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NBA Late Night Nuke ☢️🚀
🏀1u- Michael Porter Jr O 7.5 Rebounds
(-125 DK)
-A spot just a month ago facing this team he grabbed 11 rebounds on 17 rebound chances, even in a really high scoring game.
-Watching the film he was constantly at the rim for rebounds helping off of Nesmith in the corner.
-Myles Turner will also keep Jokic out of the paint with his spacing and the Nuggets were trapping Haliburton ball screens.
-Pacers one of the fastest paced teams in the league so lot of chances.
-Over in 11 of his last 15 games with Gordon/Murray/Jokic with just 12-18 rebound chances.
-LeBron just had 12 rebounds in this matchup, very similar style and guarded the same guys.
@propsmadness 📊📈
Code GG77 25% Off:
🚨 NBA Play #2 🚨
1.15u - Jalen Green u29.5 PRA (-115)
Run this up to 44 likes for my next NBA prop!
Analysis Thread Below 👇
Chart & Data from @propsdotcash
🏀1u- Bradley Beal O 22.5 PRA
(-120 DK)
-I know some of you have banned him but I have to run this again. You lose out on value when banning guys. We’ll see if I’m wrong.
-Worse shooting performance of his career last game and can’t count on that again.
-Saw 30 minutes in his return and should expect 32-35 here.
-Over this line in 6/7 games without Durant and with Booker this season averaging 27.6 PRA over that span too.
-Good matchup for guards with Knicks being awful against pick and roll ball handlers this year.
-Beal type players have seen a 14% scoring bump in this matchup.
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🏀1u- Stephen Curry U 5.5 Assists
(-115 DK)
-Under in 8 of his last 15 games with Draymond and Butler this year.
-Pretty low number for Curry but this matchup is as tough as it gets.
-Houston allows the 2nd fewest assists to opposing teams this year.
-Curry has gone under this line in 2/2 games already and just 3 assists in this matchup with Jimmy playing.
-Similar players in this matchup have been tough sledding too. 9% decrease in assists for this Houston matchup.
-Less than 9 potential assists in both of those games for curry.
-Under in 78% of his games with butler with 9 or fewer.
-Under in 60% with less than 12.
@propsmadness 📊📈
Code GG77 25% Off:
The PERFECT Matchup for Him.
Miles Bridges Over 24.5 Pts + Reb
Run up the ❤️ for one more NBA Play
Bridges is averaging 34.5 PR at home since the all star break which is 10 PR higher than the line today
And the Kings allow the 5th MOST Points, 3rd MOST Threes, and 10th MOST Rebounds to PFs the last 30 days
Allowing 29 PR to Bridges a month ago and Bridges is averaging 28.5 PR his last 3 games and we get a 24.5 line today
So we have to hammer if he’s crushing at home, gets a perfect matchup that he already went over against this season just need the game to stay close
Best Line: -115 Fanatics
🐢THIS LINE IS TOO LOW📈
Nikola Jokic OVER 25.5 Points (-124 FanDuel)
100% HITRATE L2 SZN vs Warriors
- Jokic has gone over this line in his last 10/11 GAMES against the Warriors, including in 5 STRAIGHT now
- The Warriors don't look like a good matchup on the statsheet, but the fact is, nobody can guard Jokic on that squad
- In the last 5 games, Jokic has been averaging 39 PPG. It's safe to say no one can stop this man. In the one matchup against the Warriors this season, he logged 38 points. He should soar over this line
50 LIKES for my next play‼️
♥️ and 💬 if you're tailing!!
🍀Betting Record: 254-146
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Play of the Day.
Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points
150❤️ and I’ll drop NBA Play #3
Jokic has scored 32, 34 and 38 Points in the last three games against the Warriors
And Jokic has 27+ Points in seven straight games and is coming off 27, 38, 39 and 40 Points the last four games
As the Nuggets are DESPERATELY fighting for seeding with their range of outcomes are the 2 seed to the playin
Jokic’s usage has gone way up and he will dominate a Warriors team playing on a back to back and have no one who can guard him
Best Line: -151 Sleeper playable at 28.5 or 29.5 well
Note: I played this at 25.5 on VIP last night this was the lowest line I could find to reasonably post on Twitter but I think he goes for 30+ tonight
https://t.co/u59TVtKD0m
The Alchemist Will Dominate Tonight!😈
Tyrese Haliburton Double Double
1.87/-115/Bet365 | 1 Unit
💛 if you want another Play!
