$AMZN will never be a clean story because some part of its business is always under assault.
But doesn’t mean it can’t be a winner LT due to sheer growth in fundamentals
$AMZN essentially trading at AWS + Anthropic stake value, with zero value assigned to all its other parts not to mention the pricing leverage AWS is about to get with the demand for VMs and AWS having the biggest fleet of them.
Companies that are agreeing to deals for interoperability with Muse are probably going to be long term losers unless they have some physical, real world moat
@P_Remarks It’s actually making it incredibly hard for any app companies to reliably use either for scaled production experiences.
All the models require heavy testing/evals and if you are shoving out new models every month, the upgrade churn may not be worth the incremental capability
@c_miser So capital concentration + leaner back office?
I don’t think there are enough star PMs and capital will always flows to demonstrated alpha.
Doubt we ever get some explosion of baby hedgefunds
I imagine the proliferation of consumer agents is going to lead to no “benefit of the doubt” in customer service interactions, outright bans (see Instinct v. Resy), and growth of process friction.
Not saying this is reasonable - but certain profit pools are being put at risk.
@c_miser I mean the reason I used Amazon is because of real-world convenience.
They have massive supply side advantages and a huge logistics moat.
I wouldn’t trade 2 minutes of amazon clicking for for longer delivery window.