‼️King’s College London War Studies PhD Alexander Grable just published a paper that directly challenges the core Western claim about the Ukraine war: that Russia is taking multiples of Ukrainian casualties and is being steadily attrited.
The article appears in the official 2026 Russia Seminar proceedings of the Finnish National Defence University.
Using open-source data only, Grable argues the opposite is true - Ukrainian irretrievable losses are substantially higher, both absolutely and relatively.
The most striking indicators:
➡️ Ukrainian Ministry of Health / National Institute of Strategic Studies amputee figures, even when deliberately adjusted downward to match the best U.S. medical performance in the War on Terror, imply 400,000–520,000 Ukrainian KIA by late 2024.
➡️ Parallel Russian military-hospital data (obtained via a defector) shows far fewer amputees relative to admissions.
➡️ Body exchanges across the war average roughly 12.5 Ukrainian dead returned for every 1 Russian.
➡️ Open-source Russian death tallies (Mediazona and similar) show serious inflation when cross-checked against obituaries and probate records. A 2025 prisoner cohort of ~4,000 produced only ~112 corroborated deaths by late summer — incompatible with claims of 30–50k Russian dead per month.
Grable’s conclusion: Russian KIA/MIA are very probably lower than most Western estimates, Ukrainian losses are very probably higher, and Ukraine is on the wrong side of the attritional gradient. Russia has used superior firepower, training, and its reconnaissance-strike complex to impose highly unfavorable ratios.
Full paper (free PDF): https://t.co/iBcAyxmkm8
This is not a fringe blog or a politicised claim. It is a published contribution to a major military university’s research series.
@PopularPlastic@JarvisAeneas Nothing is being gained by continuing the fight. They are only losing more people, territory, and infrastructure as the fighting goes on. Surveys show that a majority of Ukrainians want to negotiate an end right now.
A torture chamber of Zelensky was uncovered near Kiev, where over 40 mobilised men were held captive by Ukraine's National Guard. The youngest victim was reportedly just 14 years old. There is now great outrage and riots in Ukraine against the henchmen of Zelensky and NATO.
John Mearsheimer re: Norway's attack on Glenn Diesen: On 28 October 2026, I appeared on Glenn Diesen’s popular podcast. Before describing what we discussed, I want to emphasize that Glenn is under constant attack in his home country of Norway for expressing views that challenge the conventional wisdom about the Ukraine war. The attacks have become so vicious and unrelenting that he plans to leave Norway after Christmas. This situation is disgraceful and fundamentally at odds with the core liberal values that the West purports to cherish and uphold.
The reason for this campaign against Glenn is straightforward: Europe’s war against Russia is failing, as he has long predicted, and European elites, including those in Norway, are desperate to silence anyone who tells them that their policies are failing, that they led Ukraine down the primrose path, and that they have a great deal of blood on their hands. Not their own blood, of course.
https://t.co/noInrHDO9W
I believe that the call to President Putin by the leaders of Norway and Finland was an important and positive development. Even though nothing was achieved to end the war, it is important for our survival to normalise diplomacy again. I know there are many politicians in places like Germany who recognise that we are heading towards a cliff and want to return to negotiations about the European security architecture, but diplomacy itself has become criminalised. Hopefully, this opens the door to bringing back common sense.
A key problem is that we confuse moralism with morality. Presenting all security competition as moral issues is great for moral posturing, but by presenting conflicts as a struggle between good and evil, we end up concluding that diplomacy is appeasement and that peace can only be achieved by defeating the 'evil' opponent. Moralism also stifles debate within our own societies, as opposition to policies framed as morally virtuous is automatically deemed illegitimate.
Maybe someday we will look back at this era of war hysteria and flirting with nuclear war as we now do with the Covid hysteria.
@VideoGameHstry The Nintendoland game where the Mario player has a private Pacman-like view on the tablet with toads using fpv on television was ridiculously fun. I bought a Wii U within a couple days of playing that game.
@Zoya_ki_batein What is with all these people being so sensitive about stand-up? It’s intentionally offensive and pushing boundaries. That’s its thing.
30 years ago my game The Adventures of Lomax for the PS1 was release this day the 22th of October 1996 in the US. Great memories developing this with just 2 team members. Me doing all the artwork, game-design and world editing. Erwin Kloibhofer coding the game and editor. Time flies!
@doomerpost Wow, a greentext post that isn’t gay? I never used 4chan and don’t understand the culture, but the crossposting here leads me to believe that it’s largely about closeted homosexuality.