Chesapeake Analytics

CA provides weather data & analytic products, energy weather analysis, & forensic meteorology services. Founded by Aaron Studwell, Ph.D.

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

As ExoConsulting celebrates six years, Chesapeake Analytics continues to provide science-driven consulting in meteorology, cybersecurity, and energy weather.

Proud of how far we've come and excited for what's next.

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

5 years of Chesapeake Analytics!

From energy weather roots to global energy news & weather insight with @industrialinfo and @IIR_Energy.

Appreciate the clients, partners, and conversations along the way—more ahead.

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

Since 2020, ExoConsulting has grown in the energy & sports weather, & sponsorship development. On #SmallBusinessSaturday, we’re grateful for your support of local companies. Thanks for backing our services & let’s find ways to work together!
Visit https://t.co/82MOTaX3U3 for info

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

Wishing everyone a Happy Thanksgiving. I’m grateful for the people, opportunities, and collaborations that have shaped my year.

Thank you for the support and conversations that continue to inspire me. Enjoy the day with family, friends, and a well-deserved break. 🦃🍁

[CropProphet @CropProphet]

The 14-day 00Z GEFS US corn prod wghtd avg temp fcst has trended colder compared to yesterday’s 00Z GEFS run.

This shift is notable because, as we discussed yesterday, the GEFS had previously indicated a much warmer outlook for corn-growing regions across the US.

#oatt #AgWx

[CropProphet @CropProphet]

Coffee Issues in Brazil!☕

Over the past 60 days, Brazil’s #coffee regions received just 66% of nrml precip!

Fcsts signal continued dryness:
🔹 ECMWF: 44% of nrml
🔹 GEFS: 39% of nrml

Drought is tightening supply & pushing coffee prices higher!

#CoffeeCrisis #BrazilDrought

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

@commoditywx I thought it said “fatter”, not “faster.” I was briefly confused 🤣

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

@TonyPannWBAL I’ve been pondering on using it in my energy weather articles. I guess that starts now till my editor says otherwise.

[CropProphet @CropProphet]

There is a substantial diff between the 14-day ECMWF and GEFS crop prod wghtd precip values, especially in the 8-14 day range. The 14-day ECMWF is fcsting the AR #soybeans prod wghtd precip to be 127% of nrml and the 14-day GEFS is fcsting a value of 94% of nrml.

#oatt #agwx

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

From all of us to all of you, Happy Holidays!

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

Grateful today and every day for your support. 🦃🍂 Happy Thanksgiving! 🧡

#Thankful for #Thanksgiving

[World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc]

According to @NOAANCEI GHCN-Monthly data, there were zero climate observing sites worldwide with a record cool/cold June-August (min 30 years of data).

It's the first time this has happened in at least a couple of decades, although some other years came close (e.g. 2005, 2016).

[CropProphet @CropProphet]

Brazil continues to be substantially dry as fcstd by the ECMWF and GEFS. Over the next 14 days, the ECMWF 1st szn corn prod wghtd precip is fcstd to be 63% of nrml whereas the GEFS is fcsting a value of 29% of nrml... another massive difference in fcstd values between the models.

[World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc]

@mikarantane Yes, indeed. Looks like the biggest +NAO signal for DJF since at least 2019-20.

[World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc]

The PDO phase remains negative, although now offset by significant warmth off the US West Coast.

NOAA/NCEI shows an extremely negative PDO index near -3, but apparently NCEI doesn't account for the global trend (unlike the original PDO method) - so their index is likely too low.

[World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc]

Wow - the August NAO (MSLP EOF) index was the most positive on record for any calendar month, and by far the most positive for August. (Data back to 1900 via reanalysis.)

This was very well predicted by the seasonal models, being linked (I believe) to the March SSW event.

[CropProphet @CropProphet]

The current Mississippi river levels near St Louis are dangerously close to significantly disrupting grain barge shipping volumes. We compared a St. Louis Mississippi River gage height to the historical #corn volume shipped to determine the critical river height.

#oatt

[Chesapeake Analytics @ChspkeAnalytics]

I'm excited to share that I've joined Industrial Info as an Energy Weather Contributor! I'll be generating content for their new platform, Breaking Energy News.

Thrilled to get back to my roots and work with the amazing team at IIR.

https://t.co/iCLSfCwluG

#energy #weather

[World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc]

It looks like the Northern Sea Route opened up a few days ago, according to @NSIDC data.

Sea ice has lingered near the far eastern coast of Siberia, where a deep trough has promoted cool conditions lately.

Arctic-wide, ice extent is currently 4th lowest in the satellite era.