Cory Satter

PhD student w/ @UFSahelResearch. Interests: climate, existentialist political psychology, urbanism, violence.

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@thomasjuneau I wouldn't say both sides perceive that they have the upper hand…

[Secular Talk ([email protected]) @KyleKulinski]

If Israel is truly "sabotaging the deal" and Trump isn't lying and in on the Lebanon attacks then simply cut off the money and weapons to Israel immediately. Simple. That's how you prove you mean business, anything short of that is bullshit optics and kabuki theater.

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@EndGameWW3 lol good luck with Israel handling it alone
I’m all for it — cause they’ll lose

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

Not sure I believe the media reports about Trump’s anger until he does something about it

[Ragıp Soylu @ragipsoylu]

Netanyahu is trying to sabotage the Iran deal which is totally harmful to his election campaign.

Curious to see for how long Trump will tolerate it

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@gbrew24 Comments on Israel’s bombing of Beirut and how that qualifies things?

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@gbrew24 We should see an empowered nationalist wing and a sidelining of the principlist wing as a new generation focused on stability and economic interests takes over

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

Also in my understanding (and my understanding could be wrong), Lakurawa behaves more like JAS/Boko Haram, not like IS Sahel or ISWAP

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

My understanding is that Lakurawa is closer to JAS/Boko Haram, a rival of IS. This would make Lakurawa cooperation/identification with IS quite surprising. But I continue to see analysts equate it to IS. I think there needs to be clearer analysis on this issue.

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@BarakRavid @axios No, the drone strike did not set off a chain reaction. Israel has been and is clearly trying to derail any potential deal, independent of any drone strike or any other Hezbollah response to Israeli bombardment.

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

My understanding is that Lakurawa is closer to JAS/Boko Haram, a rival of IS. This would make Lakurawa cooperation/identification with IS quite surprising. But I continue to see analysts equate it to IS. I think there needs to be clearer analysis on this issue.

[Africa Terrorism Tracker @AfricaaTT]

🇳🇬 #Nigeria: Islamic State - Sahel Province (ISSP) ("Lakurawa") massacred 20 civilians in Feske Rafi, Kebbi State.

📌 Feske Rafi location: (12.728947, 3.963325) https://t.co/YobGhSeMaL

[Michael Young @BeirutCalling]

Like clockwork: news of a U.S.-Iran agreement today, and Israel tries to torpedo the deal by bombing Beirut, forcing Iran to retaliate against Israel, as part of the Iranian deterrence equation. If Iran responds, it risks undermining the deal with the U.S., which it doesn’t want; if it doesn’t respond, Israel can claim the deterrence equation is now in its favor. https://t.co/H1cQSW1C5k

[Nicholas Noe @NoeNicholas]

Not the world you guys thought would obtain after finally getting the war you craved for so long.

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@HamidRezaAz Opposed even if it's true Iran would get $300 billion and the lifting of sanctions? (Hard to believe)

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@BabakVahdad @laurnorman So maybe Trump launched military strikes only to announce a deal to make it look to the American public like Iran climbed down or at least spin it that way, when in reality nothing changed at all?

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@michaeldweiss So we’re back to square one: no deal, continued standoff, and US loss of face

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

Traders are literally the most gullible people on this planet

[War Monitor @WarMonitors]

⚡️#BREAKING S&P 500 rallies 1.7% for its biggest gain in 2 months on hopes for a US-Iran deal to get oil flowing again

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@Rory_Johnston We also have to be convinced Trump would actually abandon Israel

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@nexta_tv As they record with a smartphone

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@SyedaFatemahuda This is Malta

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@BrantPhilip_ Hasn’t Lakurawa cooperated with JAS? That would make it an interesting front group for IS.

[Cory Satter @CorySatter]

@ryangrim Except Iran would probably target shipping again, either forcing the US to rein Israel in or rejoin the war—which isn’t likely in my opinion, if the war stops. The bigger question is if Israel resumes its war on Gaza to deflect from an Iran deal.