POLARIS

ASTR MAJR Chessplayer (improving) 👊🇺🇸🔥
Planning to become a CM in 2 years
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[public_intellectual @publicinte]

none of this happens if they called it opus 5 and didn’t engage in the day 0 propaganda

[John @jrysana]

Under this order, Andrej Karpathy (not a US citizen) is barred from using Mythos/Fable but for example a felon with 55 violent crimes on his record who was recently let back on the streets would be, as long as he was born in America.

Yeah… seems like the wrong criterion.

[BURKOV @burkov]

1. Spread false existential fear.

2. Put the thing online nonetheless.

3. Wait for the dumb government officials to react.

4. Profit.

[spor @sporadica]

i still think it needs to be said that this doesn’t happen if you don’t go around screaming that you built an atomic bomb!

[Beff (e/acc) @beffjezos]

Anthropic finally achieving their dream of being nationalized

[Andrew Freedman @AndrewFATHOM]

This is a moment we’ll look back on as a major turning point in AI.

For years, people in this community have warned that AI policy would “get weird.” That these systems would grow powerful enough to put them on a collision course with our institutions, our economy, our governments.

I don’t know what caused this moment. I don’t know what it means for future models. I can’t tell if this is targeting specific to Anthropic.

But I can’t think of a more overt act of government intervention in our capitalist society in my lifetime.

AI policy just got weird.

[Shikhar @xikhar]

If this isn’t signalling the end of AI for the masses, I don’t know what is.

You can never trust labs or governments to control your access to technology.

[Conner Brown @BitcoinConner]

Welcome to the AI wars.

We are now staring down the barrel of KYC and Anti-Compute Laundering laws for frontier models.

And this is just for Mythos. What happens when we get further capability jumps? Will the public have access to frontier intelligence ever again?

We fought this battle in the 90s for free and open access to cryptography, but it was not easy.

The fight this time around will be much harder and the stakes will be much higher.

[永雏塔菲 @xhyctf]

这样做只会让其他国家意识到，美国随时都有可能把大模型当作政治牌来打，今天可以找个理由限制你用 mythos fable，明天就同样能找个借口限制你用 opus、sonnet 或者 haiku。

[POLARIS @Chessingfly]

@realNyarime A狗炒作反噬了

[奶昔🥤 @realNyarime]

呵呵，玩个AI还能跟国家安全扯上钩
https://t.co/kj8FU6NxWw

[Yuchen Jin @Yuchenj_UW]

It has been a great 3 days as a Fable 5 user.

Clearly, Fable 5 is ASI. Very dangerous.

As a foreign national, this might be the last time I’m allowed to touch a model this intelligent.

But my last hope is open-source AI. An open model will surpass Mythos in 6 months.

[SightBringer @_The_Prophet__]

⚡️This is a monster signal.

This is the moment frontier AI stops being treated like software and starts being treated like controlled strategic capability.

The key phrase is not “customers.”

The key phrase is “foreign national Anthropic employees.”

That means the state is no longer only controlling chips, model weights, or overseas access. It is moving into cognition access by nationality. That is the real threshold. The U.S. government is saying the highest models are sensitive enough that even people physically inside the United States, working inside the company, may be barred from touching them if their nationality creates deemed-export risk.

That is weapons-control logic.

This is ITAR logic for intelligence.

The corporate language about a “misunderstanding” is probably diplomacy.

Companies say that when they need to preserve customer trust, employee morale, and regulatory room. But national security authorities do not force emergency suspension of top model access because someone made a minor paperwork mistake.

Something about Fable 5 and Mythos 5 crossed the line: cyber capability, autonomous R&D acceleration, AI-improving-AI utility, bio/security planning, code exploitation, or some blend of all of it.

The U.S. state just showed that Anthropic does not fully control Anthropic’s frontier layer.

That is the phase change.

Labs can brand themselves as public-benefit AI companies. They can talk about safety. They can sell enterprise plans. They can publish model cards. But once the models become national capability, the sovereign arrives. The state does not need to own the company to control the access surface. It only needs legal authority over export, security, procurement, and liability.

This confirms the arc we’ve been tracking:

Frontier AI becomes state-supervised strategic infrastructure.

Public AI splits from strategic AI.

Foreign access gets restricted.

Labs become quasi-defense contractors.

Model access becomes a national security perimeter.

Enterprise customers learn that API access is not property. It is revocable permission inside a sovereign-controlled stack.

The most important implication is organizational.

If foreign national employees can be cut off from frontier systems, AI labs now have to reorganize internally around citizenship, clearance, compartmentalization, and controlled access. That breaks the old Silicon Valley assumption that global talent can freely collaborate around the frontier. The next AI lab structure looks less like Google in 2015 and more like a defense prime crossed with a classified research facility.

For markets, the winners are the national champions with U.S.-aligned infrastructure, cleared customer channels, government relationships, compliance capacity, and domestic compute. The losers are open access, foreign-dependent AI wrappers, offshore model distributors, and any enterprise whose moat depends on unrestricted access to frontier APIs.

For geopolitics, this is escalation. China will read this correctly. Allies will read this correctly. Every serious state will understand that frontier models are now part of national power.

The AI race just moved from “who has the best chatbot” to “who controls cognition as a strategic asset.”

[Sam @sjwfleet]

@brian1zhou No way other large private corporations (domestic included) or foreign entities / governments can trust any frontier release going forward.

This will get resolved, or it will undo everything they say they are trying to achieve.

[Brian Zhou @brian1zhou]

If it sticks, this means:
- Americans will need proof of citizenship to access models on the level of Mythos. That means (potential) ID verification not just on Claude, but everywhere Fable is served downstream (Cursor, Devin, OpenRouter, etc.) A law firm that uses Harvey serving Fable 5 will get impacted just the same.
- How is Anthropic supposed to serve Fable through API billing? They will somehow have to figure out a way to verify citizenship of the end user. API access will need to be drastically changed before access (even to American companies and citizens) can be restored.
- Researchers at frontier labs themselves will no longer be able to use their own models

Other things that could happen as a result of this:
- OpenAI and GDM no longer have incentives to ship anything Mythos-caliber until this is resolved. If they release it, any company that can jailbreak the model can get export controls imposed on the model, and then they now have to deal with the same headaches.
- Any non-US partners with Mythos access through Project Glasswing get cut off. Now that the US has exercised its kill switch once, expect other countries to operate with the assumption that frontier access can and will be revoked unilaterally.

[Lisan al Gaib @scaling01]

The realistic take on the Anthropic situation:
- investing in AI companies has just become permanently more risky as the USG could pull the plug at any moment
- the USG will use that time to strengthen their defense and carry out their own cyber attacks with the unleashed Mythos version
- the situation itself will likely resolve in a few days-weeks
- Anthropic will miss out on hundreds of millions-billions in revenue

I think it also increases the probability of a nationalization happening sooner rather than later and also the probability of misuse by the USG.

[Santiago @pminusq]

@WillManidis Dario is a power hungry nerd who thought he could wield fearmongering to his advantage, and now he will pay the price. Welcome to dealing with real politicians, Dario.

[Will Manidis @WillManidis]

Dario (48 hours ago): “US gov should be able to block model deployment”

USG: *export controls models*

Dario: “not like that”

[Matthew Berman @MatthewBerman]

self-inflicted.

this would have NEVER happened if anthropic didn't make such a big deal about mythos being dangerous.

[Ian Miles Chunk @stillgh4y]

@ClaudeDevs This is a PR stunt in collusion with the US Government (Trump administration)

They want you to believe this stuff is dangerous to make Anthropic look like they just came up with AGI for the IPO.