This 32-min Stanford lecture by Graham Weaver will teach you more about living boldly than 10 years of self-help books.
Bookmark it and give it 32 minutes, no matter what. It’s the best way to start your week.
I overheard a successful business man talking to a younger one that was saying his advice was boring.
The older replied “you know what’s exciting? Poverty! Extremely exciting. Never a dull moment!”
Always remembered that.
The 36 BIGGEST startup opportunities right now
1. biggest b2c: solving loneliness. third spaces, community apps, IRL
2. biggest b2b: managed AI employees for businesses
3. biggest overlooked: elder tech. 70 million boomers who want products that make them happier & healthier
4. biggest mobile: action apps that do things, not apps you stare at
5. biggest trades: matching platforms for electricians, plumbers, HVAC. supply shrinking
6. biggest consumer social: small social. group chats as products, no feeds, no ai slop
7. biggest ecommerce: agents that recommend products you'll like, shop, buy for you
8. biggest creator: live shows and unscripted content
9. biggest edtech: AI tutors that adapt through conversation
10. biggest SaaS: pay-per-outcome pricing
11. biggest auto: AI service advisor for dealerships. answers the same 15 questions 24/7
12. biggest talent: training non-technical people to operate agents
13. biggest boredom: curated offline experiences delivered to your door. kits, games, challenges. anti-screen products
14. biggest spiritual: the need for belonging is exploding, new formats of spiritual get togethers
15. biggest wellness: longevity biomarkers you actively manage
16. biggest mobile: action apps that do things, not apps you stare at
17. biggest one to solve ai slop: digital verification that you're a real human. every platform will need this within 2 years
18. biggest infrastructure: agent permissions, security, audit trails
19. biggest media: AI native media companies. build distribution, sell products later.
20. biggest parenting: family ops automation. forms, scheduling, logistics
21. biggest accounting: bookkeeping agents that charge per transaction
22. biggest fashion: brand-owned resale. every brand wants to control their secondary market
23.biggest hobbies: adult learning for joy. pottery, woodworking, drawing.
24. biggest skincare: at-home diagnostics. scan, get a protocol, track progress
25. biggest agriculture: precision farming tools for small farms. enterprise version exists, family farm doesn't
26. biggest pest control: subscription pest prevention instead of reactive treatment. the model flip that lawn care already made
27. biggest regulated: on-device AI. healthcare, legal, finance open up when data stays local
28. biggest gaming: AI characters with real memory and relationships
29. biggest dating: agent-mediated matchmaking
30. biggest fitness: adaptive coaching that rewrites your program daily
31. biggest travel: autonomous trip planning and rebooking
32. biggest food: personalized nutrition based on blood work and gut biome
33. biggest pet: health monitoring. $140B industry, almost no tech
34. biggest defense: AI-native security and compliance tools
35. biggest robotics: physical AI. $30 brains on existing hardware
36. biggest nostalgia: products that feel analog. vinyl, paper, handmade. counter-positioning against AI everything
Before launching a product, sit down and draft a murderboard: list out every possible criticism with the worst headline possible. Then, while preserving the core value proposition, reposition the product so it’s bulletproof against any criticism. Don’t delegate this: you own the product and you should know all possible ways it will be perceived.
My friend is a doctor based in the US
When he travels back to Nigeria with his family, he is with this big military-looking box, inside;
Plasma
Saline
Defibrillator etc
You get the point. He is equipped to operate if necessary in a room in the village
His Sister died after giving birth in 🇳🇬 because the “hospital” had no saline
Macroeconomics is important but these small things like 911 and peace are essential to attract investors
El Salvador's #Bitcoin investments are in the black!
After literally thousands of articles and hit pieces that ridiculed our supposed losses, all of which were calculated based on #Bitcoin’s market price at the time...
With the current #Bitcoin market price, if we were to sell our #Bitcoin, we would not only recover 100% of our investment but also make a profit of $3 620 277.13 USD (as of this moment).
Of course, we have no intention of selling; that has never been our objective. We are fully aware that the price will continue to fluctuate in the future, this doesn’t affect our long-term strategy.
Nonetheless, it is important that the naysayers and the authors of those hit pieces take back their statements. The responsible thing to do would be for them to issue retractions, offer apologies, or, at the very least, acknowledge that El Salvador is now yielding a profit, just as they repeatedly reported that we were incurring losses.