- This is basically a play for 10+ assists, but we’re getting much better odds by taking the double double instead.
- The points shouldn’t be an issue—he’s scored 10+ in 86% of games this year.
- Haliburton has been on a roll lately, logging a double double in 14 of his last 20 games.
- Gets a soft assist matchup here vs. the Jazz. Over the last 10 games, they’re giving up the 3rd most assists league-wide. Over the last 30 days, they’ve allowed the 5th most assists to PGs.
- Hali has been a much better facilitator at home—10+ assists in 56% of home games compared to just 31% on the road. He has double doubled in 11 straight home games.
- There’s also a chance Siakam misses this one. Without him, Haliburton’s assist percentage jumps from 36.39% to 42.45%, and his assists per 36 go up from 9.6 to 10.45.
- He hasn’t played a game without Siakam this year, but last season he double doubled in 25 of 31 games without him (when playing 25+ minutes).
Research📊: @propsdotcash
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Don't Foul Tonight Buddy!💯
Jalen Duren o11.5 Points
1.93/-108/Fanduel | 1 Unit
♥ if you want another Play!
- Duren’s biggest obstacle is himself, but if he can stay out of foul trouble tonight, I like him to go over this line.
- With 23+ minutes, he’s cleared this line in 70% of games this season—and he’s been even hotter lately, going over in 9 of his last 10 and 18 of his last 20.
- Isaiah Stewart (Beef Stew) is suspended for this one, which should give Duren a big bump in minutes—likely pushing him into the 30s.
- He played just under 34 minutes last game vs OKC, his third-highest total of the season. He averages 30.3 minutes when Stewart is out.
- Gets a soft matchup vs Toronto, who have every incentive to lose this game. Over the last 30 days, they’re giving up the 4th most points to centers.
- Toronto ranks bottom 5 in rim defense, and Duren scores 85% of his points at the rim. Against bottom 10 rim defenses (with 25+ mins), he’s over in 95% of games this year.
- Should see majority of time against Poeltl, but he is capped around 25 mins, so will see Orlando Robinson as well, who is a below-average player.
Research📊: @propsdotcash
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Trust Young Flip Tonight!🐬
Kyle Filipowski o25.5 PR
1.80/-125/Draftkings | 1 Unit
Collab With @PANPOTD🐼
💛 if you want another Play!
- Utah’s injury report is still looking like a hospital wing—so it’s time to back Filipowski.
- Without Markkanen, Collins, Clarkson, and Kessler, he’s over this line in 5 of 6 games when playing 21+ minutes.
- With Tshiebwe also sent back to the G-League, Utah’s frontcourt is razor thin. Filipowski should see 30+ minutes regardless of score.
- He draws a favorable matchup against the Pacers, who—no pun intended—love to play with pace.
- Game total sits at 235.5, so the books expect plenty of action. There will be a lot of opportunity in transition where he scores 20% of his points.
- Over the last 10 games, 63% of centers have cleared their respective PR lines against Indiana.
- Some recent center PR performances vs the Pacers include: Williams (28), Sabonis (41), Sarr (29), Gobert (32), Claxton (19, 20), Jones (29), Reid (25), Bona (25), Lopez (30).
- 26.5 is a .75 units play. 25.5 PR (1u) > 15.5 Points (1u) > 26.5 PR (.75u)
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Trust DeMar Tonight!🤝🏽
DeMar DeRozan o8.5 RA
1.89/-112/Fanduel | 1 Unit
- Every game down the stretch matters for the Kings as they fight to stay in the Play-Ins, so DeMar should log solid minutes to help secure the win.
- With LaVine this season, he’s over this line in 67% of games, averaging 9.8 RA.
- Over the last 10 games, he’s averaging 16.4 RA chances. That number’s a bit low, but it’s skewed by tough matchups vs Orlando and Phoenix.
- When facing teams not ranked top 10 in assists allowed (Charlotte ranks 16th), DeRozan is over in 15 of 19 games (78.9%).
- He is over in 3/4 games since Monk got moved to the bench averaging 10.75 RA on 16.25 chances.
- SFs have had success against the Hornets, with 71% clearing their RA line in the last 10 games.
- DeRozan faced Charlotte in February and finished with 10 RA on 15 chances.
- Some recent SFs who hit vs the Hornets: Brooks (10), Brown (14), Wagner (12), Kawhi (11), Risacher (10).
Research📊: @propsdotcash
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Revenge Game Alert!🚨
Jaxson Hayes o5.5 Points
1.74/-135/Bet365 | 1.1 Units
♥ if you want another Play!
