Potato Capital

Research behind a private family office and hedge fund. Equity research, macro strategy, and derivatives trades. Not open to outside capital.

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@itsdharris @Mr_Derivatives Different fundamental situations. Disagree

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

Two names that for four years were in a vicious bear market for -60% ish peak to trough have now made massive turnarounds nearing fresh 18 month highs.

$TGT

$UPS

There are so many names in this category that could make similar turnaround stories.

I’ll start, $NKE is one.

Who else?

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@TheAIShrink @HedgeFundFomo ???

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@SpursReporter Wasn't the same at all bud

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@SpursReporter Brunson consistently brings his foot forward when landing after shooting, it's an offensive foul in almost all cases

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@HedgeFundFomo Portfolio busted, off to work in the mines now

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

https://t.co/ySZdIULcxb

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@aakashgupta In 2022 forward PE fell from ~24 to ~17. During the current period it went from ~23 to ~21. So how is this a generational buying opportunity? Individual stocks for sure there are some opportunities, but generalizing the index to be a generational opportunity is simply wrong.

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

https://t.co/ZEPRgxWmjz

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@DanRusso_CMT @JulianKlymochko Oof!

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@MktInsight7777 @NickNemo17 how can we trust what you're saying if your profile only has posts pumping the stock Nick is criticizing?

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@michaeljburry "That capacity will now be fulfilled at one of the other data center ​campuses being built, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters on Friday."

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@WOLF_Financial All of them

[Nick Nemeth (Mispriced Assets) @NickNemo17]

1/
A couple days ago I published a short thesis on Aeluma $ALMU — a pre-revenue microcap semiconductor company with no product-market fit and a stock chart heading to pennies.

Today, a guy named Dan Carlson from “Tailwinds Research Group” called me clueless. Maybe. Let’s see…

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@BiunnoViews @TJTheWheelDeal @grok @grok what would the fcf multiple be at a 55% fcf margin if pltr hits 10b revenue?

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@TheRonnieVShow Dilution appears to be an ongoing issue

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@EternalRekt @aleabitoreddit 👋

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

@DefiantLs Disgusting

[Potato Capital @DoYouNeedPotato]

Today we broke down Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) - the largest egg producer in the United States:

FY25 margin normalization
Specialty egg mix shift
Prepared foods accretion
Segment-level unit economics
Full DCF (5Y/10Y × PG/EM)
Scenario IRRs
Sensitivities
Peer comps

A scenario-weighted fair value near $333/share, driven by mispriced earnings power, a pristine balance sheet, and structural specialty-egg growth.
https://t.co/TveE9MM5A5