@Spectrumofreas1@rohanpaul_ai@jacobi_torsten Maybe a different game. He is hyping the upcoming AI IPOs because all that investor cash will be flowing straight back into Nvidia. Bigger IPO = Bigger hardware spend.
@fallacyalarm Commodities are priced off of production costs if the volume of consumption/demand is of reasonable order of magnitude similar to production volumes. Not true with gold, as non-decaying stockpiles and financial demand dwarf yearly production volume, dependent on geology & capital
@signulll private security was the norm before you know when. Motivations for operations were minimum cost and skill, not actually catching anything. Even if TSA is bad, it can be way worse.
@MinuteofZombie If there were a scalable path to a room temperature superconductor wouldn't the industries which benefit economically be tremendously willing to fund it?
@cosmicfibretion@AdGravitas But the current AI architecture will not stay static either. LLMs are mostly idiot statistical learners and yet they work much better than they ought to. Maybe a new simple technique (I like LeCun's ideas) will do the same and lift up capability even more.
@pandemik0@ELoosbrock Except for calendar aging which is still significant. The battery degradation curves plotted (which are significant over 8 years) would look similar if they were cycled much less often.
@ELoosbrock@JackBoHare Right, it has more cobalt than modern batteries. More cobalt means more expensive and more stable. New NMC 811 batteries degrade faster, as does new higher energy density Panasonic NCA used in recent Teslas.
@omnific9@GaryMarcus@sama Le Cun and collaborators have been working on new generations of ideas and explicit concrete technologies. There's lots of papers on interesting regularization along the way.
@fallacyalarm except fundamental math and science will not help one escape the consequences of AI taking white collar careers, unless you're extraordinarily good at it in the 0.01% of talent and the competition is already very rough there. What happens when even more people attempt?
@fallacyalarm Except in your hypothetical German would own the car factory not an American and the productivity and profits come to benefit Germans and eventually wealth comes out.
@ID_AA_Carmack I think it did. The capital facilities to make these are rare, extra capacity small, and labor specialized and slow to train.
Abandoning transformer grade steel significantly increases heat and lowers safety with greater losses, but there isn't any one bottleneck it seems.
@moultano Realistically? The need to supply blood through a rotating axle. The bacterial molecules are small enough to not need this.
Then there's the lack of an evolutionary drive to need fully rotating vs the much easier reciprocating.
@fallacyalarm Xi Jinping can win a staredown with VCs in a risk-off funding cycle. And so can Microsoft which has sticky recurring revenue, and maybe Google.
High capital requirements mean high operating costs. Businesses will go for lowest inference cost solution, not best.
@fallacyalarm what is the monopoly power here? What prevents reasonably fungible competition?
Already now there are model router products and services which ping competing models.
@DanHaug6@ChrisUKSharp@UnstblResearch "confirmed is extraterrestrial" is a stringent standard. You'd need to track an object all the way to space and have observations the same object accelerated non-gravitationally out of solar system binding energy. Or see it land on Mars. Notice also "confirmed" vs "possible".