- Playing the injury report here.
- The return of Hachimura has definitely capped Hayes’ upside, but with this being a back-to-back, there’s a good chance he sits this one out.
- If he does play, I seriously doubt he plays massive minutes.
- The Lakers are reportedly trying to keep Hachimura in that sweet spot—enough minutes to stay sharp, but not too many to risk setbacks. He logged 34 minutes last game, so resting him here makes sense.
- In games with Hachimura but without AD, Hayes is over this line in 12 of 20 games (avg. 7). Without both AD and Hachimura, he's over in 10 of 12, averaging 9.8 points.
- The Pelicans are a soft matchup. Over the last two weeks, they’re giving up the 2nd most points to centers.
- Hayes faced them on March 4th and dropped 18 points. If Rui is out, look for him to be a lob threat at the rim, where the Pels rank as the 3rd worst defense.
- Bonus narrative: this is his old team—he’s already cooked them once, and the revenge angle is always nice.
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MAXIMUM DERRICK!🔋
Derrick White o8.5 RA
1.80/-125/Fanduel | 1 Unit
♥ if you want another Play!
- White cashed for us a few days ago—can he do it again tonight?
- This line feels soft for Derrick. He’s over in 15 of his last 20 and a perfect 10 of his last 10. In fact, he’s cleared in 13 straight.
- I’m also trying to play the injury report here. Jaylen Brown has popped up as questionable, and usually when it’s a lone Celtics starter on the report, they often sit.
- Even if Brown does play, I still like the line—White is over in 57% of games this year.
- Without Brown, he’s cleared in 12 of 15 games, averaging 9.9 RA per game.
- He has also been better at hitting his RA line at home, going over in 64% of home games vs just 50% of away games.
- Phoenix is a solid matchup for opposing guards. Over the past two weeks, they’re allowing the 9th most rebounds and 6th most assists.
- He just faced them on March 26th and put up 11 RA on only 15 chances. With Jrue likely drawing the tougher Booker assignment, White should have an easier go against Gillespie.
Research📊: @propsdotcash
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NBA🏀 Lock #1 (April. 4th)
Tyrese Haliburton o 9.5 Assists
(-130 ESPN)
100 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️
❤️ THIS POST FOR ANOTHER PLAY
- Hali has been an absolute wagon for us lately, cashing out consistently and showing no signs of slowing down. Tonight, he draws a dream matchup against a Jazz team that’s been one of the worst in the league at defending PG assists—this is exactly the spot we want to target.
- He’s cleared this line in 100% of his last 5 and 10 home games, averaging just under 13 assists per game during that stretch. With around 20 potential assists per night, we’re only asking him to convert about half to get us paid.
- Utah’s defense vs. PGs has been bottom-tier. They rank 29th on the season and 28th over their last 10 games, giving up an average of 11 assists per game to opposing PGs. In that 10-game stretch, PGs are hitting their assist line at an 86% clip, averaging +1 assist over their listed number.
Recent PG performances vs. the Jazz:
- Tre Jones: 12 Assists
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: 10 Assists
- Russell Westbrook: 7 Assists
- Donte DiVincenzo: 7 Assists
- With Hali’s dominant form at home and the Jazz’s continued struggles containing floor generals, we’re getting elite value on this line. It’s a green light to trust Hali to cash us out once again.
All picks powered by 📊@propsdotcash use code “LSP25” for 25% off of your first month and cash out ✅
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MLB⚾️ Lock #3 (April. 4th)
Max Fried o 5.5 Strikeouts
(-128 FD)
70 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️
❤️ THIS POST FOR ANOTHER PLAY
- Fried cleared this line in 60% of his starts last season when pitching at least five innings. He’s also hit the over in seven of his last 10 games and is a perfect 5-for-5 in his most recent starts with at least five innings. Now, he faces a Pirates lineup that has struggled with strikeouts early in the season.
- Pittsburgh ranks 10th worst in strikeout rate this season (24.6%), making this a strong matchup for Fried.
Pirates Expected Lineup K% vs LHP (2024):
- Kiner-Falefa: 16%
- Reynolds: 23%
- Bart: 31%
- Cruz: 31%
- McCutchen: 29%
- Frazier: 13%
- Hayes: 15%
- Triolo: 26%
- Pham: 19%
- Fried’s go-to put-away pitch last season was his curveball (21% usage), generating a 31% put-away rate. This is a pitch the Pirates’ hitters have struggled against—eight of their starters have a 24%+ strikeout rate against it, which should work heavily in Fried’s favor.
