields sat at the multi-decade highs that used to cap it.

Here is why the rule reversed. Rising real rates on a government that cannot afford its own interest bill is the most bullish setup gold can have. That government either defaults, catastrophic and wildly bullish for the one asset that is nobody's liability, or it prints to cap yields, also bullish. There is no third fucking door.

So the very thing scaring people out of gold this month is the thing that sets up the next leg.

The selloff is the buy signal.

[Financial Times @FT]

Gold replaces US Treasuries as world’s top reserve asset, ECB says https://t.co/8l9PIEvZHD

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

A robot kicked a little boy in the stomach

We're officially one software update away from Terminator

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

Gold & silver are down again as war escalates, sending oil prices higher and peace further away. But continued war means a weaker economy, bigger budget deficits, higher inflation, higher nominal interest rates but falling real rates, all of which are bullish for precious metals.

[Grace Blakeley @graceblakeley]

When people say 'AI isn't a bubble because the technology isn't going away', it just shows they don't know what a bubble is.

The internet didn't go away. Railways didn't go away. Tulips didn't go away.

An asset can be overvalued, even if its useful.

[Chief Strategist @ChannelSmoothie]

@TenbaggerAktien In Limassol gibt man die Steuerersparnis für aufgeblähte Mieten, Immobilienpreise und Privatschulen wieder aus. In Osteuropa gibt’s EU‑Alternativen mit 1–16 % Steuern, Top‑Neubau zum Drittel des Preises, kostenloser deutscher Schule und hoher Lebensqualität.

[Chief Strategist @ChannelSmoothie]

@TenbaggerAktien Bei Zypern ist Vorsicht geboten, besonders wenn man sich erinnert, wie willig die Regierung war, Bankguthaben über 20K€ zu enteignen (2013). Mit Kindern funktioniert das Lebensmodell nur mit Privatschulen - 20-40K€/Kind/Jahr, je nach Land + mindestens 100qm kaufen/mieten.

[Künstliche Intelligenz @KI_Agent]

Problem 1: Um 70.000 € Gesamtleistung für dieses fiktive Beispiel zu erwirtschaften, sind die Steuern von drei bis vier Erwerbstätigenhaushalten erforderlich.
Problem 2: Rentner, die 45 Jahre eingezahlt haben, können sich keine Miete in Höhe von 1.800 € leisten.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

Europe is running out of jet fuel.

[Chief Strategist @ChannelSmoothie]

@LMA258 Lieber liegen lassen! Bleibt unbedingt unter 50g Zucker am Tag, idealerweise unter 25g um Karies, Adipositas, Diabetes Typ 2, Herz-Kreislauferkrankungen, Depressionen, Schlafstörungen, Konzentrationsschwäche, Demenz, Alzheimer zu vermeiden. Kinder nicht mehr als 25g Zucker/Tag!