If they consider themselves true journalists, they should report this new reality with the same intensity they reported the previous one.
We’ll see… Stay tuned!
The most useful razors and rules I've found:
1. Bragging Razor - If someone brags about their success or happiness, assume it’s half what they claim
If someone downplays their success or happiness, assume it’s double what they claim
2. High Agency Razor - If unsure who to work with, pick the person that has the best chances of breaking you out of a 3rd world prison.
3. The Early-Late Razor - If it's a talking point on Reddit, you might be early. If it's a talking point on LinkedIn, you're definitely late.
4. Luck Razor - If stuck with 2 equal options, pick the one that feels like it will produce the most luck later down the line.
I used this razor to go for drinks with a stranger rather than watch Netflix. In hindsight, it was the highest ROI decision I've ever made.
5. Buffett's Law - "The value of every business is 100% subject to government interest rates" - Warren Buffett
6. The 6-Figure Razor - If someone brags about "6 figures" -- assume it's closer to $100K than $900K.
7. Parent Rule - Break down the investments your parents made in you: Time, Love, Energy, and Money.
If they are still alive, aim to hit a positive ROI (or at least break even.)
8. Instagram Razor - When you see a photo of an influencer looking attractive on Instagram -- assume there are 99 worse variations of that photo you haven't seen.
They just picked the best one.
9. Narcissism Razor - If worried about people's opinions, remember they are too busy worrying about other people's opinions of them. 99% of the time you're an extra in someone else's movie
10. Everyday Razor - If you go from doing a task weekly to daily, you achieve 7 years of output in 1 year. If you apply a 1% compound interest each time, you achieve 54 years of output in 1 year.
11. Bezos Razor - If unsure what action to pick, let your 90-year-old self on death bed choose it.
12. Creativity Razor - If struggling to think creatively about a subject, transform it:
• Turn a thought into a written idea.
• A written idea into a drawing.
• A drawing into an equation.
• An equation into a conversation.
In the process of transforming it, you begin to spot new creative connections.
13. The Roman Empire Rule - Historians now recognize the Roman Empire fell in 476 - but it wasn't acknowledged by Roman society until many generations later.
If you wait for the media to inform you, you'll either be wrong or too late.
14. Physics Razor - If it doesn't deny the law of physics, then assume it's possible. Do not confuse society's current lack of knowledge -- with this knowledge being impossible to attain.
E.g. The smartphone seems impossible to someone from the 1800s -- but it was possible, they just had a lack of knowledge.
15. Skinner's Law - If procrastinating, you have 2 ways to solve it:
• Make the pain of inaction > Pain of action
• Make the pleasure of action > Pleasure of inaction
16. Network Razor - If you have 2 quality people that would benefit from an intro to one another, always do it.
Networks don't divide as you share them, they multiply.
17. Gell-Mann Razor - Assume every media article contains a % of false information.
Sandbox the article from your worldview until you've:
• Seen primary sources
• Spoken to 3 domain experts
18. Taleb's Surgeon - If presented with two equal candidates for a role, pick the one with the least amount of charisma.
The uncharismatic one has got there despite their lack of charisma. The charismatic one has got there with the aid of their charisma.
Former NFL star quarterback Philip Rivers, a devout Catholic, has welcomed his 10th child. Here in this video we could see Rivers greeting a group of Dominican nuns. He is known for attending Mass before every game throughout his career.
People building cool startups remotely while nomading, indie hacking, and then maybe raising capital when they need it
A healthy startup scene w/ options for everyone
A big change from how it was 10+ yrs ago when 99% of convos were about raising VC, hiring and getting an office
"Asymmetric opportunities:
Invest in startups
Start a company
Create a book, podcast, video
Create a (software) product
Go on many first dates
Go to a cocktail party
Read a Lindy book
Move to a big city
Buy Bitcoin
Tweet."
@naval
The new $36.8 million Johannesburg Surgical Hospital will open in South Africa this month.
The private hospital includes 150 beds and 13 operating theaters.
It is funded by investors and 36 Specialist Doctors.
A thread for the ultra-wealthy.
If you are wealthy, you may think that if the U.K. switches from an NHS-model to a private model of healthcare it will either a) be better for you, or b) will not affect you.
Here is why you are wrong…
🧵