Mustafa

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

57% in a week , not bad $BRUN

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Up 15% in a day on 2x volume , we got ourselves a runner $BRUN

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Time to study $BRUN

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Another one $PURR

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$PURR your the best , I’m so happy I found you

[Hush @HushWealth]

The company holding 22.3 million HYPE issued 9% more shares last week. Normally that dilutes everyone who already owns it. This time the value behind each share went up, not down. Here is the mechanic most treasury company takes miss.

📰 $PURR updated dashboard, at hyperliquid:native $59.78:
✓ 22.3M HYPE, up from 20.8M. Cash $157.2M, up from $113.8M. Zero debt.

✓ Fully diluted shares 179.8M, up from 164.7M, a 9% increase through the ATM.

✓ NAV per share $8.29, up from $7.95 last week. Share price $8.69, a 1.05x premium to NAV.

❗️ The mechanic:

Issuing new shares usually means existing holders own a smaller slice. The exception is when you sell those shares above net asset value and put the proceeds into the asset itself. That is what happened.

PURR (@HypeStrat ) sold new shares at a premium, bought 1.5M HYPE, and its cash position still rose $43.4M on top of the buy. Share count up 9%, and net asset value per share rose rather than fell. A diluting raise would have done the opposite.

That gap is the accretion, and it is the entire point of a treasury company. The ones that work compound. The ones that do not just dilute.

🏆 The read:

The premium narrowed from 1.10x last week to 1.05x even as the treasury grew, some of that HYPE sitting below its high this week, some the market digesting a 9% larger share count.

But it held above parity, which means the market still pays up for the proxy rather than discounting it. The flywheel did its job, grow the treasury without shrinking the value behind each share.

The line to watch is parity. Above 1.00x the proxy holds. A sustained move below it is the market saying the issuance stopped adding value.

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Less than a week $NBIS

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$300 incoming 🧲 $NBIS

[Rosanna Prestia, MBA @RosannaInvests]

What is going on with $NBIS 👀
Heavy Calling BUYING $300/320 July 🔥

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

That’s a top portfolio , this guy knows… 👏🏼 $NBIS $IREN $CRWV $MU $SNDK $BE $TE

[Investing visuals @InvestingVisual]

Leopold Aschenbrenner's top 10 long positions as of today:

1. $NBIS 35%
2. $SNDK 15%
3. $BLOOM 13%
4. $CRWV 9%
5. $MU 6%
6. $IREN 5%
7. $CORZ 5%
8. $TSM 5%
9: $APLD 4%
10. $INTC 2%

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Time to study $BRUN

[Asymmetric Bets @UncleAlpha007]

Claude thinks $BRUN could be a 15x bagger by 2030 similar to $SNDK $BE $MU $SIVE

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$MU $707 to $895 2weeks 26%
Ps, I’ve been in micron way way way before I mentioned it on X

[Halal Investor @_HalalTrader_]

$MU People say I'm too bullish - but I'm actually the most conservative guy holding a stock at <6 PE that's growing earnings 100% with 81% margins, in an expanding TAM >20% with revenue visibility 3 years out.

Doesn't that sound like something to be super bullish on?

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$XSD $414 to $632 5weeks 52%
$DRAM $35 to $60 5weeks 71%
Do you understand now? Are you paying attention?

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$XSD and $DRAM urgently add these two to your portfolio and thank me later

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$AMD $236 to $503 7weeks 113%
$ASTS $91 to $120 7weeks 31%
$NBIS $136 to $208. 7weeks 53%
Are you paying attention now?

[Mike Investing @MrMikeInvesting]

Don’t overcomplicate your trading…

Buy $GOOGL and relax.

Buy $AMD and relax.

Buy $ASTS and relax

& finally buy $NBIS and relax.

This strategy will nearly guarantee your portfolio to outperform the S&P 500.

Come back in 8 months and you’ll thank yourself that you listened…

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$GOOG $314 to $384 7weeks 22%

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Investing cheat code:

Buy $GOOG under 20x P/E, hold forever 🔒

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

SMH was $422 now $602. 42% in 7weeks
QQQ was $606 now $730 20% in 7weeks
VGT was $92 now $118 28% in 7weeks
Low risk high return , are you paying attention now?

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Risk is back on! Go long make tons of money! Long SMH,QQQ, VGT

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Arsenal won the title and Hyperliquid $HYPE at $64 which is double in 3 months.. thank you

[Richard E. Ptardio @RichardPtardio]

What's all the fuss about, chaps?

There's only two charts that matter, and both are looking extremely bullish.

