北海茶客 @Fancytg4j - Twitter Profile

#Teake Work Notes Yesterday, gjd must have entered and supported it, and it was relatively strong, but the key is to see if there is any collective rescue action on the weekend. If not, still be cautious about AH. Of course, U.S. stocks now also have many risk factors, mainly high oil prices and whether the investment frenzy of AI has peaked. I still only do U.S. stock technology (including medicine), Hong Kong stock dividends and A-share microdisks. At present, the first two tracks have retreated a lot, but the microdisk is very solid. Add which one collapses. If I have to add it now, I prefer U.S. stocks of technology and U.S. stocks of medicine, and Hong Kong stock dividends will be very cheap. The market will not turn from bear to bull in one day. Be patient and don't copy the bottom too early.

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北海茶客

@Fancytg4j

2 days ago

#茶客工作笔记昨天gjd肯定是入场托了一下，而且力度比较大，但关键是看周末有没有什么集体救市的动作，如果没有，依然对AH保持谨慎。当然，美股现在也有不少风险因素，主要是高油价和AI的投资狂潮是否见顶。我依然只做美股科技（包括医药）、港股红利及A股微盘。目前前两个赛道都回撤不少，微盘这个垃圾却非常坚挺。哪个崩盘就加哪个。如果非要我现在加，首选美股科技和美股医药，港股红利要等非常便宜再说。市场不会一天就熊转牛，保持耐心，不要过早抄底。

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北海茶客

@Fancytg4j

2 days ago

#茶客工作笔记好久没说保险股了，之前高点卖了就一直没加仓，主要是对利率走势有所忌惮。这一转眼，10年期国债利率又要创新低了，利差损的鬼故事又要来了。我是不相信0利率的故事的，但是感觉10y利率新低是大概率。最近查尔斯在增持保险，我去算了下保险股现在的股息率，这个股息率不能静态看之前一年的，因为之前保险炒股赚了不少钱，特别是那些参与科技比较多的新华、人寿，现在这部分大概率是拖累。比较稳健的还是太保和平安，但这俩的弹性也不够，所以我还是选择等太平之类的股息率到4-5%再逐步增持，现在的仓位也不动了。