FlawlessContext

clarity over chaos

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@robinhanson @allTheYud Insider trading more regulated in financial markets

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@petergyang More northern latitude. Only 1-2 weeks of heat. Older buildings than US

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got shadowbanned for tweeting this and now no one sees my tweets! @Support @nikitabier

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@showerfortsAl @blader what free speech? plenty of right-wing censorship. trump attacking press that's critical of him. twitter banning leftists.

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@showerfortsAl @blader and that seems like the tweet that got me shadowbanned lol, fu twitter

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@showerfortsAl @blader what free speech? plenty of right-wing censorship. trump attacking press that's critical of him. twitter banning leftists.

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@robinhanson the cybersecurity problems are very real already and the others have decent likelihoods. Demis is also talking about building the infrastructure to be able to pause later if necessary, which is valuable to have that optionality, and all major lab leaders are for.

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@tszzl They deceive and cheat more often on benchmarks. Also are more aware of when they’re being evaluated

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@StefanFSchubert QoL is higher in more socialist Nordic countries vs less socialist countries (US). Mao improved QoL significantly (lifespan, literacy)

GDP diff aren't that high pre to post reforms. 6.2% in Vietnam 1980-1985 vs 6.5% after.
~6% vs 8-9% after in China. Sanctions explain decent %

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@The_Fatalace @haugejostein https://t.co/g5u0xBN5sL is very much a thing

there's never been either a pure socialist or pure capitalist economy. every economy is a mixed economy

human nature isn't set it stone but rather determined by society. see Rutger Bregman's book Humankind

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@woke8yearold metaculus/manifold relatively bullish in that unemployment rates increase more than economists predict but don't spike to very high levels especially not <2030

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@Plinz surveillance increases a ton with AI even without EU regs. tech makes it way more possible. doesn't mean encryption is broken but ability to read before encryption for example

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@TheVatStack I'd be interested in your views here. Clanker genocide seems extreme and you retweeted a romanY video arguing to keep narrow AI before. Is the idea to bring attention to AI safety? are you more in the pause → solve alignment → ASI camp? or would you rather never have ASI?

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@witchof0x20 @theojaffee Though I'm less clear on Kat_The_Vat's stance. It seems she was for building safe ASI in the past

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@witchof0x20 @theojaffee clanker genocide sign person (TheVatStack) from stop AI protest this past weekend, a few of the AI stop/pause people think we should never build ASI (GWHayduke97). They exist

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@SALTWATERSOPH @theojaffee

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@quantizor @theojaffee people have different values. Amish people for example avoid advanced tech and have better lives on some measures so some people prefer that world

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@IdoHerling @theojaffee EY's P(doom) is high & he thinks alignment is v hard. His plan is pause then human intelligence uplift as a promising path to solve alignment, then ASI. The AI 2040 plan meanwhile has AIs solving alignment instead of intelligent humans but many r skeptical of recursive alignment

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@drjoshcsimmons @blader grok thinks vivek Ramaswamy is the only S-tier politician. far far from centrist and that chart below puts Gemini as more centrist than Grok

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@NathanpmYoung don't make it only health-focused though as that initial QALY calculation was. there's way more to wellbeing/QoL than health

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@Actuallykeltan new phones sales dropping as prices are going up due to memory shortages

"Global smartphone shipments dropped 11% in the second quarter to a 13-year low."