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

It bounced of $60k on 5th feb, I was $2k off, I don’t see a double bottom so that’s the new floor for the upcoming cycle, $150k+ incoming by 2028-2029
Ps. 2022 was a typo I meant 2026 and it was trading at $84,000 that day , I bought at $62,000 along with $ASST $10 and $MSTR $107, $ASST target $70 by 2028 and $MSTR $500+

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$BTC 200 week sma is $62,000 , odds are we hit that target in 2022

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

Where to invest in 2026

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$SOXX $SMH $DRAM $WGMI $AIS

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

@Thomas_james_1 Nice choices!!

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

HERE ARE THE TOP 15 PERFORMERS OF 2026

1. $AXTI +761%
2. $SNDK +523%
3. $AAOI +421%
4. $AEHR +371%
5. $NVTS +310%
6. $BE +248%
7. $DOCN +229%
8. $INTC +225%
9. $WDC +181%
10. $ARM +180%
11. $VIAV +178%
12. $MU +163%
13. $LITE +157%
14. $NBIS +157%
15. $OSS +148%

[Mustafa @DXBMus]

$SIVE

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

Photonics is nuanced and using ChatGPT/Gemini makes you miss all of it:

1. $SIVE is actually a chokepoint and partially a bottleneck.

The reason it's a chokepoint is leading CPO/optical hyperscaler players go through Sivers, likely:

Ayar. Celestial. Lightmatter. Lightelligence. Poet.

If you take out Sivers, you literally can't make some of their products + delay their roadmap by years.

As many are sole/primary source but are heading the direction on multi-source.

As for the bottleneck argument: Win Semi is the bottleneck for scaling laser production.

But... the nuance is when you have capacity allocated for the next few years.

You become part of the bottleneck itself if players fight you for allocation of finished lasers.

That's the nuance people miss with capacity allocation dynamics.

It's like saying $SNDK is not part of the NAND bottleneck when Kioxia makes all of it.

But when Sandisk has the ultimate control of output supply, they become the bottleneck + have all the pricing power.

Sivers controls output supply of CW lasers given allocations, and as seen with $LITE earnings, CW laser is currently bottlenecked as everyone seems to be stuck producing EMLs.

2. Like how LLMs always uses em-dashes.

You can tell when people use AI when they always use the same "CW is a dumb interchangeable laser" argument or compare "power" specs after conflating different architectures.

That's why your "analysts" using AI will get this wrong over and over.

There's CW lasers... and then there's a specific architectural design that Sivers achieves with DFB lasers.

If you compare power specs with $LITE vs. Sivers, Lumentum wins in isolation. But they're completely different laser architectures.

All the leading CPO players like Ayar, chose $SIVE for an architectural reason for high power, low thermal, laser arrays. $JBL 1.6T LRO also made one of the most dramatic moats cited by their fireside chat, using Sivers lasers.

If you think CW lasers are interchangeable with Sumitomo/Furukawa, and others. And can be plug-and-play... i don't know what to tell you?

Again: $SIVE makes architecturally unique CW lasers for leading CPO players.

3. I'm not sure how many times I need to say this:

$SIVE for 2024-2025 has been going through development contracts. People using TTM revenue or former P/S metrics are using completely the wrong metrics, when there's volume ramp in 2027.

It's the same with $AAOI which volume ramps in H1 2027.

$AEHR which volume ramps after qualification.

$LPK that volume ramps after qualification.

This is just missing qualification cycles in semiconductors and how to model financials currently.

As for the $LITE comparisons (which was also my long last year):

$LITE literally started off selling laser dies before acquisition of Cloud Lite and other downstream optical engine components.

This is where $SIVE is at today with starting off in the laser chokepoint for CPO:

People are modeling laser revenue off very isolated TAM projections. Meanwhile Sivers is targeting M&A to expand revenue for TAM projections.

This is not a simple component FAU + ramp valuation modeling over with a Taiwanese company.

Since Laser companies like $LITE, $COHR are known to downstream expand to make their lasers more valuable, then vertically integrate (fabs, assembly) afterward.

Again, Sivers worked with Ayar and these types of companies before they all became billion dollar companies. I have high conviction knowing they know what to acquire down the ELS/optical engine stack + pluggable transceiver for TAM expansion.

It's just annoying when I get people who don't understand the nuances backseat commenting wrong things about my longs.

I got the same thing about $AXTI is not a bottleneck! InP isn't needed! China! back at $14.

Now it's $140

I got the same thing about $AAOI "is going down 50%!" back at $65. or "AOI management is shady at $30".

Now it's $170

I got the "there's nothing new with $SOI" back at $45.

Now it's $170.

I think I'm one of the few who actually understands the nuances with photonics, since I did call out $LITE, $TSEM, Innolight, $AXTI, $AAOI, $SOI, that outperformed both photonics markets and overall markets over the past year.

And now I'm long on $SIVE.