How well do various QB stats (via @FantasyPtsData) predict NEXT YEAR'S fantasy points per game?
- Rushing volume and previous fantasy scoring (FPG, FP/DB, etc.) are king
- Real-life efficiency (EPA/DB) and sack avoidance (P2S ratio) matter more than passing production/volume
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I need a place in sleeper I can put in names and the system just silently rejects any trade offers trying to send that player to me. I’ll call it the Aiyuk button
We get far fewer binary possible outcomes situations where something may or may not happen and a player is either undervalued or overvalued depending on the outcome than it feels like. Ladd is one of those right now. The upside if Keenan doesn’t sign is more than worth the risk
WR Skyler Bell #UConnFootball
- Two-quick with shed counter
- Jump up and through timing but limits jump based on trajectory of target
- Back-shoulder catch and pull-back
- Boundary work
Good tracking and late hands vs tight coverage.
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@maxtoscano1@ScottBarrettDFB@RecepPerception I’d say variance play at his best ball cost is worth a certain percentage of roster ship. Maybe not a large one, but the upper bound of the range of outcomes does exist
A recent history of fibula fractures for NFL skill players
We've seen them return quickly. But effectiveness falls off a cliff for up to a year after:
Tony Pollard
- Returned for OTAs after January 22nd injury (~4 months)
- Fell from 1.02 fantasy points/opportunity in 2022 to 0.70 in 2023 (on only 75 more touches)
Mark Andrews
- Returned for the AFC Championship game after November 16th injury (~2 months)
- Fell from 14.6 FPG pre-injury in 2023 to 11.1 FPG in 2024, with a major decrease in route participation
Isiah Pacheco
- Returned in Week 13 after Week 2 injury (~2.5 months)
- Fell from 0.84 fantasy points/opportunity in 2023 to 0.45 for the rest of 2024 + playoffs, and still just 0.60 in 2025
Chris Godwin
- Returned 11 months after Week 7 2024 injury (also the oldest player on this list when sustained, and had the most visibly gruesome dislocation on top of it)
- Fell from 19.7 FPG/the best season of his career in 2024, to just 9.2 FPG in 2025. YPRR fell from 2.62 to 1.51
Quinshon Judkins
- Expected back on the field in some fashion for training camp (starts in late July) after late December injury (~7 months)
Cam Skattebo
- Hopes to be cleared for training camp (starts in late July) after late October injury (~9 months)
I'd posit: should we even care about positive-sounding injury news for Skattebo or Judkins this offseason?
The question was never whether they'd be on the field for Week 1; it's whether they'll be anything close to themselves!
Nearly 2 hours on a Tuesday? These guys are absolutely SICK! 🤢
ALL 32 NFL Backfields Breakdown for Fantasy Football 2026 | Sleepers, Handcuffs & Values
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