Danilo Leiva-León

Research Economist. Only my views.

[Boston Fed @BostonFed]

Boston Fed economist Danilo Leiva-León discusses a new tool for quantifying the supply and demand sources of inflation. Read more: https://t.co/3ZFV2wIbTt

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

What are the current main sources of inflationary pressures? In this brief, we introduce a new framework that allows us to break down #inflation in real time into (i) common #supply and #demand contributions of #goods and #services , and (ii) idiosyncratic factors.

[Boston Fed @BostonFed]

Boston Fed economists have developed a new model that uses data to break down the contribution of supply and demand factors to inflation. Read more: https://t.co/3ZFV2wIbTt

[The Review of Economics and Statistics (REStat) @restatjournal]

Just Accepted new paper, “Underlying Inflation and Asymmetric Risks” by Hervé Le Bihan, Danilo Leiva-León, and Matías Pacce https://t.co/X9iS1mPLcq

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

Glad to share a paper on how to measure the #weakness of the #global #economy in real time, just published in the Journal of Applied Econometrics.
https://t.co/awqcBpigPn

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

@restatjournal Updates of the weekly economic indices can be found at https://t.co/ouJyvhRFxg

[The Review of Economics and Statistics (REStat) @restatjournal]

A novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 US states going back to 1987. In the March 2024 issue of REStat by Christiane Baumeister, Danilo Leiva-Leon (@DaniloLeivaLeon), Eric Sims. https://t.co/RCCUJ7X7S3

[Notre Dame Economics @nd_econ]

Just out in the March 2024 edition of Review of Economics and Statistics, @restatjournal, "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," from our own Christiane Baumeister and Eric Sims (with Danilo Leiva-Leon). Check it out: https://t.co/okLe8DRBPM

[SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum @suerf_org]

#SUERFpolicybrief “Underlying Inflation, Regime Shifts and Asymmetric Risks” by Hervé Le Bihan (@banquedefrance), @DaniloLeivaLeon (@ecb), and Matías Pacce (@BancoDeEspana)

#UnderlyingInflation #AsymmetricRisks #RegimeSwitching

[Banco de España Research @bde_Research]

ICARIS: a non-linear measure of underlying #inflation, capable of inferring abrupt changes and turning points. It is also useful for assessing asymmetric risks in the inflation outlook #bdeResearch https://t.co/sbwUhkGkYd

[Banco de España Research @bde_Research]

We measure the synchronization of housing price cycles across Spanish cities and study changes in city-level price synchronization over time #bdeResearch #Housingpricecycles #Synchronization
https://t.co/JSYfPmd7tv
1/3

[European Central Bank Research @ECB_Research]

Register now to join virtually the Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics conference organized by @ClevelandFed & @ecb on 31 August – 1 September in Frankfurt https://t.co/oZnMUM3NSE 1/3

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

How can credit cards transaction services be included in monetary aggregates? In this paper, economic aggregation and index number theory are used to build credit-card services augmented Divisia monetary aggregates, also useful for nominal GDP nowcasting.
https://t.co/RrgcEyum18

[SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum @suerf_org]

#SUERFpolicybrief "When Do Credit Booms Become Troublesome?" by Eddie Gerba (@bankofengland), @DaniloLeivaLeon (@ecb) and @jo_poeschl (@nationalbanken)

#CreditCycles #NewsShocks #NoiseShocks #BankLending

[Thomas Harr @ThomasHarr4]

#credit #sentiment, new @Nationalbanken WP out by my good colleague @jo_poeschl, Eddie Gerba @DaniloLeivaLeon on credit expansions and investement sentiment. Noise and fundamental shocks lead to credit expansions but only the former may lead to a reversal, https://t.co/GEeUDftK4Q

[The Review of Economics and Statistics (REStat) @restatjournal]

"Endogenous Time Variation in Vector Autoregressions." In the January 2023 issue, by Danilo Leiva-León and Luis Uzeda. https://t.co/OGLrs4zJUd

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

The State of the U.S. Economy in Real Time, Election Eve and Year Ahead https://t.co/Yug8U9Iffv

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

In this Richmond Fed brief, we introduce an index of "sentiment" in credit markets, above and beyond that attributable to contemporaneous economic conditions. #credit #markets #sentiment #fed

https://t.co/3S3IQ9keb6

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

@manugonzalez76 Mix-freq UCM, no? Cómo tratas las varianzas en el 2020?

[Danilo Leiva-León @DaniloLeivaLeon]

“Latin American Falls, Rebounds and Tail Risks” This paper introduces a set of indices that provide timely, robust and comprehensive assessments of economic developments in Latin American countries
https://t.co/O8wQVL4qIG
Summary in Spanish: https://t.co/b0XmFGFhxg
#latinamerica

[Banco de España @BancoDeEspana]

Se estima que en España un incremento de un 1 % en la #inversiónpública estaría asociado a un aumento similar de la #inversiónprivada. Este resultado subraya la importancia de un uso adecuado del plan #NGEU https://t.co/G9aMCdlXAX #bdePublicaciones