- In 2025, six hitters in this lineup have a strikeout rate of 21% or higher, giving Fried plenty of opportunities to rack up Ks. This is also a prime bounce-back spot for him after throwing 94 pitches in just 4.2 innings. I expect him to be more efficient in this matchup, and the Yankees’ willingness to let him stretch his pitch count early on suggests he’ll have plenty of time to hit this number.
All picks powered by 📊@propsdotcash use code “LSP25” for 25% off of your first month and cash out ✅
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MLB ⚾️ Lock #2 (April 4th)
Brandon Pfaadt o 4.5 Strikeouts
(-140 FD)
70 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️
❤️ THIS POST FOR ANOTHER PLAY
- Brandon Pfaadt consistently surpassed this line last season when pitching at least four innings, hitting the over in 67% of his starts. He also cleared this mark in his first start of 2025, recording five strikeouts in just 78 pitches against the Cubs.
- The Nationals have struggled badly with strikeouts this season, ranking second-worst in the league with a 31% K rate.
Nationals Expected Lineup K% in 2025:
Abrams: 27%
Wood: 44%
Garcia Jr: 24%
Bell: 28%
Lowe: 52%
Dejong: 55%
Ruiz: 4%
Crews: 53%
Young: 12%
- Even in 2024 vs RHP this current lineup had 7 hitters with a 20% or higher strikeout rate. And with Pfaadt likely getting a higher pitch count in this outing, he should have ample opportunities to rack up strikeouts against a Nationals team that has struggled to score and make contact. Expect him to go deep enough into the game to cash this play.
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🏀1u- Ausar Thompson O 5.5 Rebounds
(-125 DK)
-No Tobias Harris here which is huge for Ausar in this spot.
-Over in 4/5 games without Tobias and Ivey this season.
-10+ rebound chances in all 5 of those games too.
-Over in 10/15 games this year when he has 10-15 rebound chances.
-Minutes go from 23 on average to 30.7 minutes when Tobias Harris doesn’t play this year.
-His brother Amen just had 10 rebounds in this same matchup a month ago.
-Witn No Tobias this lineup really needs rebounding with Tim Hurd away Jr and Malik Beasley both in the starting lineup. Ausar is the guy to do that.
@propsmadness 📊📈
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NBA🏀 Lock #3 (April. 3rd)
Ja Morant o 6.5 Assists
(-136 FD)
❤️ THIS POST FOR ANOTHER PLAY
- You take your PGs' assists against Miami, and Ja has been in crazy form since returning from injury. Facing a tough Heat defense against PG scoring, Ja will have to lean on his teammates tonight, making this a great spot for his playmaking to shine.
- Clearing this line in 60% of his last 5 and 10 games, he’s been consistent, averaging 7.4 APG over this stretch. He’s also averaging 14 potential assists per game, leaving us needing just half of those converted to cash out.
- Miami has struggled to contain PG assists due to their strong on-ball defense, forcing passes. They’ve ranked bottom 5 on the season and bottom 10 over their last 10 games, allowing an average of 10 APG to PGs.
Recent PG performances vs. Miami:
- Trae Young: 12 Assists
- Jared Butler: 10 Assists
- Cade Cunningham: 11 Assists
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: 11 Assists
- Bub Carrington: 9 Assists
- With Ja’s recent form and this elite matchup, he’s in a prime spot to secure our coin and cash us out tonight.
All picks powered by 📊@propsdotcash use code “LSP25” for 25% off of your first month and cash out ✅
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🏀 NBA Play #2 (4/3)
Collab w/ @BetTheHud 🔨
- Toumani Camara O1.5 3PTM
- Camara has been red-hot at the 3 lately, and I expect him to continue tomorrow vs. TOR.
- He has cleared his line in the last 9 games straight averaging 3 3PTM.
- TOR also allows the 10th most points to transition points where Camara flourishes: scoring 20% of his points.
- Camara has also been more productive and reliant on the 3: with the last 5 games having 51% of his points scored hailing from beyond the perimeter.
- Not to mention various POR players are GTD, Doubtful, or OUT with names including Grant, Simons, Henderson and Ayton. This lack of staffing spikes his usage.
- Last game vs. TOR he shot 10 3PA hitting 5! With the line being at a playable 1.5, I see astounding upside and a phenomenal chance of him at least getting 2!
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